Jim,
That is certainly possible, but I believe that if Palin chooses not to run then her career as a political celebrity is over. She has to prop up her image with some substance.
Once her numbers fade FOX will drop her like it did Beck. She’s on a 90 day leash.
Crane
The day she finally goes away for good, will be a very good day.
It’s the primary with a crowded field. Once it mano-a-mano, there’s only two people can make news: you or your opponent. She can’t concede the coverage at that point and as soon as she tries to get coverage, she’s toast.
If I were a betting man, my money would be on Romney. With his business background, and the way he bought the Olympics back, he should be the choice for the GOP. But stranger thing…
No doubt you are correct. But, Romney has to survive the primary battle, Palin and the fruitcakes can destroy him.
I’ve listened to the fruitcake argument - Romney is not a Christian, Romney is an establishment insider, Romney invented ObamaCare, Romney is not a true Conservative. Palin is one of us.
The fruitcakes believe that stuff and they vote in the primaries.
Crane
Yeah, those economic ideas have worked so well in the past. So we reduce government spending, which is code for “fire a bunch of people” and that’s going to help consumer spending and reduce unemployment? Have any of these morons ever read an economics book? :rolleyes:
It should probably be mentioned that Pawlenty has no compunction about being as heartless as he says he will be. I work with disabled people in Minnesota, and he repeatedlycut funding to those people - people who are truly the most helpless and vulnerable - w’re talking profoundly disabled in some cases - multiple times. He truly has no conscience. His budget cuts have actually affected my salary. I’ve had to take two pay cuts because of that prick (and better me than have to further reduce services to our clients). I’d rather see Sarah Palin get elected than T-Paw. That’s how much I despise him.
From what I’ve heard from those who have inside knowledge of the state legislature, I’m not alone in that. The guy is a ruthless, self-serving careerist who would push hsi own grandmother in front of a bus if it helped him politically.
In a word - Republican.
Crane
Luckily, I’ve seen raw potatoes that are polling better than Pawlenty.
Isn’t that SOP for most politicians of all hues, alas?
It will be interesting to see just how far to the right Romney will go, in order to win the nomination. If he drift too far, he may loose the Independents.
It is rumored that some are capable of integrity…
Rush Limbaugh absolutely trashed Romney over global warming on his radio show. “Bye, Bye nomination” were some of his choice words for Mitt. Of course Rush doesn’t get get to pick the nominee by himself, but he is the leading voice of the right and his opinion still carries a lot of heft even though McCain won without his blessing.
Rush didn’t like Dole either. And supported Buchannan vs Bush I in 1992. So he’s 1 for 4 as far as supporting winning GOP primary candidates. Plus its not like he was ever going to be a big Romney supporter Global Warming or not.
Which is kinda my point, Romney’s best bet for the primary is to appeal to the more moderate Republicans and hope there’s still enough of them left to give him the win (at least if some of the other Republicans manage to split the hard-core conservative vote). Limbaugh and Co. are never going to support him (well, at least not before he wins the nomination and goes up against Obama). As recently as two years ago, the GOP was still nominating moderates (or at least candidates with moderate records), so its not that bad a strategy, and he’s never going to convince people he’s more conservative then Bachmann or Cain or even Pawlenty, even if he scoffs at Global Warming with every breath between now and the GOP convention.
All that…
The more Romney talks the lower he drifts in the polls. Pawlenty is doing even worse. They still share the charisma of a wet cigar butt.
Palin is still sitting on the side lines watching the field self-destruct.
Crane
Rush then did a 180 on McCain after he nominated Palin for VP, Rush congratulated McCain and he even putt the McCain/Palin logo on his site. And I think that was part of the reason why McCain did go for Palin, he needed the fruitcake vote.
The most horrifying band name!
I would now put about a 25% probability on the prospect of Paul Ryan entering the race. Conservatives are pushing him more and more, and he refuses to say that he won’t run - he’ll just say “I have no plans to run right now”.
So that means you would put 3 to 1 odds against Ryan entering? I’ll take that bet for $100. Deal?
A Paul Ryan candidacy is DOA. I do not believe he will waste his time.
Crane