RBs are always overvalued in this league because scarcity is exacerbated by large league formats. So there aren’t any left by the middle rounds except for total longshots, and thus only the one or two longshots who pan out each year get kept.
There were 14 RBs kept last year, but just 5 the year before that. Last year was nuts.
As much as preseason gets slammed, it does help people get geared up for fantasy. And, I’m not going to the gym where half the TVs are on ESPN so I see a lot of their fantasy coverage. Not sure how much time ESPN is even devoting to fantasy this year, they’re always really big on the NBA year round and now they’ve got playoffs in a weird time.
I’ve watched every single pre-season game they’ve played this year, so I’m all set to draft!
Draft starting soon.
Has the room opened yet?
ETA: Nevermind, got it
Draft recap (part 1)! (I remember loving doing these, and then it became more of a chore, but with the terribleness of 2020, I’m going to embrace any chance to do any sort of fantasy sports.) Let’s see, I’ll start from the top…
Disgruntled Goats
Overall impression: It’s hard to go wrong with any team that has CMC. It looks like you caught the very end of a couple tiers at picks 2 and 3, but I think your starters are fine. I know that stacking (starting multiple players from the same team) is a thing in DFS, I honestly have no idea how well it works in regular fantasy - we’ll see with both Woods and Kupp. You have tons of depth at WR, but may struggle to find McCaffrey a running partner. TEs can be hard to predict, but I have to say, I haven’t seen either of those ranked all that highly.
Keepers: None.
Keeper Potential: Maybe Lazard?
Big Mack Attack
Overall impression: This team did a great job of both grabbing value and reaching for some big upside. Taylor could be a huge gain from the 3rd round, Lockett was solid value…everyone down the line has something to contribute. I especially like the Coleman/Miller/Tate picks in rounds 8-10. You’re clearly going to be playing the waiver wire all season, drafting just one QB, and picking up Week 1 darling/Weeks 2-15 doormat Indianapolis DEF. If you’re savvy, it’s strategy that works really well.
Keepers: Mattison was a pretty low investment keeper, with a pretty low floor. But you have a ton of flexibility, so he wasn’t critical.
Keeper potential: There could be value all across this roster at the start of 2021. I’d guess Jonnu Smith, Henderson and someone from that 8-10 range.
Post Mahomes
Overall impressions:Really well-balanced starters. Wentz/Goff should provide plenty of good starts, aside from the fact that they’re both off Week 9. You have clear #1 WR and RB talent in Kamara and JuJu, as well as a stud in Ertz. Your other starting WRs could have huge seasons, and you got them at great value. But after that, your depth really starts to fade - Larry Fitzgerald is 53 years old, Jeffery is always hurt, Cohen is the backup RB on the Chicago Bears, and Pittman is unproven. Gronk is great upside, but I think it’s going to be hard to find out when to start him instead of Ertz.
Keepers: None
Keeper potential: Pittman is a clear choice here, assuming he develops into a solid #3 choice on the Colts, and Goff could get back to his 2018 self.
Hermits
Overall impressions: If the Steelers put up a ton of points, you’re going to win a lot of games. If either of your starting RBs misses time, you’re going to lose a lot of games, because your only backup is Adrian Peterson until Armstead comes back from his COVID stint - and when he does, he has to play for the Jaguars. But you do have league favorite Vance McDonald as your backup TE, which is sweet.
Keepers: none
Keeper potential: Slayton and Johnson, maybe? There may not be a ton of value bumping those rounds up unless they really break out.
Moridwon (Hamlet)
Overall impressions: You’ve been in this league for over a decade, and I still have no idea what “Moridwon” means. Dobbins was a massive reach, but if Ingram goes down, you’ll be laughing at us all. In fact, if any starting RB in the league goes down, you’ll be laughing, because there’s a good chance you have their backup. Duke, Dobbins, Pollard, mcKinnon, Love - you’re just waiting for something terrible to happen. It’s left you weak at your RB2 slot, but that’s really your only weakness here. Your starting WRs are incredible, but a little thin. But you have plenty of flexibility if a trade offer comes through.
Keepers: N’Keal Harry
Keeper potential: I think that any of the backups could turn into keeper gold, and Preston Williams was a solid pick.
Chicago Cardinals
Overall impressions: I joked during the draft that this is a great dynasty team, and it sounded like you were drafting youth based on the gambit that there would be holdout shenanigans from some of the veterans should a COVID outbreak disrupt things. I’m not sure that is enough to take a reach on so many players, but if it turns out to be true, your line of reasoning would set you up for success here. You also mentioned that you have incredible RB depth, but I don’t really see it. You have a lot of shared back situations in Moss, Chubb, Snell and even CEH. That’s not necessarily bad - the NFL has really moved towards a shared backfield mentality, so you have plenty of company with other managers dealing with the same thing. I think both your QBs were huge reaches, though - you could have gotten each of them a couple rounds later and upgraded a couple roster slots. There’s going to be a lot of variance on this team, but it could be great.
Keepers: Chubb was a great value
Keeper potential: Across the board. But I think that Dillon is going to be a stud by next year, and I’m pissed I let him slip. Either Herndon or Hockenson could be great value as well.
Fourth and Nineteen
Overall impressions: Talk about waiting for value to fall to you - wow! Both Hopkins and Watson were massive steals that I can’t believe lasted that long. They give you tons of strength and flexibility to anchor your core roster, and you were able to take a couple stabs at keeper value that could produce huge this year. You may end up making hard choices on who to start at QB and WR, simply because your bench is so deep.
Keepers: none
Keeper potential: Baker and Tua could both make great keepers, but you won’t want both of them. Could be a great trade piece. Those Denver pass catchers could also be great.
That’s all for now - I have shit to get done.
Part 2!
Omnipotents
Overall thoughts: Dak and Michael Thomas will put up consistently dominant points every week. The rest is going to be hard to come by. I think that this team may have the best depth of any in the league - but each week is going to be so dependent on figuring out who is going to produce. You could end up with a whole lot of points - but on the bench.
Keepers: Dak and DJ Moore are pretty clutch picks to lock in each week, for essentially free draft slots.
Keeper potential: Lock was a great backup/keeper to snag, and I’m sure one of those backup LA RBs will pan out. Campbell should make a great 3rd as well. Very well done.
