Background: For those not familiar with the October Surpise theory, Sherman, where does the Wayback Machine take us?
(Bolding mine. Source: http://www.wordiq.com/definition/October_Surprise
Now tinfoil hat political pundits long ago surmiswe that Bush might very well launch an October Surpise just to get elected. One might further surmise that the Surprise would center around the war in Iraq, and/or the war on terrorism (i.e., 9/11).
I submit to the SDMB the first entry worthy of debate:
- The Republican National Convention ended this past week. Polling indicates Bush is being afforded The Bounce.
Since the close of the convention:
U.S. Near Seizing bin Laden, Official Says: ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) - The United States and its allies have moved closer to capturing Osama bin Laden in the last two months, a top U.S. counterterrorism official said in a television interview broadcast Saturday. “If he has a watch, he should be looking at it because the clock is ticking. He will be caught,” Joseph Cofer Black, the U.S. State Department coordinator for counterterrorism, told private Geo television network.
Former Saddam Deputy Arrested in Iraq: BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) - Iraqi forces on Sunday captured Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, the most wanted fugitive from Saddam Hussein’s ousted dictatorship, Iraq’s top information official said. Iraqi officials were conducting DNA tests to confirm the prisoner’s identity. U.S. military officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said al-Douri - who was Saddam’s right-hand man before the regime fell - was not in U.S. custody and that they were waiting to hear more from the Iraqis.
Granted, both of theseevents may be pure coincidence. However, given the nastiness of the election, should the tinfoil hats buy more stock in Alcoa because they just might be on to something?
In addition, while Kerry has appartently suffered much concerning his military record and the Swift Boat Veterans attack ads (did anyone see two of those vets just got plush jobs in the Bush VA), Bush’s military records have not been under the same scrutiny by the media?
Until now …
- Bush’s National Guard File Missing Records: WASHINGTON - Documents that should have been written to explain gaps in President Bush’s Texas Air National Guard service are missing from the military records released about his service in 1972 and 1973, according to regulations and outside experts.
It is worth noting in the above linked news story the AP has been working to locate these records. The AP reports, “Outside experts suggest that National Guard commanders may not have produced documentation required by their own regulations.”
Then again, many of these just happen to be some of the most crucial of Bush’s military history that strike hard at Bush’s honesty and military fitness.
So we have a set of developing coincidences where on the one hand, the Bush campaign is bolstered by recent events that put a positive spin to the Bush re-election campaign, just at the right time, too. Yet, on the other hand, evidence that might cast some doubt upon Bush and his military career just doesn’t happen to be there.
Pure coincidences tied together with aluminum chaff? Or could it be the flak I might receive from this post because I am over the target, but it’s too soon to tell?