Missouri has tested nearly 17 people.
Mike Pence announced that 45 people on the cruise ship near San Francisco were tested, and 21 were positive.
It turns out, the people who tested positive were not informed of the results before Pence went public.
The cruelty is the point.
This is sad for me personally because as someone who was working in the public health field until fairly recently, there’s a lot of good that CDC (and HHS and NIH) does, but they were clearly caught flat-footed on this one.
But the worst of it without question is that they’re clearly being pressured by the top levels of authority to spin the news and downplay the crisis, and that invites all kinds of speculation about scenarios that seem outrageous but in this era really aren’t.
People are underestimating how serious COVID-19 is, but they’re soon going to find out the hard way.
There will be a point when testing finally ramps up when we realize that we’re way, way behind on this. And if we think the markets are panicking now, sheeeeit…just wait.
Complete and total “it can’t happen here” ineptitude.
The “it can’t happen here mentality” explains a lot about what’s happening in America these days. The response to the pandemic is analogous to our response to the rapid decline of America’s political system.
Texted to me by my lady friend re: her son in Austin.
For all intents and purposes the young man is a roadie who travels from place to place on a weekly basis.
Interesting article: Epidemiology and Transmission of COVID-19 in Shenzhen China: Analysis of 391 cases and 1,286 of their close contacts. Before discussing it though some background first.
There, across the globe, are hardly ANY cases of COVID-19 being reported in children. The numbers from South Korea, where testing is done most liberally, are showing 5% of all cases in those under 19 years of age (and no deaths). Over 40% of cases in the 20 to 39 year old cohort (and only one death, CFR 0.04%). 20% of cases have been found in those 60 and over but 83% of the deaths. Overall using their widely available testing is a CFR of 0.7%
A big question is if that means there really are so few kids infected, or if there are many cases in kids, but with mild infections that resolve on their own never coming to any medical attention. While young adults are getting tested with moderate illness that they recover from.
In the linked study one of the groups investigated and analyzed separately were those identified by contact tracing:
Bolding mine.
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Lots of sporting events are starting to be cxl’d:
[ul]
[li]Paris Marathon has been postponed from this weekend to Nov. [/li][li]Rome Marathon has been flat out cxl’d for this year. [/li][li]I know of races this weekend in NYC (postponed, date TBD) & Chicago that have been cxl’d; the latter because the venue pulled out. [/li][li]A world championship in Taipei in May has been postponed, date TBD.[/li][/ul]
I have friends traveling to Paris for a race next week; as of now, it’s still on, but who knows if they’ll have it &/or if they don’t if it’ll be cxl’d before they travel.
Oh. CFR of the primary cases plus the cases in the contact tracing group in the Shenzhen cohort about 0.5%.
The paucity of reported cases in the young and healthy suggests to me that the virus is possibly widespread, most recover fine with minor symptoms, and the numbers are garbage in the sense only people severely affected have been tested in the US (unless you’re on a cruise). Most folks don’t seek medical care for colds. And most doctors don’t do elaborate testing for them.
I’m not downplaying epidemics - I was on the front lines for SARS. But this isn’t the big one, in my view, no matter how spooked folks are.
I’m not a doc but everything I’ve read suggests that invasive ventilation needs to happen sooner rather than later.
I’m not sure what “the big one” is, but this is damn serious, especially if you’re worried about parents in their 70s or worried about people with underlying health conditions and you’re in the American health system - keep in mind we have minimal insurance coverage and ICU visits would put extreme financial stress on most families.
Lots of things to consider here, not just life and death but financial health.
I’m going to be generous and assume you meant the US government deserves whatever political fallout happens because of its ineptitude and not that the people of the US deserve “whatever this virus does to us,” because otherwise, this is an extremely cold and cavalier comment. And I’d remind you it isn’t just people who are “a little older” who can find COVD-19 fatal; it’s also people with compromised immune systems.
I agree with the rest of your comments, however.
WE elected the US government. No?
A new confirmed case a couple miles from here, in another retirement community. Seattle.
16 = nearly 17?
102,188 confirmed infections
3,491 dead
57,389 recovered
In the US:
338 confirmed infections
14 dead
8 recovered
Trump doesn’t want to let the Grand Princess dock and let the passengers do quarantine on land because he doesn’t want to increase the number of cases in the US. After what happened on the Diamond Princess, I hope everyone can see the idiocy of that. And it won’t make any difference. At least one site, and I expect most sites, are already including them in the US count anyway.