Gray pulled ahead overnight. According the article below there are around 1500 ballots left that need to be cured because of potentially invalid signatures. They will be done by December 1st.
Really? Is it because the count is still going on so automatically they will cry fraud? Or is there some other reason they would pick on this guy rather than others?
The Republican majority in the House may be down to just one member when the three vacancies occur, making it even more difficult for them to deliver on Trump’s agenda in the opening months of his Administration. CA-13 looks like it will be the closest race of the cycle, making it the best target for Republicans to delay or deny a Democratic pickup to give themselves just a little bit extra breathing room.
But I think it would also give Republicans immense satisfaction because it would let them play “shoe’s on the other foot” with one of the defining moments of modern Republican politics – the battle over Indiana’s “Bloody Eighth” Congressional district in 1984. That election was certified by the Indiana Secretary of State as having been won by the Republican by 34 votes. But the Democratic majority in the House refused to seat him, and conducted their own recount that ultimately found the Democrat won by four votes. It was a turning point in the rise of Newt Gingrich and a combative, win-at-all-costs philosophy of the GOP.
I get the first paragraph of your post. Basically vindictiveness.
I doubt the reasoning in your second paragraph holds up. 1984 is likely before most of these yahoos were born. And we know how little they care about history.
It’s now a 190 vote lead with 209,792 counted. There should only be around 400 more ballots, some of which may not get cured. Presumably they will take tomorrow off.
According to the article below, there are 186 ballots left and they will finish counting today. The math is impossible for the GOP if that’s true. Official certification is Wednesday.
Correction. They will finish tomorrow.
More votes in and the lead has shrunk to 143 with 210,519 counted. There are still some uncured ballots left to be reported later today.
“Cured”? “Uncured”? Please enlighten a foreigner.
It refers to a situation where there is a problem with a ballot, generally absentee or mail in ballots in my understanding, that may result in it being rejected. This can be a missing signature or signature not matching what is on file. I’m sure there are other reasons. Some states allow a period of time where a voter will be contacted and given the chance to correct whatever the issue may be.
This district contains all or part of four counties, two Red and two Blue. I read that the two Red counties are completely counted and that all of the remaining ballots are from the Blue half.
It’s over. CA-13 has officially gone Blue which is a flip and there is one more Democrat in the Congress than last time.
The final count is 220-215.
With Gaetz having left and two other GOPs leaving it will be 217-215 so like no margin for error.
When do we start the “When will we have a Speaker?” thread?
This morning on NPR, a political commentator used a phrase I’d never heard before. He said Speaker Johnson may, in dealing with his slim and fractious majority, have a tough time “keeping the frogs in the wheelbarrow.”
And see:
The people who turned the gop caucus into a clown show during Biden’s term share most of their voterbase with Trump’s most hardcore supporters. IMO there isn’t going to be the same thing because they’ll all fall in line with whoever Trump backs for speaker and whatever major budget asks he has.
And even for some big legislation that maybe the purple district reps don’t like, they’ll probably just pass it on the assumption that the senate won’t kill the filibuster so they won’t have do deal with the fallout of any hard-right legislation actually being enacted.
On the three who are leaving:
Stefanik of NY: Special election would be in March. She got 62.2% of the vote in the last election.
FL elections would be in April.
Gaetz got 60.0%
Waltz got 66.5%
Waltz and Stefanik haven’t actually resigned yet.