Rather than bring up the old thread here, I thought it best to start a new thread since the EPL officially starts the 05-06 campaign this Saturday with the Charity Shield (Chelsea vs. Arsenal).
Predictions:
Four teams will realistlically be vying for the EPL crown this year - Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd., and Liverpool. Chelsea seems to be the odds on favorite - they still have the squad that won the League title (and League Cup) with one major, new addition - Shawn Wright-Phillips from Man City ($20+ million transfer fee). They also added a defensive back (Del Herro) as well. Striker Kezman is gone, but they’ve brought back Crespo from Italy. Should also do well in FA Cup and Champions League as well.
Arsenal lost their best midfielder (and captain) Viera to team in Italy (I think Juventus), so there’s a question of whether the loss there can be adequately filled by the younger Fabregas (or others). The addition of Hleb from Stuttgart will help.
Man Utd. brought in keeper Van de Sar from Fulham as their number #1 keeper (letting Carroll go on a free to West Ham; American Tim Howard still on the squad). The younger players on the squad (Rooney, Rinaldo) should be better this year, but some of the others (Keane, Scholes, Giggs) are a year older; while I expect them to also have good years, Man U. needs to start plugging in some younger players in those positions from time-to-time to build on for the future.
Liverpool had a remarkable season - finished fifth, but managed to win the Champions League in impresive style - down 3-0 at halftime, they came back and tied the score and won on peanaly kicks to take the trophy against AC Milan. The FA (and UEFA) will allow Liverpool to defend their title in Champions League, but they’ll be starting out in the qualifying stages (so far, they’ve gotten through the first stage by beating Kaunas of Lithuania). They’ve added quite a few new players (Sissoko, Reina, Crouch) to strengthen their squad.
Other teams that should view for the remaining slots for Europe (top 4 go to Champions League, next two go to UEFA cup):
Tottenham, Bolton, Middlesbrough, Newcastle, Everton
Middlesbrough added striker Yakubu from Portsmouth. Newcastle added Defensive back Scott Parker (from Chelsea) and Emre (from Italy). Bolton added Mexican striker Jared Borgetti - the first Mexican player to ever play in the EPL. Tottenham have also added players (Davids from Barca to name but one).
Of these five, I think Tottenham is the best of the bunch. They looked good on paper last season, but didn’t quite play as expected under manager Jacques Santini; after he was replaced by Martin Jol, they played better. Newcastle is the wildcard - they look good on paper, but the past few seasons they seem to want to live down to their potential.
Everton is a special case - they finished a surprising 4th when many predicted they would be relegated after the loss of Wayne Rooney to Man Utd., Radzinski to Fulham, and untested players in key positions (Tim Cahill). However, David Moyes did an incredible coaching job and got exceptional efforts from almost every player on the squad (Ferguson, Cahill, Gravesen, Carsley, Kilbaine, Hibbert, Weir, Martyn, Osman). The loss of Thomas Gravesen to Real Madrid during the second half of the season definitely hurt.
Mikel Arteta was brought in on loan from Rangers to fill the gap by Gravesen and did well at times (now signed to the club). Likewise, Everton shelled out $6 million for James Beattie (from Southhampton) and really didn’t play all that well. Both should play better this season (although Beattie still looks like he needs to loose a few more pounds). Everton have also added Midfielder Davies (from Tottenham), defensive back Koldrup (from Udinese), and Phil Neville (from Man Utd.). All three should help improve the squad.
Depth is (to me) still a concern for Everton. They were lucky in that they did not have a lot of major injuries last year. Several injuries to key players could hurt Everton’s chances for a spot at the top of the table. Currently, Lee Carsely (midfielder) will be out for about 2 months - Neville should fill his roll nicely. But injuries to other players could definitely hurt their chances for success.
While I would like to see Everton finish in one of the top 6 slots, I think it will be difficult for them to do so. Lack of depth and an additional quality striker to complement Beattie will mean Everton will have to fight for almost Every win again this season. Here’s hoping that Moyes and the boys are up to the challenge again this season. First real test - Champions League qualifier against Villareal (of Spain).
Other teams - for some reason, Charlton intrigues me. They seem to have added quite a few players (Smertin and Ambrose on loans). Last year they looked good at times; other times, they were horrible. If they ever play with some consistency, they could be the Bolton of last year. I also think Blackburn will be a bit better than last year. Bellemy is a good player (although he can be a pain in the butt sometimes), and Hughes is a decent coach. I don’t think they will do much this year, but I don’t think they will be sitting near the relegation zone like they did last year.
Birmingham, Man City, Fulham, Portsmouth, Aston Villa, and West Bromwich Albion all look to be about the same as last year or worse. I think Fulham, Portsmouth, and West Brom are contenders from this bunch to be relegated.
The newcomers - Wigan, Sunderland, and West Ham Utd. Of these, I think Wigan is the most likely to go back down.
All in all it should be an interesting season - Go Toffies!!!