Which long time red state might turn blue in November?

What’s important is that these states are close enough to flip if Trump doesn’t contest them. If the Trump campaign has to spend money contesting states that were a lock in 2016, it consumes funds needed to contest the battleground states. Ask Hillary Clinton what happens when you don’t contest the battleground states vigorously enough.

Thanks!!

Right, so Trump has to contest AZ, GA, NC and he will. Biden doesn’t.

What was her campaign manager’s name again? Oh yeah, Mook.

Well, FWIW, Amy Walter and Nate Silver both say things are looking bleak for POTUS in the Electoral College: US election 2020: The electoral map just keeps getting worse for Trump | CNN Politics

Appears to work for the nested quotes as well.

Long way to go yet.

If, say, three highly rated pollsters find a 7-point-or-more Biden lead in late September in at least three of these four states — North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Michigan — then I’ll start to breathe a LITTLE easier.

But I’ll still be anxious.

The GOP worries they may be losing Florida seniors: Florida coronavirus: Anxiety over Trump's chances with senior voters increases as the virus spreads | CNN Politics