I don’t understand this last statement.
I back Bush. If Kerry wins, that will certainly be a “negative election result”, but that is true regardless of what the rest of the world thinks. If Bush wins, I care relatively little what effect it will have on elections in other countries, if that is what you meant.
What else do you think other countries will do to punish us for re-electing Bush? Cut off trade? That hurts you more than us. Pass a resolution against it in the UN? We have already seen the reluctance of the UN to enforce their own resolutions. What is left - write a really nasty editorial in Le Monde?
No, Americans should take the attitude that we are an independent country, with interests that do not always correspond exactly with what various other countries want us to do. The attitude, in other words, that we make up our own minds.
Of course the election is a popularity contest. But it only measures popularity in the US. “World opinion” doesn’t enter into it.
Plus I think this is a little naive. People who do the “right” things aren’t necessarily popular, and those who don’t aren’t necessarily unpopular.
And it is also not necessarily true that Bush’s unpopularity is based entirely on a foreign commitment to the “right” things. Maybe Bush is unpopular with the French because the French are so unswervingly committed to truth and justice. Or maybe they wanted to go on helping Saddam steal from the oil-for-food program, and are pissed off that they can no longer do this. Maybe Europe hates Bush because of their deep-seated belief in peaceful international relations and the rule of law. Or maybe they are trying to appease their own fundamentalist Muslim minorities by attacking the conqueror of Afghanistan and Iraq. Maybe the Middle East is riled up by Bush interfering with Iraq’s sovereignity. Or maybe the tinpot terrorist dictators of that region feel their position to be a bit less secure because the US has a President who has both the ability and the willingness to act against a perceived threat. Maybe some Palestinians really feel like Kerry is the better leader for the world. Or maybe they really feel that Bush is a more reliable ally of Israel, and thus more likely to interfere with terrorist plans to kill Israeli children.
People support Bush for all kinds of reasons, some noble and some not. It would seem pretty clear that opposition to Bush here and abroad is based on the same range of justification - sometimes high-minded, sometimes completely venal, and sometimes a mix of both.
Besides, as some have already pointed out, the notion that Kerry might go with hat in hand to that hot air society at the UN before he acts in defense of US interests is not exactly a selling point for him. At least not in the US.
Regards,
Shodan