Wishful thinking and the Science of Religion

I guess I just don’t understand why it’s necessary to take a swipe at Astrologers every time the prehistory of modern astronomy is discussed. Why is disrespect for ancient seekers of knowledge built into the culture of science? It seems to me like people would get a lot farther if they acknowledged the contribution as part of an unbroken lineage and say, “We’ve advanced FARTHER than that today.”, rather than dismissing the old thing as though the thing you have today is a new thing, rather than just a more advanced version that improved on the good things and rejected the unecessary ones.

Hahaha. Ok, that was a good example of a stupid belief, I’ll give him that.

Heh heh, not at all. But in your first post to me since I returned here you expressed your respect for me and complemented my broad-mindedness. I ask you only to explore whether you really consider it impossible that my worldview is correct in ways that yours is mistaken, since I afford your worldview such courtesy. After all, as I say in my OP, we’ll all carry out an important experimental observation eventually which will settle the matter definitively!

Whoa! I said I acknowledge the possibility of such (for your information, I’d set my personal Belief-O-Meter at less than one in a million). If I assumed ts actual existence, I wouldn’t be an atheist.

Ah, but it could be “proved” (ie. strongly supported by evidence) - read my OP again.

So is the existence of schizoprhenia. That fact says nothing about the actual source of spiritual or schizoprhenic experiences, which I contend is neurophysical and wholly natural.

I consider it quite ludicrous to suggest that religion has an evolutionary origin. I said that near the start of the thread and I’ve said nothing to indicate that I’ve changed my mind.

In post 84 you said you’d offer a scientific explanation which might explain the phenomenon of religion. Now we’re at post 181 and all you’ve said is that at some point in the past ten million years there were some hominids whose religious thinking was more advanced than all others’. I’ve made some clarifications about your hypothetical scenario. I’m still waiting for the actual scientific explanation of religion. Specifically I’d assume that an explanation would explain:

-How did belief in god or gods arise in this first small group?

-Why did such belief persist?

-Why did it became universal across all human cultures?

-What relationship does any of this have to the modern religions?

So instead of writing yet another post full of insults and condescension, why don’t you simply provide that scientific explanation that you promised almost 100 posts ago? If you won’t do so, you’ll have to forgive me for suspecting that the explanation doesn’t actually exist.

No, yet again, please take care to quote me accurately. Only a few of those 97 posts have been between us, and in those few posts I’ve had to spend inordinate amounts of effort trying to correct some of your misunderstandings and mischaracterisations. This is compounded by your habit of leaving whole paragraphs of mine without any comment whatsoever so I have no idea whether you accept what they say or whether you consider them so absurd as to be unworthy of a response.

I said in premise 4 that at some point in the last 10 million years there was no such thing as religious thinking, and that at some later point there was. You have yet to accept this explicitly, so I haven’t had chance to get started on exploring that emergence. I said I’d mither you about this but I’m afraid it’s necessary to address this point before we can move on.

You said that religious thinking was present “from the start”. I have to ask you, repeatedly if necessary, what you mean by this. Are you really saying that religious thinking was present in Sahelanthropus tchadensis or even earlier creatures?? At one point you mentioned “strands” of religion, in which case I have to ask you to expand on what such a “strand” is in an animal. As an analogy, I would say that eyes emerged around 500 million years ago, before which there was no such thing as eyes (only skin which had the capacity to mutate slightly with each generation). So where is your “start”? Sahelanthropus, Australopithecus, Erectus, Neanderthalis, Sapiens, Cro-Magnon, what? (Or even earlier, in an undisputed animal?) You see, wherever the “start” is, it is distinguished from its ancestors by speciation, which does involve small, isolated groups in which certain features are present which the ancestors lack.

This is why I thought we made excellent progress when you accepted that religion could have emerged by a gradual process. Even when speciation occurs in a small number of generations (100,000 years would be quick for a large mammal), the behaviour and abilities of each individual or small group would be almost identical to their ancestors.

OK. I apologise if you perceive insults and condescension in my manner here. I assure you, I’m merely trying to avoid the misunderstandings and mischaracterisations which have peppered this thread.

Now, when you say it is still ludicrous to suggest that religion evolved, I have to ensure that you understand what evolution entails. I hope I have busted the myth that the evolution of a given feature can only occur if that feature is competitively advantageous in itself. Features can sometimes evolve rather arbitrarily, as in the case of genetic drift. And, crucially, features can also evolve because they are associated with other features which do confer a competitive advantage. For example, nobody would suggest that, say, juggling, guitar-playing or shadow-puppetry evolved because they were advantageous in themselves on the African savannah: these features emerged because they are associated with the “free hands” resulting from bipedality.

I will propose that belief in gods was inevitable (or at least unsurprising) after the natural evolution of two features: language and agent detection, both of which science has much to say about, and both of which are universal. To answer your questions regarding the persistence of such religions, I will introduce another well-documented phenomenon: insider-outsider relationships. Along the way, we might well dip into the sciences of paleontology, archaeology, anthropology and cognitive science if one or other detail still seems ludicrous to you.

