Well, I am happy to have my posts in that, or any, thread, brought (back) to light; I own my mistakes.
Interestingly enough, Evil Economist, who appears to know something about Bayes’ Rule, has started a thread to comment on the statistics. Hee offered the link above and I’ll repeat it here.
He goes on to say it doesn’t add much in the way of useful information, because we DID know more than just that – a point I never disputed.
Anyway, if you would like to argue the point of the accuracy of that statement with someone who appears to have a solid understanding of statistics, please join the discussion in that thread.