Omnipotents
- (10) Marshawn Lynch (Sea - RB)
- (19) Brandon Marshall (Chi - WR)
- (38) Pierre Garcon K (Was - WR)
- (47) Chris Johnson (NYJ - RB)
- (66) Steven Jackson (Atl - RB)
- (75) Russell Wilson (Sea - QB)
- (94) Greg Olsen K (Car - TE)
- (103) Danny Amendola (NE - WR)
- (122) Chris Ivory (NYJ - RB)
- (131) Martellus Bennett (Chi - TE)
- (150) Miles Austin (Cle - WR)
- (159) Donald Brown (SD - RB)
- (178) Joe Flacco (Bal - QB)
- (187) New England (NE - DEF)
- (206) Jeff Janis (GB - WR)
- (215) Robbie Gould (Chi - K)
So, I’m still at the office, supposed to be working, so why not do a draft recap. I’ve wasted so much time this week on fantasy (and will absolutely get crushed this weekend with work as a result) what’s another 45 minutes?
I entered this draft with some really dismal keepers. Garcon and Olsen are probably solid players this season and will score points, but I basically kept them in the exact spot they would have been drafted give or take…no real keeper value. But, I figured I’d at least eliminate a couple variables.
I feel exceptionally lucky to get Lynch at #10, easily the best value in the first round. He’s the sixth best RB this year by consensus which usually means you have to pick him at 6-8 in this league most seasons. I also think the risk goes way, way up with the 7-12 guys making Lynch a tier to himself. I knew RB was going to be painful without any keepers, but that bit of fortune allowed me to play the rest of the draft a little more casually.
I think I got a similar spell of luck with my second pick in Marshall. I think the 3-5 guys are all basically equal and in that situation you always want to be drafting the last one. Also, the next 2 guys have injury red flags. Neither Lynch or Marshall are “steals” but I think the picks would make the value-based-drafting guys excited.
Garcon is a bit of a weird one. Keeper obviously, but I think he’s a decent selection there. I like him more than some of the old guys who went before him like VJax (Lovie), Johnson (Fitzpatrick) and Fitzy (Arizona) and I think he’s safer than 3rd year guys like Floyd and Jeffery. This might be just a bunch of rationalization, but if RG3 is healthy Garcon is definitely his favorite target in a division with some dismal pass defenses.
The next two picks were basically me deciding that I’m getting a RB in my flex spot. It’s also where not having an RB keeper shows the most. CJ1K has a some fresh scenery around him and maybe Rex will ride him like a new big wheel for a while. As disappointing as he’s been, he’s still been productive. I think Yahoo’s ranking on him is a bit nutty, he’s in the pile with Ridley, Richardson and MJD, I think he’s got way more upside than any of those guys. He’s behind question marks like Jennings, Sankey, Joique Bell and Lamar Miller which is equally cray-cray. And just in case I’m the one with the screw loose, I grabbed Ivory in the Ninth round just to be sure I locked up the Jets running attack. They Jets will run the ball this year in that mediocre division, so here’s to hoping it’s not a perfect 50-50 split.
The Jackson pick is tougher to justify, but he was the last guy on the board who’s definitely the starter in week 1 not named DeAngelo. Jackson really looks like he’s got a fork sticking out of his back, but the Falcons seem committed to him. Maybe Jake Matthews will buy him another 1000 yard season. Worth a shot, right?
Jumping ahead to wrap up the RBs, I landed Donald Brown in the 12th which I’m not horrified by. He’s looked good in the preseason and being Ryan Matthews backup isn’t exactly like RB purgatory. Still, I’ll need to be watching the Waiver wire for the next sneaky rookie RB to breakout.
Quarterbacks went unusually early this year. Considering the log jam from 4-12 it didn’t make a ton of sense, but it happened and the only QB1s left on the board in the 6th were Russell, RG3 and Romo. Knowing I had a keeper coming in the 7th it was now or never and I felt like Wilson was the safest. I heard some commentary on how close he was to being the #3 QB overall last season and he’s been unstoppable this preseason. Romo was the more conventional choice and RG3 maybe the highest risk-reward guy, but I’m comfortable here. In my other drafts guys like Cutler and Brady were still available at this point and that’s where my plan was, so I adapted.
Olsen’s a bit of a weird keeper. Not thrilled about him in the 7th round, but some draft boards had him as the 4th over all TE. If he’s that, this is a great get, but I don’'t buy it. Maybe Cam and he have a bromance and Kelvin Benjamin flames out, but I’m betting this pick is middle of the road at best.
Amendola is a gamble but I tend to have a soft spot for Brady’s WRs. I think I’ve had Welker and Amedola in just about every draft for the last 5 or 6 years so the trend continues. If he’s healthy it’s great, and a great value, but as we all know that’s a big if. If he’s healthy I think the Edelman owners might be pretty sore, because I think Amendola’s Tommy’s first choice.
I rarely go for a backup TE and I suppose the Bennett pick is part mistrust of Olsen, part homerism, and part utter panic and desperation. This was definitely the doldrums of the draft. Feels like a nice value and possible keeper, but normally I’d have preferred to take a shot at a rookie RB here.
Miles Austin is actually a fair value in the wake of the Josh Gordon news but it’s not like he’s the clear cut WR1 in Cleveland now and even if he is the Hoyer/Manziel combo isn’t exactly enthusing. Worst of all he’s a zero keeper value. With luck he’ll be an boom or bust option at flex in the bye weeks.
Flacco…ugh, backup QBs went fast too. One of those years where I sorta outsmarted myself with waiting on QB. Hopefully the Russell Wilson mo is legit. In retrospect I really wish I’d have fished for keepers here and targeted Bortles in the 14th. Also didn’t help that I was 100% confident that I was drafting Cincy’s defense here until they got snaked 1 pick before, so I ended up settling for the Pats D in the next round.
I felt super smart for grabbing Janis in the 15th. I suspect a handful of folks had him queued up for a keeper in the 16th and I wanted to be sure to get in early. Everyone in GB loves the guy and seems to view him as Jordy Nelson 2.0…only more athletic. I’m hoping this guy is a staple on my teams for years to come.
So there we are. If I’m grading myself, I think it’s probably a C team, but a B- for a draft execution. I put myself in a tough spot last year and the draft order didn’t help, but I think I made the best of it. I probably could have gambled for more keepers but doing so might have meant punting on the season since my starters aren’t exactly rock solid.