The Quack Attack
Overall impression: I have a lot of questions for this roster. Can Aaron Rodgers keep it going? Is Mike Evans going to justify being picked before Tyreek Hill AND Hopkins? Will Aaron Jones continue to find the endzone, or does he regress? How many touches does Ronald Jones lose to Fournette? Will Taysom Hill ever get that RB-eligibility back? I think the odds are really stacked up against The Attack this year.
Keepers: none
Keeper potential: Maybe Tannehill?
Spiritus Mundane
Overall impressions: I really like this team. I’ve always like Stafford, and been burned by him in the past - but this could be his year! I love the WR keepers, the starting RBs are studs, and you got Kittle at TE, which is going to set you apart from most of the league. Your bench has tons of starter potential on it as well - you have plenty of options for your Flex spot all season. Except for Week 11, when the Disgruntled Goats gets you essentially on a bye.
Keepers: Golladay, Chark, Daniel Jones are awesome.
Keeper potential: Chark and Jones should stay on board, and you could pick up someone else from the bench that produces.
Exploding Pancakes
Overall impressions: Oof - another solid draft. Can’t believe Allen Robinson fell to you - that was a boon. Sanders is also a big plus, if he’s healthy. You grabbed enough depth that you can afford a hiccup there. You didn’t let your WR keepers stop you from getting what you needed to start, and you have a lot of late-season firepower as you wait for Swift and Reagor to get back to full strength. And I’m sure you were thrilled with Hooper being the 11th TE off the board (counting keepers).
Keepers: Metcalf, Hadman and Hollywood make a dangerous trio.
Keeper potential: Swift, Hooper, Metcalf, Reagor and Hollywood, if you don’t trade them for upgrades on a championship push.
Nine Inch Niels
Overall impression: I’m sure that QBs like Wilson, Murray and Watson will outperform Josh Allen and Jimmy Garoppolo on a weekly basis. But not by all that much - and you get Allen and Jimmy in rounds 11 and 13. That let you pick up the best fantasy TE in the world, stack your roster with #1 RBs, and give Chris Godwin some teammates. This team is DANGEROUS.
Keepers: Sutton, Godwin and Allen are one of the best sets of keepers the league has seen in years.
Keeper potential: more of the same
Baltimore Weirdos
Overall impression: Year in and year out, Dave doesn’t make mistakes in fantasy football. I look at his roster and have all sorts of questions, but it all usually falls into place, and he looks like a genius. I don’t have ANY questions on his starting roster - it’s stacked. Mahomes may have been a reach at 2, but at some point, you just have to go get the guy you want. He didn’t have a pick at 3 or 4, so why not get him? He could run into a couple bye week dilemmas, but those may be the only losses on his season.
Keepers: Drake, Andrews, Ridley are pretty tough to beat.
Keeper potential: I was eyeing Bridgewater, and he could turn into an awesome pick. Could be some other talents to sit on, but they may need to move around to fix bye week holes.
Carcosa Yellow Kings
Overall impressions: This is, simply, the best team I’ve drafted in the history of this league, which should place me solidly 4th in the standings. I hate my RBs, don’t like my WR depth, tried to get a little too cute with a couple of picks that I regret, and stepped on my dick on bye weeks. That said, Lamar Jackson as a 12th round keeper fixes a lot of mistakes. And Ekeler in the 8th helps. As does Waller in the 13th.
Keepers: Lamar Jackson, Ekeler, Waller
Keeper potential: Jackson and Ekeler lose eligibility, so I’ll probably look at guys like Hines, Haskins and Thompson to produce.
Thanks for the draft recap Munch. It’s fun to read. I’ll get to mine in a bit.
It’s a portmanteau of my the names of my three daughters.
I flinched. I stared at my 3 WR’s and at the abyss of leftover RB’s. I passed on my BPA (Lockett then Hilton) and went after a RB I like a lot, but may not immediately make an impact. Ingram is 30, though, and the Ravens love running the ball.
As to the rest, I got my QB, WR, TE positions locked down and focused on balancing backup RB’s with huge upside and steady guys who can fill in for a week or 2 (Duke, Jerrick). We’ll see how it works.
Since I have a few hours to kill this morning, I’ll try my hand at the whole “draft review” thing. Any comments would be greatly appreciated. My rating system is based, not on stars, or footballs, or A-F grade, but rather movies. Who doesn’t like movies?
Here we go:
DISGRUNTLED GOATS
Best Pick: Cam Newton. I, personally, don’t think so, but many fantasy experts project him as a top 5 or 10 QB this year with the Pats, so getting him in the 8th round was fantastic value. I also have a mancrush on Michael Gallup, although the drafting of CeeDee Lamb makes me wonder if he’ll get as many targets as he needs.
Worst Pick: A lot of eggs and early draft picks on the Rams WR’s. Goff’s regression last year and Cupp’s disappearance in the second part of the season would concern me greatly. I also think Latavius Murray was taken a couple rounds early.
Overall: With CMC, all things are possible. If the Rams return to their heyday, it could compete, but that running back crew is pretty sparse. If Ingram gives way even a little bit to Dobbins, you’re in big trouble.
Movie: Legally Blonde. A perfectly fine movie that is inoffensive, but also nothing to write home about.
BIG MACK ATTACK
Best Pick: Brandin Cooks in the 6th. With Hopkins gone, there’s a ton of targets available in Houston and Cooks has 4 1000 yard seasons on his resume. Henderson, Shenault, and Jonnu Smith were good late round fliers.
Worst Pick: AJ Brown going before Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. Kid had an amazing year last year when no-one knew what to expect from him or the Titans. I’m predicting an uptick in targets, but a massive decrease in explosive plays.
Overall: A ton of unproven upside here with Jonathon Taylor and AJ Brown. If things fall your way (Mack gets hurt, Tannehill doesn’t regress), you’ll compete for the playoffs. Even if they don’t, you have a pretty deep squad that will challenge teams every week. Well Done.
Movie: Das Boot. A solid, strong movie that is a fantastic watch, but you kinda want a bit more splashiness from it.
POST MAHOMES
Best Pick: I love the value/upside of Michael Pittman Jr in the 12th round, and Matt Prater is a good kicker.
Worst Pick: Old, slow, and in the way. Gronk, Fitzgerald, and Jeffrey are all but done as fantasy players. Taking a defense in the 10th round was way too early.
Overall: Sorry, but I’m not a fan. While there were some solid picks (Hilton, Shepard), there were too many reaches (Smith Schuster and Ertz), and you only have 3 running backs, which will kill you in this league.
