Hopefully, Ike will burn himself out in the open ocean before he threatens any land masses, if he expends all his energy in the open ocean, he may be no more of a threat than a tropical depression by the time he makes landfall
I (don’t) like Ike!
Oops, just checked the linked NOAA graphic, Ike is a lot closer to land than I expected, this could be a bad one
I know
It’s looking horridly big and the perfect little destroy-everything-in-its-path hurricane. Some of the computer models says it’s coming directly towards me (southeastern Florida).
Nothing says ‘summer’ like lugging around shutters, no electricity for weeks, floods, long lines at the service stations, and that wonderful feeling of panic :smack:
Where are you (approximately), Open Your Eyes? We’re just south of West Palm Beach and east of Rt. 95. At the moment, next week is looking like evacuation time for us. If not north, then certainly west. Yikes.
Ugh, Wilma! That was one horrible week without electricity, water, food, or plumbing.
Luckily enough, a few days preceding the storm were oddly very very cold so a/c wasn’t necessary.
I will never forget the last meal I had before I got back electricity: a very stale pop-tart with room-temperature powdered milk from a thermos with water approximately seven days old.
Luckily I anticipated at work, and got my team working ahead, so when official word came down, we were pretty much ready.
We’re caught in the middle between engineering “We Need to Bug Out Now” and sales “But We Need to Make Money” and at this point, all I can do is point the VPs at each other and let them fight it out.
At one time, I could look up from my house and see one of the “forecast paths” for Hanna directly above me, but now it looks like North Carolina may get it instead. I’ve been here for about 11 years, and they ALL moved into NC around Wilmington.
Apparently, God HATES Wilmington, especially during hurricane season.
Bonnie in 1998
Floyd & Irene in 1999
Kyle in 2002
Bonnie & Charley in 2004
Ophelia in 2005 (didn’t hit, but got close enough)
Just think of the VP Battle as free entertainment.
The managers in my company are taking this storm seriously. We’re expecting to miss at least one day next week, more if we lose power. Fortunately my coworkers and I met all of our deadlines at least a week in advance. We’ve gotten so good at this that it’s almost scary.
Are you kidding me? This will be fought out over phones behind closed doors, not in the middle of the hallways in front of us peons, more’s the pity. I’ve only overheard one knockdown-drag out fight and that VP is no longer with the company.
I followed this blog throughout Gustav and found it easy to understand and informative. User comments follow the main blog post; many of those users are weather folks who post details you won’t find in major media weather reports.
[QUOTE=JeffMasters, 4:38 PM EDT on September 04, 2008]
Ike’s long-term fate has two main possibilities:
Ike may hit eastern Cuba, as forecast by the latest (12Z, 8am EDT) runs of the GFDL and ECMWF models, and a number of ensemble members of the latest 12Z GFS model (Figure 2). A hit on Cuba would severely disrupt the storm, weakening it to a Category 1 or 2. Ike could then move on into the Gulf of Mexico and re-intensify, as forecast by the ECMWF model.
Ike may plow through the Bahamas and come very close to South Florida (the consensus of the HWRF, NOGAPS, and GFS models). A trough of low pressure may then pull Ike to north. This turn to the north might occur over Florida, or over the western Bahamas, within 200 miles of the Florida coast. In the latter case, North Carolina might be at risk. The recent model trend has been to depict a weaker trough, resulting in Ike getting stranded, like Fay and Gustav did. Ike would resume a slow motion to the west as ridge of pressure builds in, potentially crossing Florida into the Gulf of Mexico.
There is a third possibility–Ike may recurve before hitting the U.S., and move harmlessly out to sea. That possibility appears lower probability than cases 1 and 2 above, at this point.
[/QUOTE]
I’m keeping my eye on Hanna and Josephine. Hanna’s on track towards the Mid-Atlantic, and if Josephine continues in a somewhat straight line, she’ll be right behind Hanna.