Fearless prediction: Trump will NOT be the nominee. I see the anti-Trump movement gaining come traction as he continues to embarrass humanity. Look for Ryan to call a voice vote to change the rules and unbind all the delegates, all hell will break loose. Riots on the floor in Cleveland, riots on the streets of Cleveland, wailing and gnashing of teeth by Trumpians everywhere.
I’m not making this up, but in the 1899 edition of his book The River Wars, Churchill wrote:
Later editions of the book were condensed from two volumes to one and this quote was not included.
(“Hydrophobia” is what most people today call rabies.)
I’m telling you. If they were smart, they’d just wait it out. He’s going to bail. Especially if it gets nearer and nearer to November and the writing on the wall becomes plain to see. I don’t see him sitting through a beating like he’s likely to get. He’ll quit on some ridiculous excuse and then exclaim that he would have won if he hadn’t had to drop out.
Trump will be sued and hounded for the rest of his days if he did that.
And that would be different from now in what way?
Oh, please, let it be Kosho. I would love to see the cheeto tossed in the air and dumped in the cold water bath on international teevee.
He would be hounded by every Republican congressman and senator who have the ability to call investigation after investigation after investigation. These people will not be powerless and they can direct their ire @ Trump in a million different directions. EPA. IRS. FEC. SEC. FBI. DOJ. NV gaming commission. City ordinances. Traffic tickets. Bridge closures (Oh, wait, that’s Christie. Never mind.) His planes might need inspecting, all at once, repeatedly.
Trump’s a New Yorker, he’ll understand. 
If they choose someone else at the convention, he’s liable to run as an independent or for a third party.
Made me smile too.
As much as I enjoyed the creativity of Cheeto Jesus, I have to also recognize his use of underutilized douche canoe.
Only if it’s done the way Cartman plays it.
I dunno – so long as he stays in there taking a beating, he also gets to keep mainlining on the Trumpies’ enthusiasm. And if he hasn’t gone junkie on the latter by now, he ain’t The Donald.
There’s periodically been talk about Drumpf’s candidacy being something of a lark, almost a joke that got out of control. Two reports I’ve read in the past three weeks lend support to that notion, but not the way you might think. It seems like, whatever The Donald’s actual intention, it may be a big goof by the people going to his rallies at least (and then, one suspects, by many of his primary voters as well, although this may have changed at the end when he essentially just started getting support for being the frontrunner). So we may be overthinking this when we try to ascribe all these motivations of economic anxiety, xenophobia, etc., to his pundit-defying ascent.
First there was a detail from a late May NYT article that made me start to wonder if maybe his voters weren’t so much angry as criminally irresponsible in a jaded Information Age:
Am I wrong to feel more offended by this casual expression of ennui than I would the rants of someone who actually buys into all the bigotry? :mad:
But that was just one guy, and I set it aside. Now, today, the author Dave Eggars has a long piece in the Guardian reporting on his “undercover” experience at a Drumpf rally:
Talk about idiocracy. :smack:
Sure looks to me like Drumpf’s going to lose big, but there’s definitely something unsettling about the thought that this sort of Beavis and Butthead style snickering of “heh heh heh, that’d be cool” could have this much impact on a presidential race in the world’s biggest superpower. If it turns out to be a trend that continues apace as our society becomes ever more decadent and indifferent to, or dismissive of, the seriousness required in politics, that could ultimately be dangerous.
He would have to do it without Texas. The deadline to get on the ballot in November has already passed. Other states’ deadlines will pass by the convention. He is left with a write-in effort which is a heavy lift for such a small campaign.
You’ll remember that the people of the State of California had their fun with Arnold Schwarzenegger. They elected him governor several years ago. Why? Because of his government experience? Because of his business experience? I don’t think so. He was The Terminator and he could talk tough.
And, no, I am not comparing the content of their respective rhetoric. I don’t think Arnold ever said bad things about Mexicans or women during his campaign or that he advocated giving nukes to Japan. But the tough-guy who could entertain crowds was certainly there.
He will run independent only if somebody else pays for it.
this is my favourite from the Wilson Twitterstorm:
Steals his lines from candy commercials? Or is he making, like, a cultural reference?
RNC Delegates Unbound?: http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/17/politics/delegate-unbinding-effort-organized/index.html
Sanders does not, but Nader is close.