Movie: Last Vegas. A bunch of geezer actors, who you really liked when they were younger and actually tried, phone it in for a paycheck.
HERMITS
Best Pick: Diontae Johnson, and to a lesser extent Darius Slayton and Curtis Samuel, are high upside young WR’s that should pair well with Adam Theilen and they were good value. Picking which ones to start may be the issue.
Worst Pick: A defense taken too early is an issue, but grabbing a backup QB in the 8th round was a huge reach. I’m guessing, with Ben, Diontae, James Washington, and Vance McDonald, you’re a Steeler fan. I’m sorry for that.
Overall: A lot of pressure on knee-ligament less Todd Gurley to put up RB #2 numbers consistently, because I expect nothing from Peterson or Armstead. If he can do that, you have a chance. But I’m not so sure.
Movie: 15:17 to Paris. The movie takes a huge risk (by casting non-actors). It doesn’t work out well.
MORIDWON (HAMLET)
Best Pick: Getting Tyreek Hill at 24, OBJ at 33, and Keenan Allen at 61 were all pretty good value and create a starting 3 every week lineup. I like Bryce Love in the 10th too.
Worst Pick: Dobbins in the 4th was a massive reach, as was Tony Pollard in the 8th (but necessary, I would say), and I’d prefer to be at the end of a QB run rather than starting one by drafting Brees in the 6th.
Overall: It’s my team, so of course I like it. I was thrilled to get my WR crew while the RB craze went on, but that means I have to rely on some iffy running backs. I tried to balance a solid floor (Duke Johnson and Jerick McKinnon should get touches every game) with upside (C’mon Bryce Love and JK Dobbins!). We will see how it works.
Movie: Home movie of a vacation. Of no interest to anyone else, but of course the director loves it, he made it!
CHICAGO CARDINALS
Best Pick: CeeDee Lamb and Chris Herndon stand out as fantastic values with very nice upside. So was Steven Sims. And none have to be a starter.
Worst Pick: Kyler Murray going 2 rounds before more talented QB’s (Watson and Wilson) was a huge reach.
Overall: A weak WR crew will have to be carried by one of the better RB groups (although I’m not sold on CEH) of Chubb, CEH, and Moss. Unless McLaurin become elite and the WR #2 position solidifies, it might be a tough row.
Movie: Life is Beautiful. Everyone in the world is telling me that it’s great and that I should rave about it, but I am wholly underwhelmed.
4th AND 19
Best Pick: The top of your draft (with one exception I’ll mention in a sec) is rock solid. Cook, Hopkins, and Watson are all studs and while I expect less targets for Hopkins, they should be a solid foundation for the year. I also loved the Marvin Jones and Deebo Samuel picks. They both have pretty high floors without sacrificing upside.
Worst Pick: I am not a fan of Mostert in the third round; a bit of a reach into a RBBC situation. Same with Fournette and Kerryon. If any of the 3 end up getting the majority of carries, you could be fine, but I don’t foresee that happening.
Overall: A very solid team that will compete almost every week. I’m not sure 3 QB’s, 1 TE, and a horrible defense were the way to go late in the draft though. If you pick the right RB#2 each week, you could make a run at the playoffs.
Movie: Saving Private Ryan. A very well done, solid movie that you need to overlook some minor flaws to really appreciate.
OMNIPOTENTS
Best Pick: Marlon Mack was good value when you fucking pilfered him from me… I mean when you drafted him. I liked doubling down and grabbing both San Diego backups to Ekeler to ensure you had someone you could start in a pinch. Smart.
Worst Pick: After grabbing Mike Thomas in the first round, it seemed like desperation took over so you reached for Gordon and Johnson. If both of them return to the form they had earlier in their career, you’ll be golden, but I don’t see that happening. I also think Higbee’s run late last year was an aberration that will not be repeated.
Overall: Another solid team that I don’t see having the high upside to win it all. This team won’t lose 10 games, but they also won’t win 10 games. But with the multitude of good players, it is also completely possible that each week a different one of them goes off to get a win.
Movie: Catch Me if You Can. A very solid movie that is well acted and interesting in parts, but doesn’t really grab you and make you love it.
THE QUACK ATTACK
Best Pick: Marquez Valdez Scantling has looked good in training camp and has the potential to be a #2 WR, which would be amazing value in the 15th round. Mike Gesicki in the 10th was excellent also.
Worst Pick: Almost all the rest of them. With almost every pick, there was someone else I liked much more than the guy you picked. Jacobs/Mixon/Connor over Jones. Hopkins and Hill over Evans. Robinson/Cooper over Diggs. A wheelchair bound grandma with a pulse over Ronald Jones in the 4th.
Overall: As a Packer fan, I’m rooting for Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones to be complete studs this year. I’m just not sure that will happen. And having only 3 RB’s will curse you.
Movie: 12 Angry Men. Everyone tells me I should love it and it’s a well put together movie, but I still hate it. It’s a matter of personal taste.
SPIRITUS MUNDANE
Best Pick: I love Devin Singletary and Brandon Aiyuk and they were pretty good values when drafted. More importantly, I liked how you ran your draft having 2 starting WR’s as keepers. It allowed you to swing for Kittle and focus on RB.
Worst Pick: Leveon Bell. I have absolutely no faith that he’ll be anywhere near the RB he was, and may pout himself out of a job sooner rather than later. He wasn’t a horrible reach though.
Overall: I really like this team. Having 3 keepers going in helped a ton, but this team also found some interesting talent (Perriman, McKissic, Robinson) in the late rounds too. I think this team, if it stays healthy and Bell does better than I think he will, is playoff bound.
Movie: The Dark Knight. The kind of team that is right up my alley and lives up to the hype.
EXPLODING PANCAKES
Best Pick: Getting Josh Jacobs was great and teaming him with Miles Sanders (not a guy I like, but others do) was an excellent start. Add in Montgomery and Swift (who could be the steal of the draft if he gets healthy and Patricia stops with the Patriots’ RBBC) and this is an awesome RB crew.
Worst Pick: I am not a Crowder fan and your TE position does nothing for me. But if that’s what I’m picking on, you’re in good shape.
