I’ve been trying to trade one of the RBs for a WR. No luck so far. I had this offer rejected:
Michael Turner OR BJGE for Hakeem Nicks. The other guy also has WRs Roddy White, Torrey Smith, Dez Bryan, Brandon Lafell and Justin Blackmon. His RBs are McFadden, Sproles, Reggie Bush. I figured he was deep enough at WR that he might go for it…
Yeah, I have no idea what I was thinking there. Bowe blew up and Thomas already have more points than Floyd. Not sure if Floyd got hurt or what but he didn’t score a single point after the 1st quarter. For some reason I was sure that the Chargers-Chiefs game would be a shootout.
Also, I was wrong, I didn’t start Green. I started Ridley, Gore, Peterson and Floyd. The first 3 turned out really well and Floyd killed me. I have a huge lead but my opponent basically had no one going in the early games and has Rodgers already looking hot against New Orleans. Fingers crossed that my lead will hold up, if I lose because of Floyd I’ll be kicking myself something fierce since he’s the only guy on my team with less than 12 points, most with more than 18.
So I’m pretty much RG3’s lead cheerleader around here and I’m pretty sure he’s going to be a hall of famer. So why the fuck didn’t I take a flier on him in my fantasy leagues? WTF.
I felt the same way about Alfred Morris. Loved him in the preseason, kept my mouth shut to not tip off the masses, and then didn’t draft him when I had the chance late in drafts.
I have the same problem this week as last week: Rivers @ NO or RGIII hosting ATL?
RGIII has 129 points this year to Rivers’ 67. But… ATL is a much better defense than NO right now. He can’t put up better numbers than Rivers this week, can he?
As the guy who picked him up off waivers for $8 by overbidding your $5 in the Dynasty league, I want to thank you for that. I really thought Evan Royster was going to be the guy, but I’ll happily keep plugging Morris in until Shannahan gets back to screwing us fantasy football players over.
Gah, I had picked up both Justin Blackmon and Andre Roberts earlier in the week to fill in for Megatron (I dumped two injured/benched RBs to do so) and started Roberts over Blackmon because of his performance so far. Hey, ARI @ StL? How can he NOT score a TD, right?!
Well, I came out of pretty much all of my drafts RB rich this year. Plus at the end of drafts I was grabbing Jeffery when I was picking up rookies. Also, I was burned by Roy Helu last year who looked good when Shanny felt like using him, which wasn’t anything resembling regularly.
Advice on the Internet is worth what you pay for it…
Your scoring system really favors RBs, FWIW. I grabbed Yahoo’s projections and ESPN’s projections and ran them through Excel based off your scoring settings. Here’s your guys, with the Yahoo and ESPN points:
Adrian Peterson 18.095 20.9
Frank Gore 11.605 25.55
Stevan Ridley 6.755 16.2
Reggie Wayne 7.4 11.75
Dwayne Bowe 7.11 10.25
Malcolm Floyd 6.27 4.9
Demarius Thomas 8.185 10.6
Shonn Green 8.275 14.55
I would’ve thought that Green was hot buttered garbage, but your scoring system really favors RBs and ESPN at least thinks he’ll get into the end zone. I seriously doubt it, but the Texans are known for letting garbage touchdowns in at the end of the game, and if they have a weakness at all, it’s up the middle.
My choices from this list would be: AP, Gore, (duh and duh) Ridley (I just have no faith that the Jets will be able to do anything against the Texans, and I think they’ll be in a must-throw situation from halftime on.), and then decision time for which WR. Very surprisingly, per FO, Baltimore has been crap in defending #1 WRs (23.4% DVOA, 27th, 10.9 avg/rect/game 95.6/yds/game) which Bowe clearly is. GB has been about as bad at defending #1s (21.4% DVOA, 25th, 8.1 Rec, 74.5 yds) You don’t need me to tell you New Orleans has been abysmal. (14.6% DVOA 22th 7.6 Rec 75.4 yds)
Who has been getting more targets? Who’s the healthiest? They all look pretty similar in their playability. Gun to head, I probably go with Bowe. I can see a cheap TD coming in with him. With Indy, I can see GB telling them to try to beat them on the ground; they’ll double Wayne and see if Luck can hurt them some other way.
Good luck.
EDIT: Both TEs are essentially identical in Yahoo, ESPN thinks Gresham will get in, Olsen won’t, but Olsen will have one more catch. FO: MIA vs TE (-2.4% 15th 9.4/game 74.1 yds/game) SEA vs TE (-12.7% 9 7.7 53.4) That said, I think SEA probably has pretty large splits in Home DEF vs Road DEF. Olsen’s riding a hot hand with double digit scoring in back to back weeks. Ride him. (I have no faith in Gresham, despite the targets. I own him in a league, mores the pity.)
I ended up going with Gore, Peterson, Ridley and Bowe and Olsen at TE. ESPN’s recommendation was to start Floyd over Bowe, but after last week I’m not falling for that again. Part of me really wanted to go Thomas because I think the Pats-Broncs game could be a real shoot out and McCourty is terrible. Wayne was out because I think the Pack will triple team him at home and Luck will want to look elsewhere. I’m actually pretty worried about Ridley because of what Bolden showed last week, but he’s been to much of a stud to bench.
Also went with Olsen over Gresham. I think Gresham is a little safer play, but Olsen has a chance at a 20 point week.
In another money league I had to choose between Sproles, Matthews, Ridley, Ben Tate, Antonio Brown and Pierre Garcon for 3 spots (RB, WR, Flex) and settled on Sproles, Matthews and Brown mostly because I think the NO-SD game is going to be a shootout. Little worried I’m leaving 80 points on the bench in that one.
Who knew that Green Bay would forget how to play pass defense? I was shaking my head in the car when I heard the announcers talking about “Wayne’s career day…” And the odds of picking the one guy out of four who’d have the worst day of those wideouts… Sigh.
I feel your pain, sort of. Just got traded RGIII in another league, where I’d had Cutler and Cassel already. I was all excited to see this week, as I thought it’d be a gigantic shootout, with neither Washington nor Atlanta able to shut teams down all year. Yahoo agreed, projecting ~28 points for Griffin, and something like 15 for Cutler…So I come back and see 5 and change for Griffin, and something like 30-ish for Cutler.
Weird game, football. At least Ridley went off. At this rate, I’m expecting the Jets to roll the Texans by 20; it’d make as much sense as anything else, this year.