So is Howard Shore eligible for an Academy Award for Best Score, or what? I vaguely remember there being a foo-faw about it last year, with the Academy deciding to suddenly rule sequel scores ineligible, but I’ve heard that New Line has been making a bit of a stink about that issue for this year’s awards.
I hope Shore is eligible for the Oscar this year; he certainly earned it.
Also, it’s a bit late for the “no sequels” rule… John Williams was nominated for all three Indiana Jones scores, and was also nominated for Empire Strikes Back after winning for Star Wars.
It’s funny, I wasn’t planning on watching the GG’s, but got hooked in when my wife flipped onto it just as Shore was beginning his speech. I’m so happy for him, and for Peter Jackson, and everyone who worked on the films… well done!
Eek! After going to bed last night, I realized I had posted spoilers in the thread title, before the actual award telecast. I had stopped watching television after the red carpet show, and didn’t realize that the awards themselves were delayed (what’s up with that, anyhow?). I clicked up this thread this morning, fully expecting to be justly piled on for my stupidity. Sorry, anybody, if I spoiled it for you. Hopefully few people were surfing the dope rather than watching the show.
Oh, and double YAAAAYYY for best picture GG to ROTK!
However, I doubt Shore will win again, even though there are some terrific new motifs in ROTK (particularly the Gondor theme). Only one sequel has ever won a score award (Godfather II), and that’s because the score from the first film was disqualified. There don’t seem to be many heavy-hitting competitors, though–maybe this is Elfman’s year to take it home.
Shore is eligible this year, as are the Makeup people, who weren’t eligible last year (don’t ask me). I think it’s eligible for nearly everything this year. Expect ROTK to grab at least 13, and maybe 14 nominations come Tuesday morning.
I predict nominations for:
Best Picture
Best Director
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Best Cinematography
Best Effects, Visual Effects
Best Makeup
Best Art Direction-Set Decoration
Best Editing
Best Music, Original Score
Best Song (“Into the West”)
Best Costume Design
Best Sound
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
There’s an outside chance that Sean Astin will be nominated for Best Supporting Actor, but I’m not counting on it. If that happened, it would match Titanic and All About Eve as the most nominated film. No film has ever been nominated for 15 Oscars. Without an Astin nomination, it would tie Fellowship’s number of noms. (Fellowship was not nominated for Sound Editing but was nominated for Best Supporting Actor in Ian McKellan.)
There’s no chance of nominations in the Best Actor, Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress categories, as much as my greedy fangirl heart loves the thought of 15-17 nominations.
Sure, anything’s possible, and stranger things have happened, but it’s unlikely. There’s been no Oscar buzz whatsoever. If fact, no Awards buzz at all. She hasn’t been nominated anywhere else.
It’s a strong year and there are too many other actresses who had bigger, more substantial roles. I just can’t see Miranda (or Liv) in there with the likes of Holly Hunter and Patricia Clarkson. I don’t want to take anything away from Miranda Otto, who is a fine actress and will make her mark someday. LOTR got her noticed but it won’t get her awards.
Here are the front runners, IMO, in order of likelyhood:
Renee Zellweger – Cold Mountain
Patricia Clarkson – Pieces of April
Scarlett Johansson – Lost in Translation (a lead, but these things often happen)
Holly Hunter – Thirteen
Shoreh Aghdashloo - House of Sand and Fog
Maria Bello - The Cooler
Marcia Gay Harden – Mystic River
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider (a lead, but)
Evan Rachel Wood - Thirteen (I know, but)
Laura Linney - Mystic River
Melissa Leo - 21 Grams
Emma Thompson - Love, Actually
Hope Davis - American Splendor
Sarah Bolger - In America
Miranda Otto - ROTK
Jessica Lange - Big Fish
Christina Ricci - Monster
Ludivine Sagnier - Swimming Pool
It’s just not going to happen. Sorry.
Equipoise, it sounds like you’ve got your finger on the pulse of the horse race component of this year’s awards–why don’t you participate in the Contest (see my post above for link)? We’ve got some good submissions but it’s not too late to throw your hat in for a prize.