Overall: The keepers need to do some heavy lifting to make the WR crew worth it. Metcalf’s success last year surprised the heck out of me, so my not liking him this year shouldn’t mean much. Same with Brown and Hardman. They’re guys I don’t like, but they only need to be OK (of just one of them does well), and it should be enough. Playoff run or close to it.
Movie: Pulp Fiction. A lot of disparate parts, some of which I don’t like, but which comes together somehow to make a fantastic film.
NINE INCH NEILS
Best Pick: I like the upside of guys like Darrel Williams, Fuller, TreQuan Smith, and Chase Edmonds. I really like combining that upside with more high floor guys like Howard and Kelce. Well done.
Worst Pick: I absolutely hate your garbage QB’s. Josh Allen MUST run for like 9 touchdowns to be startable, and Jimmy G doesn’t throw it enough to be more than a stopgap. And, IRL, I think Allen’s passing is hot garbage and Jimmy G hasn’t seen a 5 yard pass that he doesn’t like.
Overall: Another RB-centric team, I think you and Beef broke the draft, which worked for me at least. This team needs just one or two lucky breaks (Drake or CEH getting injured or sucking or maybe Fuller actually staying healthy for a full season, and it could be a juggernaut. But even if those don’t happen, it should be competitive, but not scary.
Movie: Apocalypse Now. A movie of vacillating quality that, with a few tweaks, would have been so much better. But most people like it much more than I do.
CARCOSA YELLOW KINGS
Best Pick: A drafter after my own heart. Like me, this team saw the run on questionable RB’s and instead focused on BPA. Then, later in the draft, trying to build depth at the RB. I love they Nyheim Hines and Chris Thompson picks as both players will see the field on passing downs and give you some points when needed. Balance that with high upside guys like Cam Akers and Boston Scott and you’re in good shape.
Worst Pick: I’m not a fan of Ruggs as a fantasy player, he’s too boom or bust to me. And I know he was at the top of the queue for awhile, but I do not expect much from John Brown. None of which really matters because you have Adams, Jones, and Cooper.
Overall: I like this team a lot, but I recognize it needs to catch a break at the RB position to win the league. The thing is I really like one of Akers/Gibson/Scott to do enough that, with Ekeler, they’ll be fine. With Lamar Jackson and that WR crew, I see the playoffs in the future for this team.
Movie: Mad Max: Fury Road. I absolutely love this movie, but I completely understand that it is not for everyone.
BALTIMORE WEIRDOS
Best Pick: Fantastic work at the WR position in the middle rounds. Boyd, Landry, Edwards, Anderson all have WR1 upside and were pretty good value when drafted. If one or, God Forbid, two of these guys emerge, this team will be in great shape.
Worst Pick: I am not sure I’m a fan of your depth at RB. I thought the Michel pick was fine value, but you can never trust the Pats at the RB position. I’d be really shocked if Edwards or Harris ever become startable this year. So if something happens to Drake or Carson, you’re in trouble.
Overall: I’m excited to see how this team does this year. The refusal to jump into the RB frenzy is admirable, but I’m wondering if going Mahomes and Andrews will haunt you at the more traditional RB/WR positions that get all the love.
Movie: The Seventh Seal. I’m not sure what to make of it, but it’s fascinating to watch and I know I like it.
Yup, that was my “getting too cute” pick. I should have gone with Fuller. But considering my top 3 WRs, I think a boom/bust pick was defensible. I give it about 20% chance he outscores Fuller this season, but about an 80% chance he does next season.
Love it! Thanks for the run-down.
I love write-up season. I actually don’t like my RBs at all, unless Nick Chubb gets injured/benched in which case Kareem Hunt will be a league-winner. I think Conner is a bit of a fluke, and I don’t think Miami’s offense will produce much even if Howard keeps his job.
That said, here’s my thinking on the QBs: Josh Allen with the #8 QB last year in this format with a bunch of hot garbage as his receivers. He ran for 500 yards, so even if the 9 rushing TDs aren’t sustainable, he should still be in the 5-7 range, and his passing TD numbers should go up. After all, this is only his third season. It’s worth noting that he ran for 100 more yards and 8 TDs as a rookie, so the rushing numbers just might be sustainable anyway.
As for Jimmy G, he played last season on a surgically reconstructed ACL. Despite that, he still wound up with a 100+ passer rating, over 8 YPA, almost 4,000 yards and almost 30 TDS (with a bunch of hot garbage at WR). I’m expecting to get the guy that was borderline dominant at the end of 2017, not the guy who was just pretty good in 2019. His wideouts are still hot garbage, but they’re young garbage that should have improved, and they won’t run the ball as much with Mostert as their only between-the-tackles RB.
I will say that drafting with two #1 WRs already on my roster kind of hamstrung me. There was plenty of WR talent that I would have taken in the early rounds (like Nuk in round 2) but I didn’t have a job for them. That kind of forced me to spend picks on RBs who didn’t warrant them, and on Kelse who is great but who probably isn’t a big enough upgrade over a middling TE.
Cam Newton had 22 tD’s in his first two years, and just 6 in his third. It seems to be the time in Allen’s career when coaches decide to rein in the running and try to improve his passing. Plus, they’ll want to reduce the injury risk.
At 6.5 air yards, Garoppolo had the 3rd lowest intended air yards in the league last year, only behind Derek Carr and Teddy Brigewater. He is almost totally dependent on his receivers to make YAC. Kittle and Samuel were #1 and #2 in forcing missed tackles in the entire league last year and combined for over 1000 yards after the catch. He’s a dink and dunking game manager. Which is fine, he may well meet the same level he did last year. Which was 15th in the league. Which is fine, because he’s your backup. I just wouldn’t expect more than that.
Write ups are life…so here’s mine.
Like many people this year, my research was at an all time low. Also, without a pre-season to overreact to these opinions will be more baseless than usual. Caveat emptor.
