Week 3 CFB -- Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?

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@@@, ###, $$$, %%% = Two Top 25 teams are playing each other
You must pick one to comply with these rules:


Scoring for this week’s poll is as follows:

  1. Pick a team to LOSE and they LOSE – +1 point

  2. Pick a team to LOSE and they WIN – -1 point

  3. Fail to pick a LOSER in a game involving two Top 25 teams – -1 point
    (two Top 25 teams playing – one must lose)

  4. Pick both teams to LOSE in a game involving two Top 25 teams – -1 point
    (two Top 25 teams playing – one must lose)


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NCAAF Scores & Schedule

Top 25 FBS

Weeks: 3

— Thursday, September 17

7:30 PM EDT ESPN
(11) Clemson @ Louisville

— Friday, September 18

8:00 PM EDT ESPN
(9) Florida St. @ Boston Coll.

— Saturday, September 19

12:00 PM EDT ESPN
Connecticut @ (22) Missouri

12:00 PM EDT FS1
Tulsa @ (16) Oklahoma

12:00 PM EDT ABC
Air Force @ (4) Michigan St.

12:00 PM EDT SECN
Nevada @ (17) Texas A&M

12:30 PM EDT ESP3, ACCN
(23) Northwestern @ Duke

2:00 PM EDT PACN
Georgia St. @ (12) Oregon

3:30 PM EDT CBS
(18) Auburn @ (13) LSU ###

3:30 PM EDT FS1
UTSA @ (25) Oklahoma St.

3:30 PM EDT
Northern Illinois @ (1) Ohio St.

3:30 PM EDT BTN, BTN2
Troy @ (24) Wisconsin

3:30 PM EDT NBC
(14) Georgia Tech @ (8) Notre Dame $$$

6:00 PM EDT ESPN
South Carolina @ (7) Georgia

8:00 PM EDT ABC
Stanford @ (6) USC

8:00 PM EDT FSN
SMU @ (3) TCU

9:15 PM EDT ESPN
(15) Mississippi @ (2) Alabama %%%

10:30 PM EDT FS1
(19) BYU @ (10) UCLA @@@

10:30 PM EDT CBSS
(21) Utah @ Fresno St.

11:00 PM EDT PACN
Northern Arizona @ (20) Arizona

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The AP Top 25 Poll



 1 Ohio State      Big Ten                      Record: 2-0 v
 2 Alabama         SEC                          Record: 2-0 %%% 
 3 TCU             Big 12                       Record: 2-0 v
 4 Michigan State  Big Ten                      Record: 2-0 v
 5 Baylor          Big 12                       Record: 2-0 inactive
 6 USC             Pac-12                       Record: 2-0 v
 7 Georgia         SEC                          Record: 2-0 v
 8 Notre Dame      Division I FBS Independents  Record: 2-0 $$$   
 9 Florida State   ACC                          Record: 2-0 v
10 UCLA            Pac-12                       Record: 2-0 @@@
11 Clemson         ACC                          Record: 2-0 v
12 Oregon          Pac-12                       Record: 1-1 v
13 LSU             SEC                          Record: 1-0 ###
14 Georgia Tech    ACC                          Record: 2-0 $$$  
15 Mississippi     SEC                          Record: 2-0 %%% 
16 Oklahoma        Big 12                       Record: 2-0 v
17 Texas A&M       SEC                          Record: 2-0 v
18 Auburn          SEC                          Record: 2-0 ###
19 Brigham Young   Division I FBS Independents  Record: 2-0 @@@
20 Arizona         Pac-12                       Record: 2-0 v
21 Utah            Pac-12                       Record: 2-0 v
22 Missouri        SEC                          Record: 2-0 v
23 Northwestern    Big Ten                      Record: 2-0 v
24 Wisconsin       Big Ten                      Record: 1-1 v
25 Oklahoma State  Big 12                       Record: 2-0 v


Others receiving votes: Wisconsin 79, BYU 74, Northwestern 72, Arizona St. 49, Oklahoma St. 30, West Virginia 23,
Florida 8, Temple 8, Cincinnati 7, Kansas St. 7, Minnesota 5, Louisville 4, NC State 4, W. Kentucky 3, California 2, Stanford 1

Poll released: Sep 13

Last WEEK’s thread/poll:

Week 2 CFB – Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?
09-08-2015, 02:29 PM

Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 18

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Last YEAR Same WEEK’s thread/poll:

Week 3 CFB – Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?
09-07-2014, 02:02 PM

Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 14

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My voting is not at all influenced by my alma mater. Nope. Not at all.

Ok, more seriously, while my beloved Yellow Jackets haven’t faced any real competition, they have looked good while rolling their cupcakes. Heck, our second stringer looked great after he got put in as QB. So I’m thinking we’ll be at least as good at last year if not better.

