CONTEST: Electoral Results. With prizes!

Can’t you just FEEL the excitement?

Amended to add McMullin in Utah: 28%.

Well, I’m hoping 5.1% of voters feel the Johnson, anyway.

Thanks to JC, I’ll add my tiebreaker: Eggs McMuffin 25% in UT.

Electoral: Clinton 323; Trump 215
Senate: 51D 49R
3rd Party: 5.1%
McMullin Utah: 30%

If Clinton does better and I lose I will not be upset!

If Clinton wins and I finish in last place I will not care. My son is a rabid Michigan fan while I bleed Spartan green. We both agree that we would rather see U-M and MSU finish a combined 1-23 and have Hillary win than have them finish 23-1 and meet in the national title game and have Trump win.

So a friend of mine sent me this:

He’s a total, Alex Jones-type CT nut, but for the other tribe. He believes the election is rigged to favor Clinton and she stole it from Bernie and that Trump and Clinton are really in cahoots and are running the show behind the scenes. He believes the election has already been decided, down to the exact number of votes cast, and as “proof” sent me a screenshot from a TV station purporting to show the 2016 election results. I unabashedly laughed in his face, but for this contest I’ll use the figures he believes have already been agreed upon.

Clinton: 343 EV
Trump: 195 EV
Third party (Johnson / Stein / others) 18% of the total national vote
Senate: 51 / 49 in Dem favor.
McMullin in Utah: 19.2%

I’m now hoping you win. :slight_smile:

Hillary’s Electoral Vote Count 322
Trump’s Electoral Vote Count 215
Senate Split 51 Democratic, 49 Republican
Third Party Vote Percentage, expressed in tenths of a percent 9.3%

Evan McMullin’s Vote Percentage in Utah 27.5%

Alright, let’s do this.

Clinton: 323
Trump: 209
(The McMuffin: 6. What the hell.)
Senate: 50-50
Votes To Other Parties: 7.9%
El McMuffmeister In Utah: 36.1%

And seriously, if Evan McMullin’s friends don’t call him “Eggs,” dudes need to step up their game.

We now have 24 players with less than four days to get entries in!

Who else is in?

Don’t know why my link screwed up. Sharing links to custom Huffpo Pollster maps seems to be messed up. Here’s a screenshot instead.

Oh, and 21.0% McMullin in Utah, just by eyeballing the tend on the chart

Here’s mine:

Hillary: 342
Trump: 196
Senate: D/I 51/ R 49
3rd Party: 7.2%
McMullin: 36%

Hillary: 274
Trump: 264
Senate: D/I 50/ R 50
3rd Party: 4.8
McMullin: 25%

Allowing for the faithless elector from Washington, make Hillary 273 instead.

My prediction:

Clinton EV 318
Trump EV 220
Senate 50:50
Third party votes 3.6%

ETA: McMullin in Utah tiebreaker: 24%

Hillary’s Electoral Vote Count: 322
Trump’s Electoral Vote Count: 216
Senate Split: 50-50
Third Party Vote Percentage, expressed in tenths of a percent: 5.5%
McMuffin Factor: 25%

Trump electoral college votes: 301 (red/lean red states + toss up states + Michigan + Pennsylvania, if my math is correct)
Clinton electoral college votes: 237
Senate: 51 Republican / 49 Democratic
Combined 3rd party popular vote: 4.4%
McMullin Utah vote: 23.8%

Cool game. I hope to be way wrong as I dislike Clinton less than Trump. My hunch is that the pissed off rust belt vote is not well measured by polls having spent much time in MI, OH, & PA.

With a day or so to vote, we’re at 30 predictors!

Who will win? Let’s find out!