Disgruntled Goats
- (1) Christian McCaffrey (Car - RB)
- (28) Mark Ingram II (Bal - RB)
- (29) Robert Woods (LAR - WR)
- (56) Cooper Kupp (LAR - WR)
- (57) Michael Gallup (Dal - WR)
- (84) Latavius Murray (NO - RB)
- (85) Blake Jarwin (Dal - TE)
- (112) Cam Newton (NE - QB)
- (113) DeSean Jackson (Phi - WR)
- (140) Mike Williams (LAC - WR)
- (141) Allen Lazard (GB - WR)
- (168) Philip Rivers (Ind - QB)
- (169) Dallas Goedert (Phi - TE)
- (196) Greg Zuerlein (Dal - K)
- (197) Devine Ozigbo (Jax - RB)
- (224) Philadelphia (Phi - DEF)
QB: Cam Newton, Philip Rivers
This team must have stock in BALCO or something. You’re putting an awful lot of faith in a couple of walking wounded here. I’m not sure that Rivers has anything left in the tank. I’m actually a little bullish on Cam if his reported arm/shoulder issues are overblown, but if it’s true that he can’t throw deep any more I’m not sure how he can be a viable fantasy QB. My gut is that the Pats system is better than we think and some of that Bradyesque shine will rub off making Cam a serviceable middle of the pack starter…for not a lot of draft capital. If he’s cooked, you’re in trouble.
RB: Christian McCaffrey, Mark Ingram, Latavius Murray, Devine Ozigbo
Yikes, not much depth there. I’ve been a CMC skeptic since he came into the league. I was proven wrong on most counts, but those doubts still linger. I would have hated taking him as #1 overall were that me, not that there’s a clear second choice here, because between injury risk, new system and new QB he’s about as iffy a top pick as I can remember. After him, it’s scary in the wrong ways. Ingram is listed as the starter, but the wheels will come off eventually and there’s enough buzz around Dobbins that you have to think he’ll get some run. Murray isn’t just a ambulance chaser but he’s no where close to a 50-50 timeshare either. Ozigbo was a lottery ticket. Historically, leaving this draft with just 4 RBs is a precarious position…and Ozigbo is on the IR.
WR: Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Michael Gallup, DeSean Jackson, Mike Williams, Allen Lazard
Found the depth! Lots of “your guys” in this group, to steal Hamlet’s schtick. One big exception is Woods, a guy I’ve been targeting in almost every one of my drafts. The guy just produces, but I’ve been looking at him as a WR3 not an WR1, so that might be an issue. Here’s where the lack of keepers might have hurt you a bit. Kupp is a guy that I’ve probably been down on more than is justified, his stats are pretty solid, but you have Woods. Stacking Rams WRs wouldn’t be by first choice. Gallup, Jackson, Williams…all guys that are the #2 on their own team two of whom can’t stay on the field. You very well could be frustrated each week trying to figure would which 3 guys to start.
TE: Blake Jarwin, Dallas Goedert
I’m not at all sold on Jarwin. Sure, Witten is gone, but he sucked last year and Jarwin couldn’t push him aside. Blame it on sentimentality if you want, but the best thing you can say about Jarwin so far is that in his 4th season he’s unproven. Goedert is behind Ertz and Ertz doesn’t suck. Goedert seems like a solid player and might be a keeper candidate if Ertz’s contract doesn’t pan out, but can’t see him being a reliable contributor this year.
DEF/K: Philadelphia, Greg Zuerlein
You got one of each. Nice work.
Keeper Potential: Ozigbo, Goedert,
Ozigbo is on the IR, so you can probably park him in hopes that he comes back, but odds are you’ll have another keeperless year next year.
Prediction: It’s not looking good kids. If Cam turns into a big rushing threat with 5-6 TDs and CMC is LDT 2.0 then you’ll have a punchers chance week to week, but on balance I don’t see a single position group that really scares me. 6-7 at best, 4-9 more likely.
Big Mack Attack
- (2) Saquon Barkley (NYG - RB)
- (27) A.J. Brown (Ten - WR)
- (30) Jonathan Taylor (Ind - RB)
- (55) Tyler Lockett (Sea - WR)
- (58) Evan Engram (NYG - TE)
- (83) Brandin Cooks (Hou - WR)
- (86) Tom Brady (TB - QB)
- (111) Tevin Coleman (SF - RB)
- (114) Anthony Miller (Chi - WR)
- (139) Golden Tate (NYG - WR)
- (142) Alexander Mattison (Min - RB) Keeper
- (167) Darrell Henderson Jr. (LAR - RB)
- (170) Laviska Shenault Jr. (Jax - WR)
- (195) Wil Lutz (NO - K)
- (198) Jonnu Smith (Ten - TE)
- (223) Indianapolis (Ind - DEF)
QB: Tom Brady
Holy cow, all in on the GOAT. I hate it. Love Brady, respect Brady, like the TB WRs, etc…but this is an insane gamble. Father time will catch up eventually and he wasn’t very good last season. Arians likes to let his QBs get mashed and he likes to sling it down field…neither fits with what Brady is capable of at his age. The only way this is defensible is if you think Brady’s lack of WR talent over the last decade or so has kept him from a repeat of 2007, and with Evans and Godwin he will have tools, but that’s a lot of faith. And in the 7th round, that’s pretty rich.
RB: Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Tevin Coleman, Alexander Mattison, Darrell Henderson Jr
Saquon will probably be great. Beyond that it’s a crap shoot, much like the Goats before you. Burden of have a early first in a keeper league. Taylor is a guy that people are excited by largely because of the OL he’s running behind, but he’s a unproven rookie sharing a backfield with Marlon Mack. It’s not like we know that Taylor is the bell cow right now, so grabbing him this early is a big, big risk. I had Coleman last year, what a frustrating experience. Never trust a Shanahan RB. Mattison is a must-have handcuff for Cook, but you don’t have Cook, yet he’s as good of an ambulance chaser as there is. Henderson is a guy that people are excited about when he’s healthy but Brown is the starter…and he went a round later, to yours truly.
WR: AJ Brown, Tyler Lockett, Brandin Cooks, Anthony Miller, Golden Tate, Laviska Shenault Jr.
OK, I really really like this group. I think you’ll struggle to get a flex out of your RBs, so you’ll need 3 and you have them here. Brown is a stud, though it must be said that he and Tannehill are ripe for a big regression this year. But I’m a believer. Lockett is consistently underrated and is not the boom or bust guy that some people think, love that value. Cooks is a super frustrating player to own, and his inability to stick with a team is a red flag, but I like the situation in Houston with Hopkins gone. Miller once again is a pre-season hype target, but as a Bears guy I’m dubious. He seems to have some conflict with Nagy and god knows what we’ll get out of the QB position. We’ll see if his shoulder stays attached. Tate on the other hand is everything they say Miller should be, he’ll way overperform that draft position. Don’t know much about Shenault but the opportunities will be there.