Meanwhile, while Notre Dame did put the hurt on Texas (38-3? ouch) they were only one touchdown up on UVA, which is not exactly a powerhouse school these days. Plus their QB is injured. So they aren’t in the best of situations.

Granted, the game is getting played in South Bend, but I’m still feeling good about that pick.

The only other one that might surprise people is me picking Dook over Northwestern. Duke has been a good team the past couple of years. They could be good this year again - Cutcliffe has some magic in him.

Not ready to make my picks yet, but Ole Miss @ Alabama may decide the SEC West. Ole Miss has a good QB this year, and an explosive offense. Bama has a stout defense. Can’t wait to see this one…

Here’s an early look:



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                               %%%                  $$$          @@@  ###    $$$    %%%         ###  @@@ 
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
                              =================================================================================================
BobLibDem                   7                             FLSt             GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU        Missou  
JohnT                       5       MichSt                                 GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
txtumbleweed                5                     NotDam        UCLA               Miss         Aub       Utah   
USCDiver                    6 Bama          Geor  NotDam                                        Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Wolverine                   4                                              GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
yellowjacketcoder           5                     NotDam                           Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Zeldar                      5                                         LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
                              =================================================================================================
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
     7                     37   1     1       1     3      1     1     1     4      6      1     6    6     1      1       3   /37
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Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 7 

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Scroll right to see it all!

First day action:


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                               %%%                  $$$          @@@  ###    $$$    %%%         ###  @@@ 
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
                              =================================================================================================
Apex Rogers                 4                     NotDam                           Miss         Aub  BYU
basset hound                5                     NotDam                           Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
BobLibDem                   7                             FLSt             GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU        Missou  
JohnT                       5       MichSt                                 GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
txtumbleweed                5                     NotDam        UCLA               Miss         Aub       Utah   
USCDiver                    6 Bama          Geor  NotDam                                        Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Wolverine                   4                                              GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
yellowjacketcoder           5                     NotDam                           Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Zeldar                      5                                         LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
Zyanthia                    5 Bama                NotDam                                        Aub  BYU  Utah
                              =================================================================================================
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
    10                     51   2     1       1     6      1     1     1     4      8      1     9    9     2      1       4   /51
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Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 10 

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Morning Update:




=====================================================================================================================================
                               %%%                  $$$          @@@        ###    $$$    %%%         ###  @@@ 
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
                              =======================================================================================================
Apex Rogers                 4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
basset hound                5                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
BobLibDem                   7                             FLSt                   GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU        Missou  
DinoR                       5 Bama                NotDam              Clem                            Aub  BYU
JohnT                       5       MichSt                                       GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
Nauplius                    5                                                    GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn 
txtumbleweed                5                     NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub       Utah   
USCDiver                    6 Bama          Geor  NotDam                                              Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Wolverine                   4                                                    GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
yellowjacketcoder           5                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Zeldar                      5                                               LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
Zyanthia                    5 Bama                NotDam                                              Aub  BYU  Utah
                              =======================================================================================================
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
    12                     61   3     1       1      7      1     1     1    1      5      9     1     11   11    2      1       5   /61
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Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 12 

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I have a bad feeling about Notre Dame this week but just can’t bring myself to pick against them. I got Stanford as my dark horse bouncing back to take down USC this week, too.

Wait, I’m still the only one picking UGA to lose?

In other years I might have felt SCar had a chance, but I doubt it this year. It would be cool if they could win, but I didn’t vote that way. :slight_smile:

I must really look like a homer thinking Auburn can beat LSU. But they have had such luck in years when it was at best a long shot.

USC tends to beat UGA when no one expects them to and lose when they are favored. This year may very well be an exception, though. I expect Chubb to have north of 300 rushing yards…

I am thinking this will be a good week for the Top 25 with the loses only coming to teams that are playing other ranked team. Only upset I see: Auburn over LSU. LSU did not impress me much in their cupcake win over Miss State.

And Auburn DID impress you in their cupcake win? :dubious:

Well said. If things turn out to suit our voters (minus the forced losses four of them must have) we could have 12 teams that have no business in any Top 25. If that’s the case, of what value is a “Top 25” to start with? :smiley:

Evening Update (we’ve surpassed last year’s number of Voters for Week 3!)




