Factors in handicapping the democratic race to the White House post Super Tuesday.

It’ll be a sad day if that happens. To put it in a little more academic terms, it’ll be a Bullshit day if that happens.

I’d support a do-over but not a simple seating…

This just in. . . [ul][li]The Baltimore Sun endorses Barack Obama. [/li][quote]
When Marylanders vote in Tuesday’s presidential primary, both Democratic choices are promising a new political era for this century, and each has the intellect and the skills to deliver. Hillary Clinton, with her years in Washington and most recently in the Senate representing New York, brings rich experience. She is tough and keenly focused, pragmatic and driven. But Barack Obama, her Senate colleague from Illinois, offers a more compelling vision for the country that he would lead. He wants to forge a new reality in Washington where consensus replaces confrontation. And he has shown a remarkable ability to enroll a diverse array of Americans in his cause, convincing a new generation that it too has a stake in Washington.

That’s why The Sun strongly endorses Mr. Obama as the Democratic nominee for president.
[/quote]
[/ul]

Texas is getting on the O-train. . . [ul][*]The San Antonio Express-News says: Obama better choice for Democratic nod.[/ul]

Latest from Maryland and Virginia:

Early caucus returns from Maine, with 11% of precincts reporting: Obama 51%, Clinton 48%

Anecdotal returns:

Definitely a good weekend for Obama. Looks like the Hillary camp is starting to sweat, another shakeup today. The delegate totals are still confusing- RCP has 1123-1120 Clinton, MSNBC has 943-895 Obama, CNN has 1139-1106 Clinton. I think CNN is Clinton News Network- they persist in showing FL and MI as Clinton victories on their maps.

Clinton is replacing her campaign manager.

Latest numbers in Maine- 57%-42% in Obama’s favor, with 44% of the vote in.

It’s a favorable look for Obama, especially with Maryland and Virginia up for grabs on Tuesday.

Hm… the link didn’t work for me. But this one does:

More numbers- still 57-42, still Obama, 59% of the vote in. Looks like a win… And even Hillary’s campaign has admitted that they won’t do well in Virginia, Maryland, or DC.

Yeah, they’ve decided to focus on the big states with a significantly larger number of delegates that are coming up later; Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Then, with whatever they can win there, use those numbers with the stolen MI and FL delegates and the beholden superdelegates to shove her candidacy down the throats of the DNC.

She’ll fail. And I’m going to enjoy watching it happen.

Even speaking as a former Mainer – do you think it’s similar enough to New Hampshire that this can be seen as momentum shift, i.e., a few weeks later the tide has changed among the same pool of voters?

Absolutely, I’ve been on the phone with relatives in Bangor and they have felt a change in popular opinion in the last several weeks. All of them Mainers, all still live up theyah.

Either way you stick it, it’s not looking very good for Hill - and of course, I’m with Shayna

Worked for Giuliani :smiley:

Ouch. That’s painfully accurate.

Dare we hope it works as well for Clinton? :smiley:

Is Maine a caucus a la Iowa, or is just an election run by the state? Obama does better in the former because his supporters are more enthusiastic even if less numerous, but the latter really would be indicative of a change in momentum.

So would the former, really, it’s just easier to spin.

They are caucuses, and good point… although I wonder if you know how caucuses work? Because people DO vote, although much less formally, and therefor a victory indicates your supporters were also more numerous. You do not have more influence in a caucus because you are more enthusiastic.

Maine is caucuses. Regardless of what type of election they have there has already been a change in momentum. :smiley: