So who does that leave in the Tea Party Thunderdome – Bachmann, Perry, who else?
Herman Cain - he’s only spoken at dozens and dozens of Tea Party events and only won dozens of their straw polls.
There’s Cain, but he’s destined to follow Bachmann’s path.
I think if Palin ran, she would have guaranteed Mitt the nomination. I don’t know if Perry can come back, but I don’t see the others with any chance at all.
… for the sixth time.
I’m having trouble finding the other 5 times, can you provide links or sources?
So did she ever resume her bus tour?
The purpose of the bus tour was to crap on Romney’s announcement that he was running. Mission accomplished.
She flung poo at Christie while making her announcement. Keep it classy, lady. I also like how she says you don’t have to be in office to make a difference. What difference is she making?
She probably is pissed at Steve Jobs to have the audacity to die on her news day.
I’ve been looking over my early posts in this thread, and let’s just say I’m less than impressed with my ability as a prognosticator.
Take my first post in the thread:
If I turn out to be right in my first prediction, it will be only vacuously so: Daniels and Thune didn’t run, and essentially nobody was interested in supporting T-Paw. So even though Romney hasn’t gained any meaningful support from the wingnut contingent, I suppose one could say that he still outdrew the other three. Gotta score this as a miss.
Palin will run - miss.
Gingrich won’t - miss.
Huckabee will run - miss.
Huntsman’s all about 2016 - well sure, but everybody knew that.
Giuliani, Santorum, Pataki - hits, but zero points. Too easy.
Barbour - hit. Not sure why anyone gave him a chance, but pundits were taking his chances seriously, so I’ll give myself a point for this one.
Still, that’s 1-for-5, just from this post. And that was just the beginning. 
This one’s a forgivable mistake, I think. Gingrich has run a half-assed campaign, and running was a bad decision because it killed his PAC, so after he’s done losing, he won’t have much to go back to. Similar candidates like Trump did a better job assessing reality and realizing they had no chance to win and could only lose by actually running, so they didn’t.
Let’s bet.
$100 says that Cain will not be the GOP nominee. You want to take that action? You seem to be a pretty fanatical devotee to him, even though the GOP primaries will never allow a “boy” like him through the process.
You in or out?
-Joe
I don’t bet, but thank you.
You’re the 3rd person to offer that bet to me on this forum.
You can’t say we don’t know a sure thing when we see it…
I don’t think Cain can win either. Sooner or later someone is going to run the math on this 999 scheme, and, resistant as the right can be to data &etc, I think enough of them will notice.
Hey Cain, what’s your policy priority? “999!”
What problems does that solve? “Nevermind, 999 lowers your taxes!”
What should we do about the rise of China? “999!!”
And so on. I just don’t think it can fly.
“999” is to Cain as “9/11” is to Ghouliani. How long before Biden quips “a noun, a verb, and 999”?
I understand wanting to avoid throwing your money away on a sure thing. Of course, I don’t go on and on about how Kucinich is a candidate with actual potential either.
Ron Paul 2012! This time it’s for real! Wewt!
-Joe
Hardly news to anybody who knows her. My stance from the very beginning was that she would not run. There’s no money in it. The press would make frowny faces at her. There’s no money in it. It would mean she would have to actually work and make decisions and hard stuff like that. And there’s no money in it.
What an impressively honest post.
I should now make similarly bold predictions. But really I have no idea who will be GOP nominee, other than it looks like Romney or Perry, or who will win in November. I’ll confidently say that the election will be about the economy, but that isn’t falsifiable.
Well I want to point out how much I personally like Herman Cain.
He’s the head of Godfather’s Pizza you know. Growing up, Godfather’s was the place.to.go. If your parents said, ‘Hey Kids, where do you want to go out?’, it was because they wanted to go out to Godfather’s.
It was really great pizza. It improved my quality of life. I have no choice but to thank Herman Cain. There will always be a warm spot in my heart for him.
I hope he doesn’t take it the wrong way that I prefer Obama for President. Obama has 4 years’ experience at President, and also was a professor of Constitutional Law if I am not entirely mistaken. Herman Cain is a successful entrepreneur, nothing like many of his Republican contemporaries who made their money in worthless pursuits like gaming the real estate derivatives markets or some other such paper-pushing bullshit.
No, Herman Cain made his fortune providing a product people wanted to purchase. People may say, ‘Oh Gee Whiz, that’s “just” pizza!’. But try saying that to Morton about selling “just” salt. People want it, he sold it and made a proper fortune. Caterpillar made a mint selling equipment. And so on.
I like Herman Cain. I’m still voting for Obama.