Hmm. Anybody know where they’ve had it turned recently? That might give us a clue as to what it could be. I doubt if they could spot an Earth-like world very far away from us, but they might be able to get a good idea that one’s around one of the closer stars. If they show us something that looks like this, I think we might ought to get worried.
These things are obnoxious. I don’t want to hear about it until they actually make the announcement. The last time one of these went around, it was a disappointment. People were speculating all sorts of wondrous things, but it turned out to be another supernova, just a younger one than we’d seen before.
NASA isn’t ‘crying wolf’. That supernova, for instance, was a big damned deal to astronomers and cosmologists.
The problem is that the things that are big, press-release worthy items to NASA’s fellow scientists aren’t the same things that the public finds exciting.
Reading the press release, it doesn’t say there’s a major discovery about a planet, it says “NASA will hold a Science Update to report on a significant discovery about planets orbiting other stars”. That suggests to me more of a general principles kind of thing, not necessarily the discovery of a new planet. Or maybe it’s a new planet, but the planet itself is less important than the information it gives us about how they form, or how likely we are to find them, or what kind of orbit they can have, or something like that.
We can tell where the sweet spots are on most stars, that “habitable zone” that would allow for surface water. So if there is a planet, and it’s in that zone, if it’s the right size there is a better than even chance it’ll have liquid water.
Venus is in that zone for our Sun, and it’s the same size as Earth. Additionally, we cannot yet determine the orbital distance of a given extrasolar Earth-sized with sufficient precision to place it the so-called Life Zone. It’s also like that Earth only has an atmosphere due to its magnetic field, another thing we can’t detect on an extrasolar world. So, we can certainly guess whether a given planet is warm and has liquid water, but we cannot know for certain.
Maybe NASA were looking through the wrong end of Hubble and wondered why the aliens looked like excited humans in white coats running around screaming.