But before all of this, can I ask you a favour? Can you promise to try not to erect any strawmen, mischaracterise or misquote me or anyone else, or start arguing with a position which nobody has yet taken?

I’d like for you to understand that I’m not taking swipes at astrology, or phrenology for that matter. Those are pursuits that people should be free to work with if it makes them happy. I’m saying only that they are not precursors to science in any sense other than that they came before science. But so did dancing. I think it’s important to keep in mind exactly what science is. Its epistemic nature is empirical and it rejects what it finds to be false. This arose from philosophy, on the tree of which science and religion are siblings.

I think I’ve stipulated many times that if the universe is real, then there is no question but what your worldview is sound. And as I say, I am willing to concede your premises and definitions for the sake of argument. But once we have settle the matter definitively by those terms, we have settled it only by those terms. I do greatly respect you and your worldview, but what am I to do when we this is over? I mean, if we define “fly” to mean “wallow in mud”, then I am happy to concede that pigs can fly. But then shouldn’t we come back and deal with my definition of “fly”?

The comparison between phrenology and astrology is specious. Astrology specifically mapped stars and calculated their transits through the sky. Astronomy does that too. To claim that this had nothing to do with the advances made in navigation that led to astronomy is an error because you are judging the past learning that laid the foundation for such study because it is different from science. The learning of the past was studied avidly by scientists early on in their studies. Just as ‘Alchemist’ which for some reason is a term of derision today is really just the ancient word for ‘Chemist’. One day some explosive advances in science happened so anyone working concurrently as an alchemist contemporary to a scientist was behind the times, but the alchemists of yesteryear performed experiments and such that led to hte development of such things as the scientific method. Basically, it’s like the argument about whether Allah is the same God as the Judeo-Christian God when Allah is just the Arabic word for God.

To argue that in 2500 years spanning the globe, nothing was learned about the physical properties of the material world by alchemists is positively ludicrous. Certainly science removed some of the parts of alchemy they found extraneous, but those giants that Newton stood upon the shoulders of were largely alchemists. People like to make pompous declarations like, “Newtons study of Astrology and Alchemy brought us nothing of value.”, but I seriously doubt Newton divided his work by discipline in the same way a modern scientist might.

I’m not sure I totally agree. Astrology and alchemy collected information valuable for astronomy and chemistry once they became sciences, without being sciences. They are kind of like a old time gentleman naturalist collecting samples with no attempt to understand their relationships.

The transition even happened within one person, such as Kepler.

In the sense that the principles of astrology didn’t get refined into astronomy, I do agree. Astronomy required a different mindset. But the relationship was far more than merely temporal.

That’s basically what I’m saying, though I think they did try to understand their relationships. Both studies were all about relationships. They may have come to some misguided conclusions, but they weren’t simply cavemen staring at the monolith.

Just wanted to insert that religion, some form of it, stretches back as far as mankind. There is no evolution of religion beyond the theory stage.

The big difference is that both astrology and alchemy had preconceived ideas of how the world was supposed to work. Scientists, starting from a blank slate, figured out how the world actually worked. Remember, 2500 years worth of astrologers never quite figured out that the Earth went around the sun.

I almost hate to mention this given how often you’ve upbraided me for misquoting, but I never said any such thing. What I was saying is that an original religious belief must have had precursors, and those precursors must have existed in the ancestors of the individual that first believed in a god. The important point is that it all happened by small steps. In other words, if belief in God happened at step 8726, then there must have been some very similar belief at step 8725. As to what was believed at step 8725, I have no clue. You’re the materialist; you tell me.

I regret to inform you that I never accepted any such thing. I’ve agreed to listen while you present a hypothetical scenario. I’ve offered comments on what would have to be true in your hypothetical scenario. But I have not agreed that it’s plausible.

Also, the reason why I don’t respond to every single sentence you write is just practicality. In my experience, doing so causes threads to splinter in twenty different directions and then die out.

Agreed. Carry on.

From what I’ve read geocentrism vs heliocentrism went back and forth based on social fads. I don’t have a cite on this because I don’t remember where I read it.

I apologise unreservedly for misquoting you, but I’m struggling to see how these two statements are consistent.

Let us call step 8726 a small group of Homo Sapiens on the African savannah who have developed language and use it to tell stories of powerful spirit beings who created the world and ancestors who live on as stars after death. This is not hypothetical, since anthropology shows us this situation recurring time and again elsewhere, even today.

Then, let us consider not step 8725 (yet – bear with me), but a step 7 million years beforehand in which a small group of Sahelanthropus Tchadensis behaved in their animal way (like similar animals do today), with no language beyond the handful of sounds modern apes make. Once more, this is not hypothetical from fossil evidence and the anatomical reconstructions based on it. Again, I must ask you for an explicit answer to this question: Was this group characterised by religious belief? Please try and provide a yes or no here, with a lengthy caveat if necessary.

(I assure you, I will discuss step 8725 and language, agent detection, inside-outside groups, temporal lobe epilepsy and the like but we need to sort this out first in order to avoid me misrepresenting your position.)