TE: Evan Engram, Jonnu Smith
Engram is a solid mid-tier option and he’ll get plenty of work. My biggest criticism is probably that the 5th round is too high to take a TE not named Kelce or Kittle, but you were at the back end of a little run on TEs. Smith is actually the real gem here, he’s in a contract year and hasn’t fully broken out yet but I love the possibilities here. Engram might be trade bait by week 4.
DEF/K: Indianapolis, Wil Lutz
You got one of each. Nice work.
Keeper Potential: Jonnu, Shenault, Henderson
Amazing opportunity here. You’d like to see a rookie RB here but Henderson might be the next best thing…unless it’s Brown or Akers. Already mentioned that Jonnu looks like a major breakout candidate and Shenault has a wide open path in a an offense that will need to throw it around a lot for a a couple years at least.
Prediction: These predictions can be tricky since I’m not looking at all the teams and schedules together, but if Brady is a top 6 QB I think this team is in the hunt for the title. If Taylor ends up being a 4 down back and plays all 16 weeks they could be the favorite. If Brady craps out or if he becomes checkdown Charlie, you might be on the outside looking in. Best case, 10-3, worst case 7-6.
Post Mahomes
- (3) Alvin Kamara (NO - RB)
- (26) JuJu Smith-Schuster (Pit - WR)
- (31) Zach Ertz (Phi - TE)
- (54) T.Y. Hilton (Ind - WR)
- (59) Carson Wentz (Phi - QB)
- (82) James White (NE - RB)
- (87) Sterling Shepard (NYG - WR)
- (110) Rob Gronkowski (TB - TE)
- (115) Tarik Cohen (Chi - RB)
- (138) Minnesota (Min - DEF)
- (143) Jared Goff (LAR - QB)
- (166) Michael Pittman Jr. (Ind - WR)
- (171) Larry Fitzgerald (Ari - WR)
- (194) Alshon Jeffery (Phi - WR)
- (199) Matt Prater (Det - K)
- (222) Denver (Den - DEF)
QB: Carson Wentz, Jared Goff
It’s always a little weird seeing these 2 QBs on the same fantasy team. All in all, it’s a middle of the pack duo. I really don’t like where you took Wentz. I don’t see him as a second tier QB and that’s where this draft pick puts him, but QBs seemed to come off the board a lot earlier than usual this year. Goff is a guy that I’ve been down on since his Combine but ironically I really like a few of his pass catchers, so there’s a little dissonance there. Upside is that you’ll be able to play the matchups here and probably cobble together reliable output from the position. Not a big chance for those decisive 30 point games though.
RB: Alvin Kamara, James White, Tarik Cohen
Ooof. Red alert, red alert. Remember what I said about ending with 4 RBs in this league…that, times 10. Kamara puts up points, no doubt he’s a stud but I don’t think I’d have taken him 3rd. Murray is a bit of a vulture and with the contract situation plus Brees being a year older (and a little racist?) he feels like a guy ripe for a disaster. I’ve been down on Kamara before and proven wrong, so take that with a grain of salt. James White is a guy that feels highly dependent on Tom Brady’s particular style and I doubt Cam makes him as productive, choosing to scramble instead. Tarik is feast or famine, and with the Bears offense it can be more famine than feast. Put simply you’re in deep deep trouble even if Kamara is the top RB in the league, if he’s anything less than that you’re meat.
WR: JuJu Smith-Schuster, T.Y. Hilton, Sterling Shepard, Michael Pittman, Jr., Larry Fitzgerald, Alshon Jeffery
Started really bad, got gradually better. Still, not sure what to make of it. As a 2019 JuJu owner, good luck with that. He’s not a WR1, period. T.Y. puts up reliably good numbers but we’ll have to wait and see what happens with this new look Colts offense. I have a hunch that they’ll be a lot more run focused and with Pittman and Campbell being so young, Hilton will get a ton of defensive attention. Shepard could produce but I think Tate is actually gonna be the teams #1 guy, so don’t like the value there. Pittman is an unknown at this point but a popular sleeper, not sure how valuable a keep he would be at that spot even if he does break out. Fitz and Jeffery are the kinds of guys you can nab late in a keeper league, neither has keeper value but both should way outperform that draft slot.
TE: Zach Ertz, Rob Gronkowski
The entertainment value of Gronk and Brady together is through the roof, but I just don’t buy the comeback story at all. He lost like 45 pounds and they aren’t going to be in the same system. Unlike some people, you aren’t counting on him as your starter which is good, but I’m betting Gronk doesn’t finish the season in a uniform. Ertz is a guy I have near the top of tier 2 so I like the pick, but I’m very surprised how many managers went TE early. I suspect the Yahoo rankings had something to do with that early round run.
DEF/K: Minnesota, Denver, Matt Prater
You took 1 too many defenses and that second one is now without one Von Miller. You may come to regret using that relatively early pick on defense when you’re scrounging for a RB no matter how many sacks that front generates.
Keeper Potential: Pittman…maybe?
Slim pickin’s here people. Pittman would have to really come out hot to justify being a top 40 WR. I suppose if Jeffery returns to Pro Bowl form, but that’s a long shot to say the least.
Prediction: Really, really, really down on this group. The lack of RB depth is going to hamstring this team in the extreme, I fully predict the RB2 spot will be in the single digits all year long. Your WR1 is a guy who destroyed fantasy squads nationwide last year. Kamara by himself can’t save this team. Best case, maybe 5-8, worst…1-12?
Hermits
- (4) Derrick Henry (Ten - RB)
- (25) Adam Thielen (Min - WR)
- (32) Todd Gurley II (Atl - RB)
- (53) Matt Ryan (Atl - QB)
- (60) Jared Cook (NO - TE)
- (81) Ben Roethlisberger (Pit - QB)
- (88) Diontae Johnson (Pit - WR)
- (109) Darius Slayton (NYG - WR)
- (116) Curtis Samuel (Car - WR)
- (137) Baltimore (Bal - DEF)
- (144) Adrian Peterson (Det - RB)
- (165) James Washington (Pit - WR)
- (172) Ryquell Armstead (Jax - RB)
- (193) Harrison Butker (KC - K)
- (200) Cole Beasley (Buf - WR)
- (221) Vance McDonald (Pit - TE)
QB: Matt Ryan, Ben Roethlisberger
An uninspiring group, which is often perfectly fine in this league because there’s typically a mush of QB in the QB4-QB10 range, but the big problem is the number of resources allocated to the position. QBs went earlier than usual and Ryan is a guy I think is set for a really nice year, maybe even a QB3 or QB4 year, so I an OK with that pick. Following it up with a recovering Big Ben however is weird, if you don’t believe in Ryan you don’t take him in the 4th. I don’t see this as a matchup play either, Ryan should be the starter almost every week.
