Handicapping the 2012 GOP presidential nomination

On further consideration this would be an extremely crafty move by the Republicans. Just imagine the Democratic base reaction to it. Heads exploding all over the place. “But…but…they’ve got a black guy AND a woman! But they’re Republicans! And Chewbacca lives on Endor! AAAAGH!” <splut>

It’d be a disaster for the country but since when has that stopped anyone?

Unfortunately, it only occurred during the Reagan, Bush Sr., and Dole cycles. I guess 3/5 isn’t THAT bad.

That’s not the reason for the bump; that is the bump.

Oh ok, thanks for the clarification sir.

To clarify a bit more, a reason for a bump might be something like a particularly good debate performance, a positive interview, a successful ad campaign, an endorsement from someone influential, a direct competitor dropping out of the race or saying something to turn voters against them, something like that. You can’t even just say “The people are waking up to the fact that he’s the best candidate”, because then you have to explain why they’re waking up now when they weren’t before.

Chris Christie has a press conference scheduled for this afternoon. Meg Whitman says he isn’t running. Maybe this is the formal announcement?

The *New York Times *is reporting Christie has re-decided not to run:

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/10/04/christie-wont-run-for-president-advisers-say/?hp

I guess they can lay off on the restoration of the Taft bathtub for now.

Well I would think that his winning the Florida Straw Poll happened because he was doing a lot of campaigning down in Florida. (Not that I’ve been following his campaign too closely, but usually straw poll wins are accompanied by heavy campaigning in that state.) Then when he wins one straw poll, the news media pays more attention to him, people learn about him and consider him more electable than they had previously, and pledge their allegiance to him in the other news polls cited.

Chronos,

Cain’s continues to climb in the polls (now tied for 2nd w/ Perry). When do you project this bump will end?

What makes you think I’m making any projections at all about it?

Thus my question.

South Carolina.

Why? Has Cain got any rumored black children?

-Joe

No stomach for presidential politics…

I see what you did there.

Pretty sure that Fox News really wanted him to at first, but then they got a quote on replacing all their camera lenses and changed their mind.

-Joe

It would have been fun to have Bobby Baccalieri as President, methinks.

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There’s also the fact that his name is to close to McCain…

Fox News reports that Sarah Palin will not be running.