This map is awesome. Playing with it has me calm as a cucumber. You can fill in the colors of all the states as you think they’ll go. Your choices are light in color. As states are officially called, they change to dark red or blue.
I’ve given McCain all of the following:
VA, NC, OH, FL, MO, AR, MS, LA, TX, KS, NE, SD, MT, ID, UT, NV, AZ and AK
And he still can’t win!!
That would give Obama, of the remaining states that haven’t been called:
WA, OR, CA, NM, CO, IA and HI which puts him at 272 electoral votes to McCain’s 264.
57 (56 Dems, one Independent) or 58 (if the Democrats let Lieberman back in) is fairly easy to get to. What they really need is to kick out McConnell or Chambliss or Wicker (preferably all three) to get over 60. Though very few cloture votes go along strict party lines. The Democrats could easily get more moderate Republicans (Hagel for instance) to go along in a lot of cases.
Obama doesn’t really need any other states to sew things up. This was the point of his many-state strategy. Give yourself several paths to victory and it doesn’t make much difference if one or two states don’t go your way. Kerry was close, so Obama needed only hold those wins and add something, somewhere. He has done that.
I’m liking what I’m seeing. Well, of the electoral results, that is. Great googly moogly, does MSNBC have an ugly set, and their on-screen graphics are practically incomprehensible. CNN’s presentation is much cleaner, even if Wolf Blitzer bugs the hell out of me.
Nebraska (and Maine as well) split votes by Congressional District. It’s possible Obama might pick up Nebraska-01 (which is basically Omaha), but not that likely.
I’m not surprised. She has a stranglehold on that seat and her opponent, Tom Allen, came off as a big weenie, but he had this killer campaign ad which consisted of nothing else but Susan Collins herself going on about how 12 years is long enough for a person to be in congress after which he she go home and let someone else take over, presumably from her own first campaign.
I don’t recall those states splitting their votes in my lifetime, though. And both NE and ME are safe states on the list of polls I copied down, for McCain and Obama respectively.
Nebraska splits the electoral vote. One each of the three congressional district with the general winner getting the other two. It is possible that Obama will get one of the five here.
Damnit, I was hoping it’d be closer here in Georgia. This is a state with people who, literally, pride themselves on ignorance. In 2004 I remember one of my fellow Cobb Countians saying “I like George Bush because he puts things in black and white so it’s easy to understand.” That’s willful ignorance.
ETA: Come to think of it, that might have been somebody in Hall County.
