Huh?
I see Cruz ahead 50.6% to 48.8% with 23% reporting (as of 9:15pm CST).
What “evaporated” are you talking about?
I think it is likely O’Rourke will lose but “evaporated”? Not seeing it.
This was all clearly explained earlier by Nathaniel Rakich, although it was covered very sparsely and poorly in this thread.
I believe it was pulling in old results from the Brazilian election.
Sinema ahead in AZ.
ABC News is projecting that Republicans will keep the Senate. Not a surprise, but disappointing.
Did the voter counters go on strike in Florida? I haven’t seen any updates in more than an hour.
MSNBC just called the House for Dems
I’m going to bed soon, but according to NYT, the democrats have gained 11 house seats so far. Half the races are still outstanding.
We may not know who won the house for a while, California has mail in ballots that take a while to count. There are at least half a dozen GOP seats that could flip today in California. So it could be a while.
While Beto was leading (and he was, for most of the evening) MSNBC devoted a lot of air time breathlessly analyzing the import of his victory. All that analysis turned out to be for naught…which is what I was referring to as “evaporating”. And 51-49 is close-for-a-Democrat-in-Texas but not breathtakingly close.
Besides Kobach going down big time in Kansas, it looks like D’s have flipped two of the four House seats as well. Woot!!
Failure of voting machines is a feature.
Have all the urban districts already reported?
Not true in California, at least. Your vote doesn’t count if you throw in a write-in candidate, unless that candidate has registered with the state Secretary of State as a write-in candidate.
538 has Senate at 0% chance. And it takes a lot for a statistician to call something 0%!
MSNBC: Democrats will take the house.
Though I’ll feel a lot better once 538 does the same. They’re at 88% which I think is about where we started.
CNN predicted a few minutes ago that the GOP keeps the Senate, but Dems win the House and quite a few governorships. Which is more or less what most people were predicting anyway.
Not the complete takeover I’d hoped, but overall, I’m happier tonight than I was two years ago. Now here’s hoping the Dems will analyze the results and use them as a guideline for 2020 strategy.
Legal weed passes in Michigan. I give Schedule I status of cannabis no longer than the next Democratic presidency.
Kelly ran a great campaign, focusing on the Brownback tax disaster. She got endorsements from damn near all the retired Republican politicians in the state, including the last two Pub governors before Brownback. And Kobach had nothing to run on. I think that 90% of the Kobach ads I saw in the last month were clips of Trump endorsing Kobach at the Topeka rally.
MSNBC…the FOX News of the left. Don’t listen to either.
And Cruz won his last election by 16 points so I would say narrowing it down by 14 points is significant. YMMV