He Hate Me FF Keeper League – Year 11

I’m hoping Moreno keeps his gig. Going to be tough with Ball behind him.

Things are looking for the Zzzzzzz in the Championship game, so I guess now’s a good time to bring it up: If I hold on to win, there kinda needs to be an asterisk. My team was autodrafted, and while I did fine managing the roster during the season, there’s no mistaking it: my team is winning because the autodrafter picked Peyton Manning, LeSean McCoy. Eric Decker, and Seattle’s DEF.
On the plus side, let’s marvel at how far the Yahoo autodrafter has come. Missing the draft used to be a guaranteed ticket to the bottom of the league.

It’s official.*

Well, my team was as much of a mirage as I suspected. I thought i may sneak into the playoffs, but all the luck I had in the first half evaporated in the second half.

Now I face the best possible problem: I have too many good keepers. Keeping Alfred Morris in the 8th and Percy Harvin in the 9th might be automatic. I didn’t expect Alshon Jeffery to blow up like he did, but now he represents incredible value as a 6th round keeper. I also have the option of Ben Tate in the 4th (depending on how his free agency goes) and then even Shane Vereen in the 4th could be surprisingly passable value (he averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game after coming back from injury in week 11).

If you don’t have any good options, we should talk.

Just posting 1-16 total scores while stattracker is still up

  1. Varlos’ Zzzzzz 1686.84
  2. Fourth And Nineteen 1518.60
  3. Moridwon (Hamlet) 1485.57
  4. Exploding Pancakes (1483.99)
  5. HungryHungryHaruspex (Jules Andre) 1468.25
  6. 9 Inch Neils (RNATB) 1411.82
  7. Baltimore Weirdos (weirddave) 1404.00
  8. No Use For A Name (Retrovertigo) 1310.24
  9. Ottoman Empire 1308.76
  10. Ominpotents (Omniscient) 1275.22
  11. Spiritus Mundane (Spiritus Mundi) 1273.44
  12. Fightin’ Fig Things 1223.50
  13. Fightin’ Quakers (furt) 1113.67
  14. Crabby Hermits 1058.38

Well, I have no keeper prospects… But at least I have a good draft spot next year. Congrats, Varlos (again).

Eh, third place isn’t too bad. My team fell apart down the stretch (AP, Welker injuries; Sproles decline), but I managed to win the third place game (where Hamlet and I combined to score 28 points less than what Varlos did in the championship game).

I got next to nothing going into next year - I can’t keep Cam since I’ve kept him twice. My possible keeper options are Brandon Lafell in the 12th, Mohamed Sanu in the 11th, Daniel Thomas in the 10th, Arizona in the 13th. Not sure any of those would be worth it.

I just noticed that Chris Johnson was the 9th most productive fantasy RB in this format. Which means my first round pick produced better than expected, but was still bad enough to hamstring me all year. Weird.

I’ll take third place in total points and 4th overall in this league. Losing Cobb, Gronk, and Daniels hurt a ton, but I still put out a pretty good team week to week (except that last game, god that was a stinker!).

I got Cobb, Andre Brown, and Rivers/Jackson as keepers next year, so hope springs eternal. Congrats on the championship VarlosZ. That’s two championships this year! Enjoy!

After a poor 2-4 start, I was able to finish 6-2. Kind of funny, the big trade we did happened at the same time my fortunes turned around, but it was ultimately pretty disappointing for me - I never used Lamar Miller, Cameron Jordan had a lame mid-season, and only Demaryius Thomas was a useful piece. It was the emergence of Josh Gordon and Zac Stacy, and some savvy QB streaming that got me there.

I actually finished in the top 4 in scoring and deserved to be a playoff team. And if we had a 6 man playoffs (which I’m going to suggest next year, 4/14 is just too little) I’d have made it too.

I also have the best situation by far IMO going into next year. My keepers are Josh Gordon in the 5th, Cameron Jordan in the 8th, and Zac Stacy in the 11th. No one else has anything near that. And I get the #2 overall pick in the draft, so add Jamaal Charles or LeSean McCoy to that bunch.

