If the polls are not looking good for Trump in August I think he will pick a woman for VP. Probably Nikki Haley.
He’d have to be crazy and/or an idiot to dump his veep and bring a new person on.
So, you’re saying it’s possible?
And I don’t think he’ll replace him, unless he can find another Christian of Pence’s flavor to take the job. I think Pence is part of the reason the evangelicals can rationalize Trump’s behavior.
But would “he” need to? Can’t we grant, for the sake of argument, that Pence would announce that he’s going to reluctantly step down due to health concerns?
May I suggest Sarah Palin? He wouldn’t someone brighter than him and it is hard to find people with name recognition that dumb.
He can find a strong Christian woman if he wants. Haley is Christian but her parents are Sikh. She also goes to Sikh services along with Methodist churches.
That’d be totally transparent. Even Trump supporters would know that he was doing so because Trump asked him to.
He’s dumped so many other people why is Pence different?
I think he wants to. If he saw a clear advantage from running with someone else he’d do it. The Democratic convention comes first this year, if Biden announces a woman Trump may dump Pence to do the same.
Haley was being very kiss-assey for a month or two, there, and then she stopped and started to attack a little in her statements.
Personal read: She flirted, he declined.
Since the era of peer networks and high-budget TV, Hollywood’s model has been, “All sequels and updates of tentpole titles, all the time.” Defensiveness is the most common strategy for someone who knows that they’re looking into the face of doom, not dynamicism.
Maybe he’d take someone else, if the right person came along, but my suspicion is that Trump is going to play conservative on this front. Pence worked for him in 2016. They’ve had four years to learn to live together. No reason to rock the boat, now.
I don’t think Trump would risk swapping out Pence. His replacement may not spend all day gazing at him in abject adoration the way that Pence does.
The only way Trump dumps Pence is if the coronavirus death toll skyrockets. That’s why he made Pence head of the task force, after all – so that he could be the scapegoat when things go south.
I don’t think a president can simply dump a vice president. The vice president was elected as part of a ticket. Trump can dump Pence the day he dumps the McConnell (which is to say he can’t).
He doesn’t have to be the running mate in November though
That would severely damage the evangelical vote and would be an idiotic move.
He most certainly can. He just won’t put him on the ticket for November. Pretty sure that’s what the OP means.
I’m a hard core conservative/Republican. But does anyone else feel like they are watching Mayor Adam West when they see or hear Trump speak? I don’t mean the tone, I mean the content. I’m waiting for him to announce that Digg’um is going to be the Surgeon General.
FDR had 3 VPs , Garner for 8 years, Wallace for 4 years and Truman for 4 months.
I can’t imagine any Republican with some possible decent future (i.e. Nikki Haley) would want to be Trump’s VP pick – he might lose in Nov, and if he does, he’s probably bringing everyone around him down with him. And if he wins, would Haley (or whomever) really want to bank on another 4 years of Trump leaving the country in a good enough place to have a chance to win? McCain had no chance, because Bush was so unpopular at the end.
If Haley (and other prospective Republicans) are smart, they’ll wait. IMO.
The notion that Trump would dump Pence is utterly absurd. I continuously see people predicting this and I have to assume that these people are just totally unable to read the pulse of politics or indeed human psychology at all. Pence was perhaps Trump’s single most strategic asset in bringing into his camp the people who really would have preferred Ted Cruz. He’s also the perfect foil to Trump’s emotive, reactive, and boisterous persona - the “gray man” with the poker face who fades into the background, and obeys Trump’s every command. It was and remains a brilliant strategic pairing.
There’s also absolutely no way in hell that Trump would ever think “Biden is picking a woman, so I’ll also pick a woman.” That’s not how Trump operates. He doesn’t give a fuck about pandering to women or people who want to see women more represented in politics. He doesn’t care.
**Lamoral ** nailed the answer.
People assume Trump is normal and uses logic like most human beings. He’s mentally ill and not smart. So anything is possible.