What’s going on in Iowa? Potential Harris steal?
Georgia went blue in 2020 very late in the counting. Still could; there are a lot of uncounted voted in the Atlanta area.
It’s hard to be optimistic about North Carolina. Virginia is tight but I have more hope for that.
Pennsylvania actually looks good at this point. The largest unreported counties are Harris counties (NBC’s maps).
27% of the vote in, she’s ahead, too early to draw meaningful conclusions.
I feel like at least one or two of the battlegrounds usually get called by now. So far - nothing.
The NYT estimate for Trump in PA keeps going higher and higher, right now it’s at 1.2%. It’s still early but the trend is not looking good…
Yup, all three of WI, MI, and PA are at least 55% Trump. Harris, obviously, needs them all. Still time and lots of votes out, but whatever is driving the model is not happy. And after 2016 I’ve learned not to mistrust the Needle.
ETA: Up to 73% chance Trump wins per the NYT.
I feel sick.
mmm
Phila will have a big dump of early vote around about midnight. This is from an interview with Jake on MSNBC, he is at the counting centre for phila.
phila is on same day vote now.
Good lord, even her forecasted popular vote margin keeps shrinking every 20 minutes on the NY Times “needle”. Now down to Even.
Phrasing please…
Immigration and inflation and trying to overcome the feeling that they were better off 4 years ago. Feelings are hard to fight.
The nausea has started to eat away at the optimism.
Trump: MT, UT
STILL no surprises.
Every PA county that has fully reported are better for Trump than 2020. Lackawanna by a lot. PA looks very bad to my eyes, unless Philly just blew the doors off today.
It’s patriarchy’s last stand, and it’s a woman their candidate is up against.
Utah and Montana to trump.
This
And this.
It’s completely unbelievable that voters can validate Trump’s behaviour.
The main hope is that the unusual nature of the 2020 election with many more mail-in ballots than usual might throw off a forecasting model like the Needle.
Right now Trump is at +1.5% in PA…
Looks like VA is leaning to Harris!
Senate 34 d and 44 r