Both would be Democrat flips (they’ve already flipped one seat in CA). I was looking at them last night to see where the remaining tranches of votes were coming from and they both look very much like complete coin tosses at this point.
This one may go into extra innings, if neither get over 50%. By extra innings, I mean doing the ranked-choice runoff thing. Since she’s the incumbent, I think Peltola has a decent chance at winning that.
That’s interesting and I wasn’t aware of it but still a stretch. Decision Desk called it for the GOP an hour ago but I go by the AP. The final tabulation will happen on 11/20.
She’s down by about 9,000 and there are only 15,000 votes to transfer. She would need to win something like 80% of those votes to pull ahead.
OH-09 just went blue, as expected.
218-213
CA-45 has changed to blue (which would be a flip). The lead is around 300 votes out of 311k cast.
Yay! Glad Marcy Kaptur hung on in Ohio… but it’s probably time for new Dem blood in that seat.
Also CA 27 to Whitesides was a blue flip- and close. But called.
CA-13 is just as narrow - 351 vote lead now for the Republican incumbent Duarte with an estimated ~5,000 votes to count.
The Alaska seat was just called for the GOP which is a flip. It’s now and 8-7 flip lead for the GOP and 219-213 overall.
Three seats left to call.
If the seat exists. Ohio gets a new map in 2026 and the Supreme Court will not be an obstacle like it was in 2021.
Fair point.
Three seats still up in the air:
The Iowa one is going through a recount which is scheduled to be complete today. There is no way this seat won’t stay Red. The recount was not automatic but the Democratic candidate was entitled to it because it was close enough. This was a waste of money.
The two California ones are crazy close. By state law they need to be settled by December 10th.
It looks like one with be a Blue upset and the other stay red.
Yes, if things hold and they probably will. This will be eight flips each and the same exact Congress by the numbers as before. But this excludes one or two GOPers who are leaving to take jobs in the new administration plus Gaetz.
Yeah, almost the same within a vote. Gaetz’s seat is a red lock, but I am not sure about the two others.
The other FL one is also a red lock too.
AP just called CA-45 for the Democrats which is a flip.
And IA-01 for the GOP.
220-214 with eight flips each.
CA-13 is the only one left.
98.99% of the vote in.
The Democrat leads the incumbent Republican by 182 votes out of a total of 208,824 counted so far,
If Adam Gray (the Democratic challenger) pulls off the win in CA-13, I wouldn’t be surprised if House Republicans refuse to seat him.