in the same vein as figuring that a Cubs/Yankees World Series, or a Patriots/Cowboys Super Bowl would shatter any prior TV ratings numbers, this election feels like it could obliterate any prior record number of people (like myself) getting off their lazy asses to go and vote…
per this Wikipedia link, the past six voter turnouts have been as follows:
1992 Clinton (44.9M votes) vs Bush Sr (39.1M) vs Ross Perot (19.7M) – ~$104.6M out of $189.4M eligible voters = 55.2%
1996 Clinton (47.4M votes) vs Dole (39.2M) vs Ross Perot (8.1M) – ~$96.4M out of $196.8M eligible voters = 49.0%
2000 Gore (51.0M votes) vs Bush Jr (50.5M) – ~$105.6M out of $209.8M eligible voters = 50.3%
2004 Bush Jr (62.0M votes) vs Kerry (59.0M) – ~$122.3M out of $219.6M eligible voters = 55.7%
2008 Obama (69.5M votes) vs McCain (59.9M) – ~$131.4M out of $229.9M eligible voters = 57.1%
2012 Obama (65.9M votes) vs Romney (60.9M) – ~$129.2M out of $235.2M eligible voters = 54.9%
I don’t think any of us at this point expect a landslide victory one way or the other, but any predictions as far as turnout? The 131.4M votes cast in 2008 seems to be the mark to beat - any chance we get to 135M? certainly not 140M??
what about “percentage of people eligible to vote, who actually get out and do it”? Since 1968, the highest percentage turnout was - again - 2008, with 57.1%. Any chance this year breaks the 60.0% barrier?