I’m still hoping for an oubliette.
FBI Search and Seizure at Trump's Mar-A-Lago Residence, August 8, 2022, Case Dismissed July 15, 2024
I have to pee just thinking about it.
This gets to the meat of the question. It’s relevant that the best precedent resulted in a 6 year sentence… but what do you think a judge would actually do in this particular case?
I’d put my money on house arrest.
Given he’d still have Secret Service protection, this makes the most practical sense. But there’d need to be a provision that Trump doesn’t get to charge the SS for lodging, food, etc.
It’s the only punishment that makes any sense.
The real question is: what conditions and strictures are you going to attach to Trump’s house arrest? Confining him to Mar-a-lago hardly seems punitive.
Where did they keep the doubleplussecret stuff?
“It puts the bronzer on the skin.”
Seriously though, let’s say he’s incarcerated at Mar-A-Lago. What limitations could they put on him, and how could they be sure they were enforced?
I would hope no social media or interviews or contact with anyone except in controlled conditions, just like with an inmate in a regular cell block.
Confining him to Mar-a-Largo, with no Twitter and no Truthiness access, not allowing him near the dining room, with no ability to barge into wedding receptions and grab the microphone, and his only company is Melania: he’d probably ask to go to Leavenworth instead.
They’re not limited to Mar-A-Lago for house arrest. In fact, I think it would be the last choice, since it’s also a club.
Trump Tower seems like the best house for home confinement. Much easier to secure.
They can also build him a quiet “house” separate but within some prison’s walls. Also easy to secure. Including accommodations made for Secret Service, of course. Those should be better than are what are made for Trump.
I’d be concerned that an armed militia would descend on his house arrest site and bust him out.
Behind double Walmart shower curtains. 
I’d be concerned I didn’t have enough popcorn.
She’d probably ask to go to Leavenworth.
Well a quick trawl through previous columns by this guy, Rex Huppke say just Thursday last week gives you:
Actually, I don’t think the article posted by @Johnny_L.A is an example of Poe’s Law in action.
I really don’t believe that it is impossible to determine the intent here.
I quite like his work, but it’s ladled on too copiously for best effect IMHO.
And yet, there seems to be a modicum of uncertainty; so I think it counts. Put another way: Were it not easily shown that the author is a satirist, it could be taken as a serious post by a Trump supporter.
I’m concerned he would try to sneak out in his Ginni Thomas disguise.
This can’t be a consideration without treating him unfairly. Yes, unpopular convicts deserve fair treatment.
In the federal system, he would start out in a low security prison camp because of age and being a non-violent offender per the same definition of non-violent applied to other convicts.
When getting close to release, such convicts are typically transitioned to a less restrictive placement. Just because some people love him, and some hate him, should not affect that.
Once in a while, prisoners do bust out with outside help. You can’t be 100 percent sure it won’t happen. If it does, it will be unfortunate, and law enforcement will do their job to get him back.
Pity we can’t create 500 Melania androids programmed to continually scold him…
‘Donald! Donald John Trump! What have you been up to? Nothing good, I’m sure. Well, let me tell you, you lazy, good-for-nothing…’