Back in Penna.:
Do dems have a realistic chance in Ohio? I’m hoping PA is a pickup but we’re probably going to lose GA among some other states.
My guess is there’s little chance of winning Ohio. I do feel better than you do about Georgia. With both candidates being Black, there will probably be a small but not insignificant number of old school racist white people who refuse to vote for either candidate. It also helps that Stacey Abrams is on the ballot.
IMHO best case scenario is 52-48, with Democrats holding all their current seats and picking up Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. I think there’s at least a 1 in 3 chance of that happening. Better if Democrats do a good job on fighting back against Roe vs. Wade being overturned. Worse if we continue to see things like baby formula shortages not being resolved.
Either way Ohio and Florida (which I sometimes see listed in lists of top 10 senate seats likely to flip) are both very unlikely to flip.
The best (only?) hope for Ohio is that Vance, having never run for political office before, makes some sort of appalling gaffe that a more experienced politician would know to avoid. I don’t think it’s likely, he seems sharp enough and I assume his handlers will keep him away from many unscripted events where such things can happen.
oh no republicans don’t spend all your campaign funds on fighting a close primary that would be terrible
My parents (who live in PA) were regaling me with the details of how much Barnette was annoying the other two Republican challengers.
Unfortunately, this just happened, so who know what the general election will be like:
The good news is that Fetterman seems to be doing well – he’s clearly lucid in the video his campaign released. According to the polling he’s got an enormous lead on his rivals for the Democratic nomination, so I’d be surprised if this ended up having a major impact on Tuesday. Assuming he doesn’t suffer any further complications, this should just be a bump in the road.
yep, it sounds like he is recovering well. thus far 2 sitting us senators have had stroke events this year.
As a longtime proud Ohio Democrat, I have to say it’s very unlikely we’ll be able to flip a Senate seat here this year, but I’d be glad to be proven wrong.
Oz wants you to know he is there for you, even when you’re in bed sleeping…
Also, Oz talks about Oz in the third person for some reason.
Good grief! Who thought that would be a good idea. That is big league creepy.
My vote is in. Should be a fun night in pa.
Democrat Cheri Beasley and Trump-backed Republican Rep. Tedd Budd easily won their parties’ nominations for Senate in North Carolina. NC is going to be a hill to climb for any Democrat – the state hasn’t voted for a Democrat for Senate since 2008 and the political climate won’t do Beasley any favors. But NC is usually close, so I wouldn’t count her out.
And in positive news, embarrassment to the human species Madison Cawthorn is trailing in his House primary (but with only about half the vote in as of this writing).
Embarrassments to the human species expecting an apology for the comparison.
Fetterman is the projected winner in the dem. primary.
The largest counties in that district are going for Edwards, so ol’ Maddie just might be toast. It’s going to be tight.
It early in the vote counting in PA but it looks like McCormick with a decent lead.
The republican side in pa is down to same day voting. It is going to be unsettled for a bit.
Mastriano vs Shapiro for govenor in pa.
Only eight precincts currently unreported and Edwards with about a 1,600 vote lead. Those remaining precincts would need to break very strongly for Cawthorn for him to pull this out.
Apparently Cawthorn has called Edwards to concede. “Fuck the establishment” is usually a pretty good vote getter in a Republican primary, but Cawthorn just found out that push too hard and the establishment can fuck you back.
Cawthorne has conceded.