The more I hear from mr trump, the more I believe that Baghdad bob is alive and well; and apparently running for president.
It is seriously uncanny. i would find it very funny, if I did not live in the u s.
No, I think Newt is remembering he didn’t get picked.
Revenge is a dish best served cold.
Well, maybe lukewarm.
Hmm. Would that be the Newt who said just a couple of weeks ago in Cleveland…
"I’m… proud to be here as a Republican activist [testifying?] to the extra effort Donald Trump has invested in bringing the Republican Party together…
…to paraphrase Ted Cruz, if you want to protect the Constitution of United States, the only possible candidate this fall is the Trump-Pence Republican ticket…
…There have been many fascinating things to watch about the extraordinary historic rise of Donald Trump, but the most significant has been Donald Trump’s courage to tell some important truths about our national security…
…Let’s be clear, Donald Trump is right. We are at war with radical Islamists. We are losing the war. And we must change course to win the war…
…Donald Trump won our party’s nomination because he is willing to tell the truth about the things that matter. He has a great running mate in Mike Pence. They will put our safety first and they will defend America first. We can be proud to stand with them…
…So tonight, the challenge for everyone in this hall and everyone Republican, Democrat, or independent [is] to reject the suicidal dishonesty of Hillary Clinton and her establishment allies, and to stand with Donald Trump and Mike Pence for what we know is true…"
From here: Republican Convention: Newt Gingrich Responds to Ted Cruz | TIME
Posted without comment:
http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-08-03/donald-trump-is-the-lone-ranger-candidate?int=a14709
Take a look at the swing in one week on the latest 538 nowcast.
That has to be some kind of record for the biggest swing in a single week in election history? At least that’s something Trump can say he won at !
Apparently when speaking today, Trump re-opened some old self-inflicted wounds by bringing up his Megyn Kelly feud (“blood coming out of her… wherever”) and his claims of Muslims cheering in the streets in New Jersey after the 9/11 attacks.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/trump-remembers-his-greatest-hits/article/2003655
As one pundit said, it looks like Trump is on a suicide run.
I like this sentence best:
Well said, Mr. Vu; well said.
:sigh:
Too bad cladking is no longer with us.
;)
That was excellent. Thank you very much for bringing that my attention, jasg.
Obama wasn’t really born in the US, OK? So he was never really elected president, and if he were elected in November it wouldn’t be for a third term! Simple.
His model is a lot simpler, and a lot more stable. Here’s the graph of his polls-only model as of August 3, going back to May. It’s been hovering at >80% victory probability for Clinton the entire time, with no big swings one way or the other.
BTW, Wang is the guy who was fairly confident Trump would win the Republican Primary back in January, (more) based on his data-driven approach. Wang doesn’t complicate his models and he doesn’t engage in punditry and he still gets the predictions right more often than not.
It’s important to have multiple, independent forecasters with multiple, independent models all looking at the same data. It’s also important to realize the strengths of each model and why they differ.
Paul Krugman referred to it as a “derp spiral”, which I think is more accurate. Trump isn’t deliberately trying to sabotage himself - he’s just incapable of letting any perceived threat to his Greatness so unanswered. He’ll keep this up until November, insisting all the time that he’s winning, and then blame “Crooked Hillary” at the end when he doesn’t get what he wants.
Sad!
So he’s complaining that the NowCast does exactly what it’s supposed to and that it doesn’t predict the election result, which is not at all what it’s supposed to do and what the other 538 models are for. I’m sure he’s a bright guy, but this does him no favors.
Man. Even ignoring the nowcast, the “polls-only” has never (to my knowledge) had Clinton in the 70s before. But that’s where she is as of now (73.2% to Trump’s 26.7%).
Even the most stable edition, the “polls-plus” forecast, has hit a high of 69.4% Clinton, 30.6% Trump. Curious to see if/when the post-Khan kerfuffle polls start showing up.
The man who appeared in Johnson’s “Confessions of a Republican” ad 52 years ago has sat down to make a sequel for Clinton.
It’s shorter and less detailed than the original, but it’s powerful all the same; Trump as president would be just as dangerous, if not more so, than Goldwater would’ve been.
not kidding. I think Newt believed that as VP, he could control Trump’s most insane impulses, and, if I am not too far from reality, participate in the Constitutional process required to disqualify the President because of inability to fulfill the requirements of his office (mental breakdown?). It would be a sort of internal impeachment that would lead to, of course, Newt in the Oval Office.
Presidents have sometimes chosen a running mate whose main qualification was that no one wanted them to be President, ever! Sarah P is an example. Trump chose a far right winger who likely was too far ‘right’ to ever be nominated for the big job, but decent enough to be allowed to attend funerals as the President’s representative…
Anyway, Newt is a pretty smart guy. If he were a Dem, I might even admire some of his proposals.
I’ve been reading the most recent WaPo interview with Trump, and something dawned on me when reading his blather about voter fraud. I don’t think that he has voted for a long time, if he ever has. He seems to think that, without voter ID laws, people can just vote as many times as they want. I have voted for 44 years in a couple of states, and every time I have voted, I have had to state my name, my name had to be found in the roll book, and I have had to sign my name in the book. Isn’t that how it works all over the US? Do we have a Republican nominee who has never voted?
He has people for that.
Aren’t the records of who voted public? Couldn’t an enterprising reporter check to see if Trump turned up at the polls? ISTR someone shaming Rush Limbaugh several years ago because he hadn’t voted in the previous election. I figured there was some way to see the sign-in records.