Certainly, friend. We should deal with all definitions, premises, arguments and worldviews each of us offers each other. I offer only that we should each consider the possibility that some of our own definitions and premises are flawed.

I’ll be off again soon to do this stuff in, for want of a better word, the “real” world (whatever that is!). Be well.

No.

Excellent, we are now in agreement that religious belief emerged at some point in the last few million years. We can now go on to explore whether it is ludicrous to suggest that it could have done so without divine inspiration.

So what happened, scientifically speaking, between animal Toumai and Homo Sapiens? Numerous instances of speciation, in which a small subset of the larger population becomes isolated (geographically or otherwise) and undergoes genetic drift. Some of those new developments conferred a competitive on the subset, such that it thrived and grew and eventually supplanted the old population as the dominant species at a given time.

I posit that one crucial development in this respect was language. Just as the syrinx developed in certain birds yielding a huge range of sounds and leading to a strong sexual selection mechanism whereby males impress females with their “linguistic” abilities, so it was with the hominid larynx, with the cranial capacity to bodymass ratio increasing in tandem (since a good larynx alone does not an impressive male make).

The second key development is agent detection, or the ability to tell when human actions (rather than Mother Nature) might have bearing on a given situation, since clearly an individual who was deficient in this regard would be ripe for being duped and manipulated out of all kinds of resources (most importantly access to his mate’s breeding equipment, leaving him literally holding the baby without promulgating his genes). And clearly it would make evolutionary sense to “play situations safe” , since missing a true human trick would be much riskier than reacting to a false, natural shadow as though it had an intelligent agent behind it. Hence the development of “hyperactive” agent detection.

So, back to the timeline of the emergence of religion. Once language and agent detection had evolved, an interesting question arises: What do you actually talk about? Of course, the daylight hours can be filled with the jibber-jabber necessary for everyday hominid life. But for at least 12 hours, and up to 18 in the southernmost reaches of the African savannah in winter, there will be pitch darkness. What do you talk about then?

If there is one thing that anthropology tells us, it is that stories are universal to language-using hominids. So we would expect stories of great hunts, terrible storms, or other events which dominated the hominid memory. And after agent detection evolves, what else do you think these stories might address? Why agents of course - causal intelligences who are responsible for, well, whatever. Add to this the prevalence of dreams, psychotropic plants/fungi and temporal lobe epilepsy in which some individuals find all kinds of thoughts “cosmic”, and one can see how a prehistoric individual might come up with a heck of a story (and, of course, how story-making and story-telling abilities would be subject to sexual selection).

Of course, religions don’t get fossilized, and I’ve admitted that they could have originated by divine inspiration.

But is what I’ve written here really that ludicrous?

I’m sure it wasn’t your intention, but this gives me a mental image of something like the First Council of Nicaea. Learned men coming together and formalising the principles of science as a truth-seeking tool, all in one event! Then they went out and applied them to one problem after another, knocking astrology and alchemy out of the ball park…

I’m fairly sure nothing of the kind happened, of course. I’m also fairly sure that a modern, self-defined scientist could observe the activities of the ancient astrologers and alchemists ( and architects, blacksmiths, carpenters, brewers, bakers etc.) and see science as he understands it being practised. Maybe not as formally, certainly not as rigorously or self-critically. But the Romans didn’t build the Pantheon without having figured out a LOT about geometry, stresses and strength of materials. Somebody somewhere did a whole lot of experimentation to have the confidence to build a dome with a hole in the middle, and two thousand years later it’s still there.

You appear to believe that agent detection is determined by a gene or genes, and that leads to obvious questions. Can you tell me what chromosome(s) and what location(s) on those chromosomes carry the genes for agent detection? Can you explain how the proteins coded by those genes lead to the facility of agent detection? Can you show me the structure in the brain that’s responsible? Or if current science is not adequate for finding those things, can you at least offer a hypothetical mechanism for this?

The idea of that our genes affect when and where we suspect human involvement seems strange to me. For instance, whether a man is suspicious of infidelity has a lot to do with both the society he grows up in and the choices he makes. Some men learn to expect it at evert turn, while others are barely aware of the possibility. Obviously there are many instances where we teach ourselves and our children whether or not to suspect someone else’s involvement.

And if it were genetic (or memetic or whatever) I don’t see why it would be advantageous. Yes it would confer advantages in some situations but disadvantages in others. Suppose we have a hominid (let’s call him Thag Simmons) who stores food somewhere and later finds that it’s gone missing. If he immediately suspects that some other hominid stole the food, that could lead to a fight where Thag gets killed. Far better to keep the possibility of natural causes in mind. It seems to me that if evolution is the deciding factor, it would lead humans to identify human actions where there are human actions, rather than to identify human actions in all cases.

Early hominids telling stories including stories of the type you describe seems quite reasonable. There’s no reason for the audience to take the stories at face value. After all, to recklessly believe in everything you hear would not confer survival value. Quite the opposite, in fact. Expecting the wind to obey your commands is not a good strategy.

In any case, how do we get from generic stories to humans focusing their minds and reconnecting themselves to the way of the universe? (Or at least believing that they’re doing so.)