This is according to Dave Wasserman (who is well respected):
I don’t get this. Why does it take so long? Don’t they already have the 2nd, 3rd, etc. choices in the system? The algorithm is pretty simple.
Please don’t tell me that the morons only collected the first place votes and now all the ballots have to be re-scanned…
“They cheated. So much fraud.”
According to my brother (who lives near Dexter, Michigan) he gets the credit.
Thinking on it I suspect the redistricting by a neutral commission more than any other single factor accounts for the shift in power.
Yeah, I think Alaska has a single election administration* for the whole state, so there’s no reason why it couldn’t follow in the footsteps of San Francisco and New York City, which I’m pretty sure do a running calculation.
*In Maine, it takes similarly long, but elections there are run at the hyperlocal level, so they have to wait until every overseas and provisional vote is dealt with and the whole thing certified by each little postage stamp of a town, which has no (official) idea who is in last place overall.
Alaska continues to accept absentee ballots until November 23.
I was wrong about NYC, they also sat around waiting in the 2021 primary. But San Francisco does show the current preference flows as votes come in.
Been searching the web and see the Washington Examiner ran an opinion piece on this question which maintains it was primarily 3 factors that changed fate for Dems in Michigan: 1) redistricting 2) Prop 3 (Roe) and 3) anti-Trump sentiment.
Republicans reeling after Democrats poised to sweep control in Michigan (msn.com)
This is a cut and paste from 538 regarding recounts.
- In Arizona, a recount is automatically triggered if the margin between two candidates is within 0.5 percent; there is no deadline for completion.
- The same margin of 0.5 percent would trigger an automatic recount in Colorado, which sets a deadline for completion 30 days after the election.
- There is no threshold that triggers an automatic recount in Nevada, but any losing candidate can request one.
Remember, though, that recounts rarely reverse election results — the shifts that result from them are generally so small that they would only matter in the closest of races.
Following the link, the Nevada voter requesting the recount must pay the estimated costs of the recount in advance, at time of the request.
Wasn’t MI not also the state where there were (R) shenanigans to fuck with the election results in 2020?
A mini-putsch? Attempts to kidnap/attack the governor?
Maybe folks who vote don’t look kindly upon people who don’t care what the ballots say.
I think the whole kidnapping conspiracy thing falls under category 3) general anti-Trump sentiment.
Michigan embarrassment. All those folks who stayed home, unimpressed with Hillary Clinton, and saw their state go red in 2020. Four years of feeling responsible for what they helped inflict on the US and the rest of the world. Nowadays they show up and vote with an increased sense of responsibility and accountability.
Well said. I think this deserves more emphasis. We here in Wisconsin, and those in Pennsylvania, were equally guilty in 2016, and (more or less) equally repentant-through-action in 2020.
Per 538, Maricopa County AZ has around 400k ballots left to count. The next update will be between 5pm and 8pm local time which is the same as California time.
400k is much more than the lead that the Dems have in either the Senate race or the Governor race. This county tends to be pretty liberal so it will likely, but not definitely, increase those leads.
Boebert needs Jena Griswold (Colorado Secretary of State) to find 65 more votes to win.
They could release interim results if they wanted to but it seems like there is an innate caution which accompanies RCV. The actual tabulation process takes but a short time.
Btw, RCV had a pretty good night wherever it was on the ballot.
I misread the numbers. The leader is pretty close to 50%, so there is stills a chance that ballots to be received could put her over and make the 2nd choices unnecessary.
I bet the people in Georgia, likely to be absolutely barraged with ads/calls/fundraising appeals for the next month+, wish they had RCV.
Yes! I was dancing in celebration on Election day because finally the ads and calls and mailers and yard signs and billboards and door knockers would stop. Alas, the election groundhog saw his shadow, so we have four more weeks of this shit.