Or like saying ‘The end is near!’…for 30 years. It might be, but then again it might not be. The evidence is not nearly so clear as the fact that cigarettes raise the probability of cancer in people who use them.
I don’t know what this ‘fair’ concept is. What does ‘fair’ mean? How do you determine ‘fair’? I will give my own WAG as to why the wealth distribution in the US seems to have skewed more towards ‘the rich’ than ‘the poor’ though. Basically automation, computational and simulation abilities and expert systems are the main culprits, IMHO. Productivity has risen steadily in the US. We are one of the most productive country on earth on an individual worker basis. But WHY has productivity risen? Is it due to the individual skill of the worker…or due to the tools the worker is using? I think it’s due to the tools. The modern systems MAKE workers more productive. At the same time they lower the skills needed by a worker to do a given job, and make the job easier. In my own field, something that used to take a highly trained IT engineer to do is now done for you. Instead of cryptic command lines, there are GUI systems, installation and configuration wizards, and help tabs links to the internet. While I won’t say a monkey could the work, it certainly doesn’t take as high a level engineer to design or configure a system today. The technology makes it easier.
And you see this in more than just the IT field. Watch a video on how cars were built in earlier times…then watch how they are built today. Watch how an air plane was designed and built in the past, or a building, or anything else, and then watch the design process as it operates today. What took rows of draftsmen and high level engineers or architects in the past can be done by a few people now…or even one person with the right system.
Then consider…if it’s the tools that make the worker more productive, why should the worker receive the majority of the benefit of the increase in productivity (i.e. the profit)? If the tools make the worker less vital or necessary because they open up a wider range of people with lesser skills who can now do jobs that only high level people could do before, why should those people make as much or more than those specialists in the past?
So…I think that this is one of the factors of why the middle class has stagnated, wage wise, in the past decade or so. My proof? I have none…it’s my own anecdotal take on things based on what I see happening in my own field, and what I see happening in other fields I’m familiar with.
Other factors I see is the desire of people to pay the cheapest price for something they can, yet still get some level of quality. People want cars and iPods and high speed internet…but they don’t want to pay premium prices for any of those things. In order to keep costs down, companies go more and more to automation and expert systems, and they look for workers who can do the job at costs that allow them to keep those prices down. There is also the factor that companies are under more and more pressure to show large profits, since that’s the baseline demanded for how well they do on the stock exchange.
And, of course, we’re in a nasty recession like period in the US right now, which tends to magnify peoples views on such things, and focus them on the fact that rich people are rich, while they might be out of a job or working a job for a lot less than they were making during the good times. It also focuses peoples attention on things like the evils of outsourcing and offshoring, such as Icerigger’s post earlier, or the inevitable posts from Le Jac that will happen as soon as he notices this thread.
The bottom line is…what would you do about this wealth disparity? Force companies to pay their employees more than they could get them for if allowed to simply pay what the market will bear? That will cause companies to raise prices…unless you then force those same companies to use price controls…which will cause other problems. Confiscate the loot from The Rich? And, what? Give it to the poor? To the middle class? Use it for the common good? How much would you confiscate…and how much would go to whom?
There is no way to be ‘fair’ IMHO…to me, that concept doesn’t make any sense in this context. Basically, if companies are paying people less than they are worth, then it’s up to the people selling their labor to make that determination. If their labor really IS worth less because of the tools they are using and the fact that a wider number of people could do their job as well as they can (and are willing to do that job for less), then I don’t see this as a problem that can be ‘fixed’ by some sort of government fiat.
-XT