[quote=“Skald_the_Rhymer, post:1, topic:469528”]
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Which candidate do you want to win?
Obama -
Which candidate do you think will win?
Obama -
How big a margin of victory do you expect:
(A) -
Why do you think things will turn out as you predict?
First, the polls are all in agreement that Obama leads by a cmofrtable margin. Second, Obama has much more money to spend on advertising in the final week. Third, Obama has many more workers and volunteers than McCain. Fourth, Democrats are energized and enthusiastic about their candidate, while Republicans are generally depressed on most of them never like McCain to begin with. Fifth, I don’t believe in the Bradley Effect. Sixth, I don’t believe that the Republicans are running any massive vote-stealing effort. Seventh, millions of people have already voted early, so it’s too late for McCain to win them back. Eighth, simply by watching this message board and the media, it seems clear that many former conservatives are supporting Obama, and there’s just no way for McCain to make it up. -
If your prediction is correct, how will the public react?
most Democrats will be decently happy. Some on the far left will quickly become disappointed when their agenda isn’t immediately put into law, and there will be some splintering. On the whole, though, the Democrats will keep their majority together.
The Republicans will be split. Intelligent ones will realize that this defeat was their own fault, while the fringe will start spreading bogus conspiracy theories about ACORN and such. But unlike others, I’m not really worried about any violence or long-term craziness. The right wing has a short attention span, and soon they’ll forget about the election and go back to their usual passtime of whining about the liberal media.