Next year is my year, sons.

I like my keeper situation a whole lot better. So it’s certainly near that at worst.

I disagree. Morris lost a lot of value with Shanahan gone. Being a pure non-catching runner is not going to endear him to whoever the next coach is likely to be, nor will Washington’s run game be schematically as effective. Zac Stacy will probably be a more valuable fantasy asset next year, and in the 11th round rather than the 8th. Jeffery in the 6th is a good keeper, but not nearly as good as Gordon in the 5th. Ben Tate is a wildcard, but he has to sign somewhere as the starter to be valuable, and you’d have to drop one of Jeffry/Harvin/Morris to keep him. Harvin is good, but who knows if he’ll ever return to form. I wouldn’t take any of your players over Stacy or Gordon, and Cameron only loses value because it’s been fairly easy to find a sleeper TE lately, but he’ll still probably be top 5. Why do you think your situation is better?

• Stacy over Morris is at worst debatable, even with three rounds extra value. Stacy averaged a middling 3.9 per rush (29th in the NFL), and has less than a single season to prove he’s durable or even any good at all. Morris has the ninth most yards rushing through his first two seasons in the history of the NFL. And he got his without relying on rote volume (averaged an exceptional 4.8 and 4.6 per rush). He hasn’t missed a game. Stacy is more likely to be a better value, granted, but a lot less likely to be a better fantasy scorer.

The problem I have is that everything you said about Morris is founded on wild speculation and questionable logic. To say with any certainty that Washington’s scheme will be worse without knowing who the next coach will be, or without having any possible idea who is even likely at this point, is absurd. If you want to say Shanahan is the RB whisperer, fine, but Shanahan doesn’t do anything revolutionary with his zone-blocking scheme. And those schemes are now common enough nowadays that it’s just as likely Morris is a perfect fit with the next coach as it is that he isn’t a fit. To say Morris won’t endear himself to the next coach because he’s too good a runner and not good enough of a receiver? That type of analysis belongs on Bleacher Report. You simply cannot say it is automatic that Morris will be less than he was in 2013 because of the coaching situation. It’s disingenuous to do so.

• Gordon is a great value in the 5th, and I have no argument if you want him over Jeffery in the 6th. But all the uncertainty of Morris applies to Gordon, so you can’t harp on one and ignore the other. And Jeffery isn’t in any danger of missing multiple games due to suspension.

• Saying Harvin “might not return to form” is meaningless. There is zero indication he won’t be perfectly healthy by next week, let alone next season. His injury this season was relatively minor, isn’t related to any previous injury he’s had, and doesn’t represent a lingering issue for his future. Harvin in round 9 could be better value than any of your keepers and I’d put him against any keeper in the league for next season. You might be forgetting that Harvin, with a run-first offense and a terrible QB, was among the top 3 in fantasy points per game in 2012, and the 5th best WR in 2011. Now he’ll the focal point of a passing attack led by the QB with the second most TDs in his first two seasons in history.

I’m of the opinion that Jeffery is a better keeper than Cameron, Harvin better than Gordon, and Morris better than Stacy. That doesn’t even mention that Tate has a chance to be a first round RB depending on where he signs, which gives me flexibility you don’t have. Definitely debatable on all counts, but to say you have the best situation by far and no one has anything near yours is unchecked homerism.

Ugh, that’s right, I traded away Shane Vereen, the only potential keeper I had.

Man, I am not a worthy champion in this league, this year. OTOH, I won this league 4 years ago (like this year, IIRC, without having any keepers going in to the season), and I’m quite proud of my win in the Dynasty League this season.

I think you’re overvaluing Harvin a bit. Considering he played all of 20 snaps this season, he may never recover from the hip injury - and he also has a history of serious migraines that could just as easily keep him off the field.

His hip injury is not in any way expected to linger. That’s like saying someone who blew an ACL “may never recover,” which no one ever says. It’s just that he had surgery in July/August and he wasn’t really expected to play much this season, if at all (I said as much in this thread in my draft review). He also hasn’t had a migraine in two years after getting treated for sleep apnea. His injury concerns are extremely overblown.