"Can Democrats Flip a House Seat in a District Trump Won?" [In Pennsylvania, March, '18]

13 Precincts to go and Lamb leads by 585 votes. Tight.

Lamb lead down to 585 with 98% in.

Actually, apparently, I’m wrong:

From CNN.

CNN has Lamb up by 700.

With 12 precincts to go, according to politico

Cook Report’s Dave wasserman is saying absentee ballots, yet uncounted, should give lamb a good boost. Most are from Allegheny County.

I’m sure this has been posted (I haven’t been following this thread very close), but Trump won this district by 20 points, and the Republicans had to outspend the Dems 2:1 just to keep it close? Yikes. I hope this bodes well for November.

For the sake of argument assume Lamb wins very narrowly. I’m guessing GOP powers advise strongly against asking for a recount. It would only prolong keeping the roughly 20 point shift as a focus longer for no real gain. Focus on November.

Lamb up by 755 according to CNN. I guess I’ll have to wait till tomorrow to find out, since I’m going to bed.

Here’s a twitter thread from a PA lawyer with PA election experience.
Here’s one salient bit:

Saccone just picked up 660 votes in Washington County, bringing Lamb’s lead down to 95 votes.

NY Times = “Conor Lamb leads by 0.0 percentage points, or 95 votes, over Rick Saccone with 99 percent of precincts fully reporting.”

99.7% reporting:
Lamb: 109,945 votes
Saccone: 109,850 votes

Yeah, I think they need to count the absentee, judge the provisionals, and wait for the overseas votes to come in.

The Allegheny County absentees should be counted by midnight and are expected to go heavily for Lamb.

That’s one tight race! Which is a damn shame, considering.

Considering what?

Twitter

Right now (11:06 Eastern) It’s Lamb 111,875 to Saccone 111,028 – a gain from a few minutes before.

With .3% of the vote to go, I don’t think Saccone can catch up.

The CNN talking heads are saying Saccone would need about 60 percent of the outstanding absentee ballots to pull out a win – and in his most favorable counties with already counted votes he’s only ahead by about 53 percent.