RB: Derrick Henry, Todd Gurley II, Adrian Peterson, Ryquell Armstead
Man, either I’m a dinosaur and fantasy has changed a lot, or there’s some major weirdness with the RB crop this year. Another team that’s basically running with 3 RBs due to Armstead’s IR-COVID status. It’s a little interesting that Henry came off the board before Zeke but if I’m honest, I’m totally okay with it. Henry has more upside than Zeke I think but has that regression risk, so defensible risk/reward play I think. Pairing him with Gurley is a nice idea too. Unclear what to expect out of him this year, and if he’s simply done then this team is screwed, but if the Falcons manage to load manage a steady 65-20–1 line out of him you will end up in a good spot. ADP is eternal, but I doubt he walks into Detroit as the starter over Swift/Kerryon so I’m guessing that roster spot might end up being turned over pretty quick. Not sure if you’re going to waive Armstead or if that’s a keeper shot, basically a minus pick either way.
WR: Adam Thielen, Diontae Johnson, Darius Slaton, Curtis Samuel, James Washington, Cole Beasley
Thielen is a lock for 12-16 points a week which is nice. In this league without any keepers that’s a rock solid WR1 pick. Beyond that there’s an awful lot of question marks. Big investment in the Steelers offense continues here and I’m way down on them this year, so I can’t say I’m very high on either guy. The value is fine, at least you didn’t reach and at you didn’t waste any energy on JuJu. Slayton, Samuel, Beasley are just warm bodies. Maybe Slayton pops if the Danial Jones hype is real, but I can’t say I’m a believer. I should mention that I am NOT a Bridgewater fan so that colors my opinion of Samuel pretty heavily. Not even any juicy keepers, missed opportunity here.
TE: Jared Cook, Vance McDonald
I understand the Jared Cook thing. I really do…but having been a early adopter on Jared Cook I am not interested in any more. Maybe Brees turns him into an automatic in the red zone and he just gobbles up defenses underneath Thomas but for the love of pete, he’s frustrating. Another Steeler too but I won’t take issue with a backup TE in the 16th round. You executed this position well even if I have my biases against Cook.
DEF/K: Baltimore, Harrison Butker
You got one of each. Nice work.
Keeper Potential: crickets
Prediction: This is a tough one. I don’t think this team is a contender but I do like the QB1, RB1 and WR1 which if they pan out can take you a long ways. If the RB depth weren’t a glaring hole I’d slot this team into the playoffs, but as it stands they are capped. Best case, 8-5, worst 5-8.
Ok…clicking reply, will try and post a few more as I watch tonight’s game.
Moridwon (Hamlet)
- (5) Ezekiel Elliott (Dal - RB)
- (24) Tyreek Hill (KC - WR)
- (33) Odell Beckham Jr. (Cle - WR)
- (52) J.K. Dobbins (Bal - RB)
- (61) Keenan Allen (LAC - WR)
- (80) Drew Brees (NO - QB)
- (89) Hayden Hurst (Atl - TE)
- (108) Tony Pollard (Dal - RB)
- (117) Preston Williams (Mia - WR)
- (136) Bryce Love (Was - RB)
- (145) Duke Johnson (Hou - RB)
- (164) Gardner Minshew II (Jax - QB)
- (173) Kansas City (KC - DEF)
- (192) N’Keal Harry (NE - WR) Keeper
- (201) Jerick McKinnon (SF - RB)
- (220) Ka’imi Fairbairn (Hou - K)
QB: Drew Brees, Gardner Minshew II
In the absence of any evidence, I nonetheless am of the opinion that the wheels are coming off on Brees this year. He’s flown under the radar a bit due to all the Brady/Rivers drama but I think the cracks started showing last year. You’d think the lack of a preseason would help the veterans so Brees and the Saints may have an early edge, but I’m going to go against the grain and predict the fall around week 6. Still, assuming I’m wrong, this is a nice pick at the right time. Hedging with Minshew where you did is savvy. All in all a solid group if my doom and gloom outlook is ill founded.
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, JK Dobbins, Tony Pollard, Bryce Love, Duke Johnson, Jerick McKinnon
Yeesh, star and scrubs here. Zeke is a horse and he’ll keep this group above water all season, so no worries there. If Zeke has a knock its that he has a comparatively low ceiling game to game relative to the other guys in the top 6. Comparatively that is, he’s one of the best but I don’t think he has a 200 yard game in him like the other guys do. After Zeke it’s pretty pretty pretty shaky. I mentioned Dobbins as a potential anchor on Ingram’s value and that’s still valid, but that doesn’t mean I think Dobbins is set up for immediate run nor do I think he’ll ever be the bell cow. Very weak RB2. Pollard as the handcuff is savvy, though I bet you could have waited a few rounds. In Dynasty I’m hoping and betting that Gibson wins the job over Love, but if it goes the other way this could bail you out. Johnson backs up the ever injured Johnson so another possible starter. High quality ambulance chasers. McKinnon…well there’s lottery tickets and then there’s this. I don’t love this group, but compared the previous few squads this is a pretty solid situation.
WR: Tyreek Hill, Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Preston Williams, N’Keal Harry
I was super heartbroken when Keenan Allen came of the board, I was really wanting him as my WR2. you’ve got him as your WR3 and that’s pretty damn solid, assuming he’s healthy, always a question mark. Tyreek is going to be boom or bust and there’s always the chance this clown takes a 4-6 week forced vacation but considering what else was left on the board, he and Odell are a heck of a 1-2 punch. I’m broadly skeptical of the entire Browns-Baker circus so I’m not drafting any Browns but the reality is that he’ll probably score points because somebody needs to. Beyond the top 3 it’s pretty iffy. Williams might be useful if Fitzmagic comes out, but I have no idea what to expect if it’s Tua. We’ll see. Harry couldn’t get on the field for Brady, we’ll see if Cam takes a different view, cheap keeper so worthwhile lottery ticket.
