2012 Oscars - early prediction

I was surprised to learn that the faux script for the faux movie in Argo was basically a cover slapped on a treatment of Roger Zelazny’s Lord of Light. I’d like to see that!

I’m so mad. The documentary that the OP snarked about opened and closed in one week here in Chicago. I was going to go see it tomorrow night but it’s gone already. If it can’t play in gay-friendly Chicago more than a week, it’s sure not going to get an Oscar nomination. The teabagging OP can rest easy.

Now that The Master has opened and I’ve seen Joaquin Phoenix’s performance, I’d say you can bet real money that he WILL be nominated, and odds are very good that he will win. The Master itself should get several nominations across the board. Brilliant film.

[Way off-topic]

Since this thread is bumped, I’ll add that I saw Perks Friday night and while I forgot about looking for her specifically I just looked at her picture and remember her character. Whitman is brave. It’s a character you pretty much either hate or are embarrassed for. It’s not a nomination-worthy role (or movie) but now that I know her, I’ll remember her. The most memorable character in the movie, IMO, is Patrick, played by the amazing Ezra Miller. I look for him to be an Oscar favorite some years down the line. Besides playing the most interesting character in Perks, he was lauded last year as Tilda Swinton’s psychopathic son Kevin that everyone seriously needed to Talk About. He was also a wonderful character in a wonderful movie that I adored a few years ago called City Island, playing Andy Garcia’s son who was fascinated by the BBW next door.

There’s a new possible player coming on the scene. Hitchcock, starring an unrecognizable Anthony Hopkins as the very recognizable Man. It’s described as “A love story between influential filmmaker Alfred Hitchcock and wife Alma Reville during the filming of Psycho in 1959” and it’s opening in limited release in late November, giving voters plenty of time to check it out.

Helen Mirren plays Alma. Scarlett Johansson plays Janet Leigh. Jessica Biel plays Vera Miles. James D’Arcy plays Anthony Perkins (and with makeup and costume, oh man, he’ll be a dead-ringer). In other casting, Michael Stuhlbarg (from A Serious Man) plays studio mogul Lew Wasserman, Ralph Macchio plays Psycho screenwriter Joe Stefano, plus Toni Collette, Kurtwood Smith and Danny Houston are in the cast. Listed in the characters are Martin Balsam, Saul Bass, Bernard Herrmann, Hedda Hopper and, ha, Ed Gein.

Other credits: Music by Danny Elfman; Cinematography by 2-time Oscar nominee Jeff Cronenweth (The Social Network and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo); Edited by Pamela Martin (Saved!, Little Miss Sunshine, The Fighter); Production Designer Judy Becker (Brokeback Mountain, Infamous, The Fighter, Shame); new kid on the block Art Director Alexander Wei (Towelhead, Ruby Sparks); Set Decoration by been-around-forever Robert Gould (from Stay Hungry and Carrie to The Artist), among others. It’ll be interesting to see how many Artistic (often mistakenly called “Technical”) nominations the film gets. Even if it turns out not to be an awards player, I can’t wait to see it.

Here’s an article about the new positioning and potential.

Forgot to add that it was written by Black Swan screenwriter John J. McLaughlin and directed by new guy Sacha Gervasi, who directed a wonderful documentary called Anvil: The Story of Anvil and who also wrote The Big Tease (with Craig Ferguson), the Spielberg movie The Terminal (with Tom Hanks) and the sadly ignored Henry’s Crime (with Keanu Reeves and Vera Farmiga).