American Idol Prediction Challenge

Let’s have a game around American Idol.

To play the game, you must pick

  1. Who’ll win, and
  2. Who will be the runnerup.

You get a maximum of 20 points for picking either, but

  • You only get half points if your chosen winner ends up as the runnerup, or vice versa.

  • You can change your votes. But the later you change your vote the more points you will lose. After EACH quarterfinal round (the 32 remaining contestants are squaring off in groups of 8) a changed vote loses 2 points automatically. It doesn’t matter if you’re changing your vote because your pick got booted off, or if you just like someone else better.

If your pick doesn’t win or end up as runnerup, but DOES make the final eight and you picked them before their quarterfinal, you’ll get 1 consolation point.

So in theory you could get 40 points. On the other hand, if you picked the winner as the runnerup, and didn’t pick the runnerup, and picked her/him after all the quarterfinals, you would get exactly two points - (20/2)-(2*4).

Here are your choices:

BETTIS RICHARDSON
The non-partying member of the party trio

CHARLES GRIGSBY
Black kid who usually wears a knit cap

J.D. ADAMS
Handsome white kid who Simon praised during open auditions

JULIA DEMATO
Hairdresser who got into a tiff with her partners

KIMBERLEY CALDWELL
Blonde girl who was the ringleader of Julia’s group

LASHUNDRA COBBINS
Pretty, chocolate-skinned girl from the Nashville audition

MEOSHA DENTON
Don’t remember this girl

PATRICK FORTSON
Heavyset black guy - not the REALLY big one, though

ASHLEY HARTMAN
Very young blonde girl

CANDICE COLEMAN
Very small, young-looking girl with straight brown hair

CHIP DAYS
Don’t remember this guy

CLAY AIKEN
Geeky-looking redheaded guy with an amazing voice

COREY CLARK
Party on, dude!!!

EQUOIA COLEMAN
No relation to Candace. Only girl named “Equoia” in the world.

FRENCHIE DAVIS
Big Aretha-style girl with dyed hair who reconciled the warring girl foursome

GEORGE TRICE
Don’t remember this guy

HADAS SHALEV
Don’t remember her either

JACOB SMALLEY
Cutesy kid with curly hair

JENNIFER FUENTES
Cute girl, one of the first picked in the first show IIRC

JORDAN SEGUNDO
Youngest guy in the competition

JOSHUA GRACIN
The Marine. Salute!!! How does he get all this leave?

KIMBERLEY LOCKE
The other big girl who performed with Frenchie

KIMBERLY KELSEY
Unique-looking person - see Web site - struggled a bit in the last show

LOUIS GAZZARA
Don’t remember this kid

NASHEKA SIDDALL
No memory of her either. I feel like Leonard in the hotel room.

PATRICK LAKE
Rocker guy

REBECCA BOND
Memory problem again

RICKEY SMITH
Hercules! Hercules! Hercules!

RUBEN STUDDARD
Great big guy with the sweet voice

SAMANTHA COHEN
No sir, don’t recall this one

SYLVIA CHIBILITI
Girl who sort of looks like Angela Bassett

VANESSA OLIVAREZ
Punk girl

All their pictures are available in the links.

PLACE YOUR BETS!!!

Frenchie wins it through overwhelming talent coupled with empathy.

I’ll have to contemplate runner-up…

Frenchie is my bet for winner. No question about that.
I think Julie the hairdresser will be runner-up…maybe.

This is my “sentimental list” – I doubt this’ll actually be the top 10, this is just the list I’d like to see make it on pure “they’re not Barbie clones” or “gee, they seem really nice” grounds.

Bettis Richardson
Clay Aiken
Frenchie Davis
Kimberley Locke
Ruben Studdard
Joshua Gracin
Vanessa Olivarez
Rickey Smith
Kimberly Caldwell
Julia DeMato

Hafta think about who wins. I agree Frenchie on pure talent, but I don’t know if she’ll pull in the votes from the general public.

An R&B trio of Frenchie Davis, Kimberley Locke and Ruben Studdard would totally kick ass.

I will be the vote of the common man who hasn’t seen one second of this show. Might as well take a stab and see how spectacularly my two randomly picked people flame out.

Note: This pick is made without looking at pictures, video, or hearing what they sound like. It is simply based on random numbers.

Winner: Rickey Smith
Runner-up: Kimberley Caldwell

Kimberly Caldwell
Kimberly Locke

Going on the theory that the most air time has gone to the contestants the judges already like and will pick:

Winner: Frenchie Davis (you go, girl!)
Runner up: Clay Aiken, another blow for substance over style
Third: Ruben Studdard , with props to Cpl. Gracin before he gets sent overseas

I second ElivisL1ves’s predictions. I lurve me some Clay Aiken, but he just doesn’t have enough presence to win. Frenchie, on the other hand, has major presence, is really cute and someone that a lot of the voting public can relate to, and has an amazing voice and great style. She’s totally a winner.

An interesting theory considering Kelly Clarkston didn’t get much screentime at all until the final 30! :slight_smile:

Considering the next state of the competition involves the public, I think the contestants who’ve received 0 face time are going to have a more difficult time, very unfair (although it worked for Kelly)

Winner: Frenchie
Runner up: I want to say Clay although his style is more "broadway"and I think that’s going to hurt him with the audience voting.
So instead I’ll say Ruben (him so cute and sweet):slight_smile:

Oh, and my picks:

Winner: Frenchie Davis
Runner-Up: J.D. Adams

I like Frenchie, and I even like her bio the most. She’s the most talented, has the best stage presence, and is substantially different from Kelly Clarkson, which I think will work in her favor. She really looks and sounds like a woman among children; despite the non-Britney look, her talent could just blow the field away.

I’d LIKE Rickey Smith to be runner-up but I think the Adams kid has the right mix of charisma, looks and talent to take second place. Nonetheless, Rickey could pull an upset; his performance doing “The Way You Make Me Feel” was just awesome, he’s getting better every day.

I really don’t like Julia DeMato.

I like Bettis Richardson’s look and sound, as well as Juliia DeMato. But on the Bettis Richardson page, where it asks if he thought the process was fair, he said, “Yes. Sort of. The whole need more black thing, “fill the quota,” was obvious.”

Hmm, probably not the smartest thing in the world to say. Seems he needs to work on his public relations skills a little.

Happy

  1. Frenchie.
  2. Rickey.

Although there is a good chance that Rickey will not do as well due to his non-Idol-ish look. HERCULES!

Well as I mentioned in the other thread I am cynical about who I expect them to pick.

My predections.

  1. Julie. Great voice, Nice tits and knows how to use them.
  2. J.D. Ken-doll come to life with good voice(at least in first audition, I didn’t notice him during this show).

Win: Vanessa Olivarez (the redhead)
Place: Joshua Gracin (the marine)
Show: Clay Aiken

Julia DeMato

Crud hit it too soon. RUnner up, Rickey Smith

First place: Frenchie
Runner-up: the bullet sponge

Although I like Frenchie to win, I don’t think its gonna happen, remember last year when AJ and Jim made it to the top 10…it was the teeny boppers who put those two non-talents in there.

Fortunately this year they’ve got some guys who can really sing this time around.

Remembering what happened with Tamyra, my picks are:

Winner: Clay Aiken
Runner-Up: JD Adams