TE: Hayden Hurst
I guess we’re assuming that Hurst will fully assume Hoopers production. I think that’s a big gamble, especially since there’s no backup plan. Maybe, it’s the same offense with the same WRs soaking up DBs but Hurst doesn’t have the elusiveness of Hooper so I think there’ll be a sizable downgrade. I don’t mind rolling without a backup but I’d generally want a more proven commodity with a 7th round TE, but the early run at the position didn’t leave a lot of options.
DEF/K: Kansas City, Ka’imi Fairbairn
You got one of each. Nice work.
Potential Keepers: Um…Love?
Not much going here. Even if Love wins the job, I’m not seeing him as a rock star next season. Maybe Harry could pop, but he’s already been kept once.
Prediction: Really tough one to gauge. I love the RB1 like the WR1, WR2 and WR3, that will take this team far. If Brees is a top 8 QB you’ve got something going but the question is how much RB2 drags this team down if nothing breaks. Best case 9-4, worst case 7-6.
Chicago Cardinals
- (6) Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC - RB)
- (23) Kyler Murray (Ari - QB)
- (34) Terry McLaurin (Was - WR)
- (51) Zack Moss (Buf - RB)
- (62) Nick Chubb (Cle - RB) Keeper
- (79) Christian Kirk (Ari - WR)
- (90) CeeDee Lamb (Dal - WR)
- (107) Joe Burrow (Cin - QB)
- (118) Benny Snell Jr. (Pit - RB)
- (135) Justin Jefferson (Min - WR)
- (146) T.J. Hockenson (Det - TE)
- (163) AJ Dillon (GB - RB)
- (174) New England (NE - DEF)
- (191) Steven Sims Jr. (Was - WR)
- (202) Chris Herndon (NYJ - TE)
- (219) Michael Badgley (LAC - K)
QB: Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow
I don’t know what to make of Murray. I think he’ll never be a winning NFL QB but that doesn’t mean he can’t be a winning fantasy QB. He’s got Hopkins, Fitz, Kirk and he makes plays with his legs, so there should be tons of volume. I don’t think he deserved to be the 23rd overall pick, that’s for sure, but he’ll most likely be a productive guy for this squad. Burrow probably shouldn’t get any snaps for you unless Murray get broken in half. If that happens you’re hosed, Burrow is unlikely to be a high volume QB in his first campaign. With the 8th pick I can’t see him being a useful keeper either.
RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Zach Moss, Nick Chubb, Benny Snell Jr, AJ Dillon
Really strong group. CEH seems like the real deal and is having a heck of a game tonight, so it’s looking like you’re in nice shape with your first pick. Some questions if he’ll wear down over a full season, but that’s true of a lot of RBs who aren’t rookies. CEH isn’t the only rookie here either, Moss and Dillon each look to be on the wrong end of a timeshare so I’m not sure they’ll be contributors but either one could find themselves the starter at some point this season. Time will tell, and Dillon is a particularly interesting keeper option. Chubb is a keeper and gives you a terrific RB2 to pair and insure CEH. Snell is a ambulance chaser but I had him last season and I just don’t think he’s a professional RB in the league. One of the better groups we’ve looked at so far due to that Chubb keeper.
WR: Terry McLaurin, Christian Kirk, CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, Steven Sims Jr.
As a third year player Kirk is the old man of that group. I can’t say that 1st and 2nd year WRs is what I consider a winning strategy. Sure, you may find some keepers but the reality is that guys like McLaurin, Chark and Brown are incredibly uncommon. I dislike Haskins and think he has no place as a starter, but McLaurin still managed to be productive last year so I’m not sure what would change. Of the rookie WRs from last year he’s the guy I think is most at risk for a sophomore slump. Kirk will probably lose some looks due to the addition of Hopkins. We have no idea if Lamb, Jefferson or Sims will be starters. Lamb probably will see the field early on, not sure about the others. All in all good depth and keeper options but this is a ton of risk due to inexperience.
TE: TJ Hockenson, Chris Herndon
Huge fan of Hock, I think he could break into that Kittle/Kelce tier this season so I’m all about that pick. His usage is not in doubt so Herndon is probably not going to get into your lineup much barring injury and I don’t see Herndon as a keeper candidate, so I think there may have been better ways to use that pick. But that’s small potatoes.
DEF/K: New England, Michael Badgley
You got one of each. Nice work.
Potential Keepers: Almost the entire roster
Of course it’s not literally the entire roster but by my count there are 6 rookies in keeper range and another 2 guys that are second year players. Could Hock be a keeper, if my bold statement pans out he is. Moss, Lamb, Burrow, possibly. This seems like the entire charter for this draft…get 3 keepers no matter what. Could make this season tough though.
Prediction: This easily is the youngest team in the league. It’s not close. And surprisingly it’s actually not terribly constructed. Great options at QB1, RB1, RB2, TE1 and while I’m not sure McLaurin is a WR1, he and Kirk prevent the WR corps from being a total roll of the dice. In the end, I suspect more of the young guys flop than splash leaving this team in the middle of the pack. Best case 9-4, worst case 6-7.
Running out of steam, not gonna finish tonight. With luck I’ll manage to get these done before Sunday.
I had several thoughts in mind when going very young in my draft this year and it certainly helped that I’d spent a lot of time looking at younger players during the dynasty league draft.
It sure seems to me that in baseball this year, there’s been a lot of veterans taking days off. Some of that is surely related to the numerous cancellations and double headers. But, I think there’s been more vets sitting out games this year than would have happened last year when they were similarly banged up. Maybe that’s due to the Oprah playoffs where everyone gets in, maybe it’s also due to the fear that the plug gets pulled on the season. Now football isn’t baseball and it’s the Not For Long League so maybe I’m full of shit and this will backfire.
But, I think these young players with no preseason have something to prove. And, if the NFL does pull the plug, I’ve got some great keeper options and won’t really need to think about that in next year’s draft.
Anyway, It’s a strategy and I’m sticking by it.
I tend to view this season the opposite way. No real training camp and no preseason means the rookies are even farther behind the vets than usual, both in terms of practice reps and conditioning. I’m discounting rookies and any player who switched teams in drafts this year, which is why my only rookie is a late-round flier.
This is my thesis too. The teams with high continuity will have the greatest advantage. Rookies will struggle to learn on the job so to speak without camp, OTAs and preseason.
Aw. Omni ran out of steam before he got to my amazeballs team and predicted a 10 year dynasty.
Cmon Omni - I need to know where I need to panic!