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                               %%%                  $$$          @@@        ###    $$$    %%%         ###  @@@ 
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
                              =======================================================================================================
Apex Rogers                 4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
basset hound                5                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
BobLibDem                   7                             FLSt                   GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU        Missou  
DinoR                       5 Bama                NotDam              Clem                            Aub  BYU
JohnT                       5       MichSt                                       GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
Nauplius                    5                                                    GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn 
Oakminster                  4                     NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub
RetroVertigo                4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
Sauron                      4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
txtumbleweed                5                     NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub       Utah   
USCDiver                    6 Bama          Geor  NotDam                                              Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Wolverine                   4                                                    GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
yellowjacketcoder           5                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Zeldar                      5                                               LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
Zyanthia                    5 Bama                NotDam                                              Aub  BYU  Utah
                              =======================================================================================================
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
    15                     73   3     1       1     10      1     2     1    1      5     12     1     14   13    2      1       5   /73
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Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 15

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I hate picking against the Irish but losing your starting tailback and quarterback in back to back weeks make it hard to win even though both of, their backups have played week. One you add in the defense having to prepare for the triple option ito think that’s just too much prep to fit into a single week.

One more Voter since the last update:




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                               %%%                  $$$          @@@        ###    $$$    %%%         ###  @@@ 
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
                              =======================================================================================================
Apex Rogers                 4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
basset hound                5                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
BobLibDem                   7                             FLSt                   GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU        Missou  
DinoR                       5 Bama                NotDam              Clem                            Aub  BYU
JohnT                       5       MichSt                                       GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
Nauplius                    5                                                    GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn 
Oakminster                  4                     NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub
Oredigger77                 4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
RetroVertigo                4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
Sauron                      4                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
txtumbleweed                5                     NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub       Utah   
USCDiver                    6 Bama          Geor  NotDam                                              Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Wolverine                   4                                                    GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
yellowjacketcoder           5                     NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Zeldar                      5                                               LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
Zyanthia                    5 Bama                NotDam                                              Aub  BYU  Utah
                              =======================================================================================================
                              Bama  MichSt  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
    16                     77   3     1       1     11      1     2     1    1      5     13     1     15   14    2      1       5   /77
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Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 16

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Here’s a neat article on the same basic theme as this thread:

http://www.cheatsheet.com/sports/college-football-which-top-25-teams-are-vulnerable-this-weekend.html/?ref=YF

I find it interesting that so many in this thread think Bama will beat Ole Miss. That’s the way I voted as well, but I expect a close game that will be decided in the final minutes, and it could go either way. Ole Miss is high octane offense, with a very good QB and a decent to good defense. Bama is a stone wall run stuffing defense, but beatable in the secondary, and their offense is merely good.

Here’s some trivia from the “Pick the Losers” polls since the 2014 season:



2014 Season
 
Week 1 CFB  -- Which BCS Top 25 team(s) will lose?   Voters: 25. 
Week 2 CFB  -- Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?    Voters: 18. 
Week 12 CFB -- Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?    Voters: 19. 
Pick the WINNER in the Jan/12 CFB Bowl Game          Voters: 33. 

Thus far this year:

Week 1 CFB -- Which BCS Top 25 team(s) will LOSE?    Voters: 25. 
Week 2 CFB -- Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?     Voters: 18. 
Week 3 CFB -- Which AP Top 25 team(s) will lose?     Voters: 18. 
                                                   (as of 9/16/2015 4:00 PM)


Nightly Update:




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                               %%%                       $$$          @@@        ###    $$$    %%%         ###  @@@ 
                              Bama  MichSt  USC  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
                              ============================================================================================================
Apex Rogers                 4                          NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
Barkis is Willin'           5               USC                                       GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU
basset hound                5                          NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
BobLibDem                   7                                  FLSt                   GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU        Missou  
DinoR                       5 Bama                     NotDam              Clem                            Aub  BYU
excavating (for a mind)     5                                                    LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
JohnT                       5       MichSt                                            GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
Nauplius                    5                                                         GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn 
Oakminster                  4                          NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub
Oredigger77                 4                          NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
RetroVertigo                4                          NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
Sauron                      4                          NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU
txtumbleweed                5                          NotDam        UCLA                     Miss         Aub       Utah   
USCDiver                    6 Bama               Geor  NotDam                                              Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Wolverine                   4                                                         GaTech  Miss         Aub  BYU  
yellowjacketcoder           5                          NotDam                                 Miss         Aub  BYU                NoWstrn
Zeldar                      5                                                    LSU  GaTech  Miss              BYU                NoWstrn
Zyanthia                    5 Bama                     NotDam                                              Aub  BYU  Utah
                              ============================================================================================================
                              Bama  MichSt  USC  Geor  NotDam  FLSt  UCLA  Clem  LSU  GaTech  Miss  TX-AM  Aub  BYU  Utah  Missou  NoWstrn
    18                     87   3     1      1     1     11      1     2     1    2      7     15     1     16   16    2      1       6   /87
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Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 18 

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