OTOH: Senate Update: Clinton Is Surging, But Down-Ballot Democrats Are Losing Ground | FiveThirtyEight
Maybe* that* belongs more in the 538 Senate thread?
It’s probably easier to discuss the trend line of the generic congress ballot if you look in places where they go to the trouble of drawing the trend line.
RCP D +6.2
Huffpost Pollster D +5.6
All of this belongs in the house flipping thread.
Also…
538 D +3.7
Damn, I just waded through that whole document, and I’m still not sure what SlackerInc wanted me to be amazed by.
Would it kill him to quote the relevant part, and clue us in with a comment or two?
I’m tempted to mail him a Dr. Bronner’s label and say “I can’t believe what he wrote here! Read this before you watch the next press conference!”
Isn’t that for the Senate? Or are the generic polls the same for both houses?
I’m not sure either, but apparently Charlie Cook finds in it indications that Hillary is a lock. That’s what he said in a tweet, anyway.
When I read pages 47 and 53, I burst into tears. You won’t believe the reason why.
Doctors HATE page 31, and page 14 tells you how to date Margaery Tyrell from Game of Thrones.
No. They are generic house polls.
You won’t believe what page 18 looks like now!
So what you’re saying is Slackerinc is clickbaiting for Fox News?
- You failed to identify Charlie Cook and why we should care about anything he says.
- You failed to explain what he said, leaving us to wade through 62 pages in hopes of finding a nugget of wisdom–without a clue to the identity of that nugget. Clickbait ads at least tell us what we’re looking for.
- Who the fuck is Charlie Cook? I’m fairly up on things and this is the first I’ve heard of him.
- What did he say? You still haven’t explained that.
- As a group, we open new threads, even obvious spam ones.
The Cook Political Report has been around since 1984. It’s generally well respected. Anyone who pays attention to politics should at least be aware of it.
Apparently not. Given how many folks the OP has left lost.
It’s been two days. Are you still out, or do you have a different excuse now?
Word.
What “group” would this be? I’ve been posting on the SDMB since it was on AOL (though pretty infrequently from around 2000-2012), and I don’t open the vast, vast majority of threads.
I generally try to stay off message boards and social media on the weekends. I don’t always succeed, but if you look at my activity for the past few months (since I made this “resolution”), I’m pretty good about it most weeks.
ETA:
Do I also have to explain who Nate Silver is? :rolleyes:
I’ve heard of Nate Silver, but not Charlie Cook. I guess I’m not a political junkie. So sue me.
So I’m still not sure what exactly I was supposed to glean from this barnburner of a 62 page report.
ETA: Keep in mind, my introduction to the link to this poll contained more information than that tweet, and more than the Facebook The Pollsters post I got it from (which only said “If Charlie Cook tells you to look at a poll, look at the poll!”). So a lot of people are shooting the messenger here.
Ditto. Never heard of the guy. Cook, that is.