So there’s something I don’t get about the poll numbers I am seeing. A lot of the time Democrats are getting significantly better poll numbers for their Senate candidates than they are for the Harris presidential campaign. Here is an example, in most of these states the Democrats Senate candidates are several points ahead of Harris in their state, in the same poll…
Seriously is there significant portion of the electorate who thinks “sure let’s have Trump as God Emperor for life, but I fancy a democrat for the Senate!” I would have thought that segment would be dwarfed by voters who have no love for the Democrats, don’t care who wins the Senate, but really don’t want Trump anywhere near the Whitehouse. But I guess not, according to the polls at least. Or maybe the polls are broken?
What does the dope think?
All three Democrats are currently in Congress. People already know and like them since they’ve voted for them in the past.
Also, look at their opponents. Kari Lake is a maniac. Mike Rogers is a conservative Christian who’s saying the wrong stuff for the state. Dave McCormick in PA is tied with Casey in the latest poll so he’s actually behind Harris.
I don’t see anything unusual here.
Here is Montana, which is a very Republican state, we have Jon Tester, a three-time Democratic Senator running for reelection.Trump will easily win our 3 electoral college votes, but Tester may keep his seat. How is that possible, especially in a state with a legislature that has a Republican super majority.
Three reasons: (1) Lots of people like Tester, especially veterans. He has done a lot for veterans and Montana has a large population of retired servicemen and women, (2) He has done a good job distancing himself from Biden and many of his policies, even though he is clearly a Democrat, (3) Tons and tons of money are pouring in and being turned into TV ads against his MAGA opponent, who as far as I can tell, has never run for anything before, but has a large personal fortune (as did his idol Trump).
So far it looks like a toss up, and it will depend on whether Republicans bother to show up and vote in November. Tester is hoping for heavy snowstorms on voting day since Republicans here don’t trust mail-in ballots…