Let’s say we get to the DNC and with this fiasco in MI and FL, neither Obama or Clinton can take the vote.
Furthermore, let’s postulate that by this time, the campaigning was so brutal that few if any will switch votes to the other so that it is clear that by the 10th ballot - neither one will win.
Who would be a compromise that could conceivably take the nomination?
Seriously? Sorry to fight the hypothetical, but this isn’t going to happen. It’d be bad for the Democrats if the superdelegates went in the opposite direction of the popular vote, but in that case, whoever wins will still have the support of about half the primary voters. In this scenario, the party would be saying, “Hey, you know how you turned out in huge numbers to support these two candidates, and gave them hundreds of millions of dollars? We’re ignoring all your votes.”
It would be even better if such a candidate had been in the Senate, served as Vice-President, has four children, and drives a green 1987 Toyota Tercel.
Unlikely. Highly unlikely. I doubt there’s any compromise candidate other than Hillary or Barack, and I think at the end of the day Barack is going to get it. We just don’t live an age that a bunch of backroom pols are going to be able to settle on someone who hasn’t already been in the campaign, and then convince the convention to accept him (or her). That’s not what the Democratic Party is anymore, for better or worse (mostly better). I just don’t see it.
No, the Easter Bunny.
Seriously, this isn’t going to happen. If they both have an insufficient number of delegates to win on the first ballot, Clinton and Obama will be engaging in some heavy-duty arm-twisting to try to get enough.
Interestingly enough, Firefox marks Clinton as a word, but doesn’t think Obama is.
Until 1972 the conventions determined the prez candidate. The conventions were fun to watch then. Sometimes many people were nominated. Many with no chance to win . A state would nominate a favorite son . Then when the convention was deadlocked they could release them and broker the candidate for a cabinet position or VP. It was much better TV.
Considering all the problems the Democrats are having right now with two candidates, the last thing they need is another one. Throw in somebody like Gore or Edwards and Bloomberg and you’d finally give the Obama and Clinton supporters something to rally together about.
Picking someone other than Obama or Clinton?
Chances of that happening are about equal to you winning lottery five weeks in a row.
Yes, I am an Obama fan, but yes, I would vote for Hillary as well.
Still, I cannot really envision how Obama can lose this primary…especially if he wins the popular vote nationwide (as it seems he will). How could the Democrats rationalize giving it to Hillary?
Plus, Hillary would be a fool to take it. If she REALLY thinks he doesn’t have a chance to win, she should sit quietly for four years and people will beg her to run next time, myself included.
I don’t see it being anyone other than Obama or Hillary. The only way I could see a compromise (i.e. not Obama or Hillary) is if, as postulated, they are both damaged at convention time. This would be extraordinary, as it would probably involved scandals involving both of them, or both of them going orders of magnitude more negative than they are now, and turning everyone off.
In that case Gore would be the obvious compromise.
Also, I agree that Obama has this, but I think Hillary could make a case for the superdelegates to overturn if just Obama damages himself, as outlined above, prior to the convention. i.e. by the time of the convention, somehow Obama does lots of stupid things, says stupid things, and proves himself not worthy, and the polls bear it out. That would be a case for superdelegates “overturning” the will of the people, and I doubt anyone would have a problem with it IN THAT PARTICULAR INSTANCE.