Now that Bob Graham has dropped his presidential bid, which of the remaining nine Dem candidates do you think will be the next to go?
Dean and Clark are in it until the bitter end and I think one of the two of them will end up with the nomination. Sharpton, Kucinik and Braun will also be in it for the long haul because for one they’re vanity candidates and two if they should actually win some delegates they will try to parley that into some floor time at the convention. Lieberman will get whupped in a couple of primaries and will drop out in the midst of the season, but will hang in long enough to satisfy himself that he can be a credible candidate in '08 if he wants to be (he won’t be to anyone else, though).
That leaves Gephardt, Kerry and Edwards as my picks for who will be the next to go. Of the three, I think Edwards is going to be the first to catch a clue and drop out, followed by Gephardt then Kerry. Kerry may hang in through South Carolina but I don’t think he’ll fare well in New Hampshire or Iowa, and a disappointing finish in SC will knock him out. A similar scenario will knock out Kerry (who will do well in NH but poorly in Iowa) and Gephardt (who will tank in NH but do well in Iowa) but I think Edwards will call it quits first.