According to 538:
PredictIt at 92% Ossoff and 95% Warnock. YMMV.
…may the Power of Rod Stewart guide us though this, to victory…
Waiting on that big vote dump from Dekalb County (currently at 37% reporting in an 85/15 Dem county so still 225,000 votes left to come).
If my home country is the one that turns GA blue, I’ll be ridiculously excited!
Not just Georgia, but the US Senate!
Wasserman has called it for Warnock:
Fast movin’ thread, ain’t it?
… leave me alone…
But…all these votes were cast by the same time. There is no race happening here with leads coming and going. It’s just the counting.
Like, Trump never had a lead in Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. He lost all of them the entire time.
If I put on my conspiracy theory hat, I wonder about the few scattered rural counties that John King on CNN still has at 0% in. Places like Lumpkin county and Floyd county. I wonder if the election officials there might have gone full Trump and are waiting for the Atlanta area to finish and then adjust their vote numbers to put the Republicans over the top.
How long before Trump tweets about a vote dump from Dekalb county?
Well as Steve Kornacki did point out, DeKalb likes to drop all their votes at once
Well, Lumpkin County has about 30,000 people (per Wikipedia) and Floyd has 96,000 (about 36,000 in the city of Rome), so at 70% able to vote (my WAG), that’s 82,000 maximum votes. We’ll see what happens.
ETA: Lumpkin county starting to report. At a guess, 13,000 votes max, Pubs pick up about 80% of them.
A screenshot of a text from the Trump campaign earlier:
“If Perdue and Loeffler both lose, how will they know where to invest their money?”
Wasserman reporting that the two Republicans are running a couple of points behind their November numbers almost everywhere. I am cautiously hopeful about this thing.
The data analyst for The Economist calls both races for the Dems:
Ossof will be:
- The youngest Senator elected since… Joe Biden
- The first Millennial Senator
Well, 2021 > 2020 so far