6/08 Primary Tuesday Prediction Thread

Well 12 more states go to the polls today in an election year full of surprises. Now’s a good time to put in any of your last minute predictions as the polls close.

Tuesday targets: Nine races to watch - POLITICO Here’s a good rundown at the most attention grabbing contests.

As for me, I’m predicting Bill Halter will take the biggest prize of the night, and the lion’s share of the media coverage going into Wednesday. Also Nikki Haley will get close to the 50% needed for a runoff, but come just shy and end up in a rematch with Gresham Barrett in a few weeks.

I’m also predicting Halter. I have no opinion on the SC goobernatorial race…my blip of sympathy for Haley over the “raghead” comment has faded (the Palin-taint was too much to overcome), so I don’t really give much of a damn about it. Same with most of the other races (although it will be fun to track whether Chickenlady or Ms Teabag 2010 is going up against Reid in November).

Predictions, I have none. Just hopes that Bill Halter gets the duke over Blanche [del]Lieberman[/del] Lincoln in AR and that some how, some way, Carly Fiorina goes down.

Nah, Halter’s going to get screwed by polling station shenanigans:

Not that there’s anything wrong with party insiders fixing the vote.
Oh, wait…

I think Carly Fiorina is going to get the GOP Senate nomination in California. I know that’s a pretty safe prediction based on the polls. I just wanted to go on record as saying it because I actually had a dream about that race last night. I’d read exactly one article about the race and I thought it was an odd topic for a dream.

Also, in California, I think Meg Whitman is going to get the gubernatorial nomination. Also not really a very risky position, given the polls, but at least the information didn’t come to me in a dream.

Also, fo the Democrats, it will be interesting to see if Jane Harman can hold onto her seat. She probably will, but…

And I’m going to go out on a limb and say that absolutely nothing of interest will happen here in Montana.

I predict that I’m going to laugh my ass off if Orly Taitz wins the the nom for SOS in California.

I was just reading about Carly and her run for the senate last night. And I quote:

*I watched as the Lamb opened the first of the seven seals. Then I heard one of the seven living creatures say in a voice like thunder, “Come!” I looked, and there before me was a white horse! Its rider held a bow, and he was given a crown, and he rode out as a conqueror bent on Conquest.
*

Can you tell I am an ex-HP (Agilent) employee?

I didn’t know she was running, but just this is laugh-my-ass-off material:

I’m detecting a pattern here…

Halter Complains It Was Hard to Vote in Garland Co., Ark.

Then again, Halter’s now up 51-49 with 59.5% counted.
The forces of evil may yet be thwarted tonight.

Chris Matthews (MSNBC) just said that it looks like she’s won. I didn’t see the numbers so I can’t say if he’s right or not.

If she does win the primary, how the hell can the Republican Party support her in the general election without looking like loons? But how can they not support their party’s candidate? :stuck_out_tongue:

Looks like Politico had the numbers reversed when I checked.
Now it’s Lincoln 51, Halter 49.

First off, ten points will be taken from California, for its serious lack of judgment.

I can’t imagine that it’ll be a matter of supporting or not supporting O RLY for CA Repubs, especially if the Secretary of State’s office is as toothless there as it is here.

How much does it take to pose for the picture that hangs in the DMV? IMO, they’ll focus on the gubernatorial and senatorial races and let the chips fall where they may for SoS.

Of course, I would hope even Democrats have the political savvy to be able to take advantage of an escaped mental patient being anywhere near their opponents’ ticket.

I know, I know. I’m a dreamer.

Oh, I think the Democrats will at least try to hang her around their opponents necks if they can.

Even if they don’t, the media will do the job for them since they won’t be able to resist her antics and the ratings that will come with reporting them.

The AP called it for Lincoln. I hope Arkansas likes their new Republican senator in November.

Analysis from The Nation: Arkansas’ Lincoln Clings to Narrow Lead as Tea Partisans Show Strength in the South.

Which is why I plan on laughing like a hyena.

Doesn’t Secretary of State certify candidates for election?