I fucked up
This here.
That would be organized labor, and they’re present but hamstrung.
The Democrats used to have the superior ground game. It was spearheaded by the unions. Anti-unionism since the Reagan era has worked wonders.
Warnock winning the runoff would mean that McConnell has no say in the senate rules this time around. In 2021, 50-50 meant there was negotiations and he seemed to enjoy throw all sorts of obstacles in the way and delay the turn of the senate.
This was one reason that the impeachment trial was under McConnell and not Schumer, he was able to delay until after Biden took the office.
With 51 senators democrats control a lot more of the committee seats and who gets them.
Maybe it is a discussion for another thread but, while I am all for unions and collective bargaining, my impression is unions became a haven for organized crime.
Yes. So this is a Dem victory election, even if the House is lost by a small margin. And GA will give us 51.
Yep. Joe did good, he beat the Red Tsunami!
Exactly.
And this was his last chance, too. Good riddance.
According to Wikipedia, some turtles live up to 150 years,
snort. 
Aaa-yup!
It’s an important point that 51 seats will allow Democrats to appoint actual majorities on committees. While the rules this session did provide for a procedure whereby Schumer could bring bills and nominees to the floor if the committee of jurisdiction deadlocked, it takes time to set up and there are several nominees who have been left in limbo. Most recently, Biden’s nominee for Archivist of the United States is bottled up because Republicans are in a snit over the Mar-a-Lago raid.
My prediction was that the Dems would keep control on the Senate, maybe even pick up a seat or two.
For the House I predicted the Dems would lose seats but barely retain control. Let’s hope.
Note also trumpski is looking like a liability, an albatross around the neck of the Old school Conservative GOP.
How righteous is that? What surprising and happy news that the Democrats were, in fact, on top of that already.
Warnock will be important in GA because the 2024 Senate map looks atrocious for Democrats. There is no good Democratic pick-up on the map and Democrats will be playing defense in Montana, West Virginia, Ohio, Arizona & Nevada
That’s not counting Maine (King may retire), Michigan (this past week aside, Stabenow won by less than 3% in 2018) or a Youngkin run against Kaine in Virginia
The best possible Dem pick-ups look like Missouri (Hawley who won by 1.4%) or Indiana (Braun who won by 0.8% and is retiring). And let’s say that I’m not optimistic about any chances that hinge on MO and IN.
Any extra buffer matters.
Here’s a stat – since the 17th Amendment required the popular election of Senators, there has never been an election in which every incumbent Senator who sought reelection was reelected. If Warnock wins the runoff in Georgia, this cycle will be the first time it’s happened.
A refreshing breaking news headline from NYT:
After a defeat in Nevada, every election denier who tried to become the top election official in a battleground state has lost at the polls.
Related article (gift link):
I guess I’ll ask this question here, though it may be too local*, so my apologies in advance.
The race for Los Angeles County Sheriff is between the incumbent, Alex Villanueva, and a challenger, Robert Luna.
As of about 6 PM today, from this site, I see that 1,608,639 votes (including both mail and in-person ballots) were cast. In the race for Sheriff, the tally is:
Luna - 867,704
Villanueva- 608,520
By my count, this means that Luna leads by 259,184 votes, with 132,415 ballots yet to be counted. Which means that if every remaining ballot goes to Villanueva, he still loses by almost 130,000 votes.
But no one has called the contest yet as far as I can see, and no concession. In fact in the latest report I could find was this:
Villanueva’s victory four years ago over incumbent Jim McDonnell marked the first time in roughly a century that a sheriff had lost a re-election bid in the county. But now Villanueva finds himself in danger of meeting the same fate at the hands of Luna.
The sheriff expressed confidence, however, that he would make up the deficit from early balloting as vote counting continued over the coming week.
So, any ideas on why no one simply announces the winner, based on the math?
I know it will sort itself out, but when one has a sitting sheriff who has presided over gang activity and witch hunts, ruling a county of almost 10 million people like an old time small town tyrant, small things can cause anxiety.
*Though it is a county, if Los Angeles County were a state, it would be the 11th most populous state, beating out New Jersey.
There is a god.