Criminey, Fulton, get off your ass and COUNT!
Andre Pollard now up to 43 votes. Pollard has a BS in Mechanical Engineering.
Fulton County still at 16% in.
Ossoff at 50.3% with both Cobb and DeKalb 100% in. Ossoff outperformed Clinton by around 1.5% in both of those counties. Similar performance in Fulton would get him 48% in Fulton and around 49% overall.
Andre Pollard has not lost any ground and remains at 43 votes. Pollard is an AT&T Aspire Mentor and served on the Fulton County School Technical Advisory Committee.
Fuck you Fulton County.
Don’t get too granular, dudes and dudettes. Facts are the Forces of Darkness clawing and scratching in what should have been a breeze. Good! More than that, gravy on your biscuits.
Help me understand the stats. It seems to me that if he comes in at 48-49%, he’s a very strong contender in the runoff. If he and his opponent both keep their initial voters in the runoff, the opponent needs also to get nearly every remaining vote out there. Ossoff needs to get about 1 in 20 or 30 of the remaining votes out there.
Sure, most of the non-Ossoff votes are Republicans. But some of them are likelier to stay home if their first choice doesn’t win; some of them might also consider Ossoff better than whichever Republican is his opponent. It doesn’t have to be very many at all in order to be enough to put him over the edge.
Maybe I’m wrong, and maybe party loyalty is gonna decide the day. But it does seem that Ossoff has a lot more paths to victory than his opponent will, if he doesn’t win outright today.
The problem will that analysis is that the “every remaining vote out there” will be almost entirely Republican. It’s not like a voter for Judson Hill is going to say “hmm, should I decide between Handle or Ossoff?” - they’re just going to pull the lever for whichever Republican eventually wins. There are a lot of Georgia districts where (we have open primaries) almost nobody votes in the Democratic primary - instead the liberal voters vote for the most moderate Republican because they know a Republican will end up taking 70% of the vote. One of the reasons this election is close is because all the dems that usually don’t bother are actually showing up.
Someone staying home because their candidate didn’t win is entirely possible and that’s probably Ossoff’s best chance in a runoff. But I very much doubt any Republican voters will cross party lines in the runoff.
He’s come closer than I thought he would, or the polls showed. If the Dems can keep up the turnout for the runoff, he has a shot, but historically the Dems have done VERY poorly in runoffs in this state. Poor Jim Martin kept Saxby Chambliss from a majority in the 2008 senate race, only to get whalloped in the runoff.
Apparently a judge in Fulton extended voting hours by 2 hours - source is a tweet here.
I haven’t been able to confirm that from any news source.
Ever the optimist, where it comes to Democrats doing well. :o
The chance that people who voted for one of the numerous Republican candidates are going to flip to the Democratic candidate in a few weeks is very small. The chance that Republicans who didn’t vote today (because they cannot decide between/among the Republican candidates, or because they’re not really believing they could end up with a Democratic Representative) will come out and vote in a few weeks is good.
It will be close, but absent unforeseen circumstances, he’s probably hitting the high-water mark tonight.
Even if the polls stayed open two hours late at a couple of locations the polls still closed almost two and a half hours ago and Fulton County is still stuck on 16% in. What is the problem?
“I’m a great tennis player. I’ll challenge anyone, including Serena Williams." - Andre Pollard
Here’s a link to the Fulton county results of the special election - looks like it hasn’t been updated since 9:20 local.
Dunno what the holdup is - maybe they knocked off for the night? 
Playing with the filters, it looks like they’ve only counted the Advance in Person votes… :mad:
Fulton County election officials are dicks. No other explanation.
In other news. Andre Pollard emigrated from Guyana to the US at age ten and now he’s running for congress. He is the American dream.
From WSB-TV (Atlanta) Twitter…
“JUST IN: Rare data error from one of the cards means Fulton Co. will have to manually go through hundreds of cards to find the culprit.”
From WSB-TV - caution, autoplay.
Here’s a tweet from Terah Boyd, a producer from that station.
They’ve found the bad card and are proceeding.
shakes fist at Lance Turbo
… and with 177/210 precincts reporting, Ossoff (as predicted) is down to 48.6%
As for the runoff - it is a lot easier to run when your opposition is split into a dozen candidates.
If Ossoff gets as high as 45% in the runoff, I will be surprised.
Fulton up to 72%. Ossoff down to 48.6%.
Andre Pollard becomes the first native of Guyana to break the 50 vote barrier in the history of Georgia district 6 special elections. Don’t forget about 'Dre.
Full disclosure: I did not actually fact check my previous post. I just know in my heart that it is true.
Copying a little math:
In 2017, all R vs all D candidates: R 50.49, D 49.41
In 2016, Price® 61.6%, Stooksbury(D) 38.4%.
Not a bad swing, though I’d hoped for a clear win.
What’s with the weird cheerleading for Andre Pollard?