WTF happened to improve Trump’s odds of re-election?

The riots have been very effective:

  • Violent crime is way up, due to attacks on the police and their subsequent removal from street policing. The cities that accepted the demand to defund the police are being particularly hard hit. And most of the people affected are minorities.

  • Gun sales are skyrocketing, as is membership in the NRA. 27% of all gun owners bought their first gun in the last six months, and most of them are city dwellers. The ‘mostly peaceful’ protests have killed gun control for a long time.

  • The rich are fleeing the cities, and taking the tax base with them. This hits blue states particularly hard, because they rely more on progressive taxes. New York gets 50% of its taxes from 1% of the population. If those people leave (and many are), New York is screwed, and all the minorities in New York especially so.

  • The breakdown in order in the cities may just do what Republicans have never managed: drive middle class minorities away from Democrats.

With more ‘successes’ like they’ve had, they’re going to get Trump re-elected.

Welcome to the world of ‘wicked problems’ and complexity, where trying to get what you want through force may just blow back in your face.