Honduras Election is Close

Trump endorsed Tito Asfura (AKA Nasry Asfura) is still a bit ahead, but the trend in the last few updates goes against him.

Local media with Google Translate:

Right-wing Honduras presidential rivals locked in ‘technical tie’ after preliminary count

Any Trump-endorsed candidate is probably bad, but is his opponent any good either?

Here is the Wikipedia page for Salvador Nasralla:

It’s Wikipedia, so not the greatest source in the world, but there’s lots of interesting info. Apparently he was strongly involved in fighting corruption in Honduras, and some of his claims of corruption were later corroborated by evidence. Also, he ran for president in 2017 and lost, and like Trump he claimed the election was stolen, but unlike Trump there was actual evidence and the election fraud was quite prevalent according to NYC prosecutors.

Translation of the headline into English per Google: “Sinaloa cartel bribes and electoral fraud with drug money: 15 facts from the summary of the Prosecutor’s Office in the JOH case.”

While France 24 above claimed he is right-wing, I don’t know that he would be called such in the US; he is running as a member of the Liberal Party of Honduras, which is centrist. It does, however, believe that abortion should be illegal, if that tells you anything. The guy that Trump is backing is with the National Party of Honduras, which is explicitly Christian and has been involved heavily in election fraud, drug trafficking, and money laundering. Based on my brief research, Nasralla seems preferable to his rival.

So predictable, but nonetheless a complete foreign election interference disgrace:

Donald Trump on Truth Social

(Trump’s quote.)

Like when Bush Sr. invaded Iraq because Iraq had violated Kuwait’s sovereign territory, while twelve years later Bush Jr. invaded Iraq’s sovereign territory (and cited the previous accusation as one excuse for doing so).

To be fair, Trump definitely opposed the second of those. And I don’t recall the US invading Iraq during Desert Storm; only Kuwait (although I could be wrong about that). They definitely bombed inside of Iraq though, but of course Hussein remained in power.

A better example might be his ongoing efforts in Venezuela to remove Maduro. Of course, he’s probably right that Madura was not freely elected.

The best example, of course, would be Trump and his friends’ attempts in 2020 and early 2021 to change the results of an election more close to home…

Yes, for sure.

A broken clock is right twice a day. If we do end up going to war with Venezuela, it will be a complete fiasco, but at least we would get rid of a power-hungry dictator, just like when we removed and executed Hussein.

Trump now says it was definite, but at the time:

USA Today Fact Check

Here’s why Trump lacked enthusiasm for invading Iraq (while not opposing it)::

The only relevance to this thread is that Iraq has no connection to Trump’s interference with the Honduras election count.

Honduras has a recent history of post-election violence with dozens killed. For a foreign leader to feed into this is beyond disgraceful.

And how’s Iraq now?

Struggling with political gridlock and still battling Islamic extremism. But they are scored very well on having free and fair elections, and have a fairly free press. Ranked 3rd most democratic government in the Middle East.

Not perfect, but it’s a hell of a lot better than under the Ba’athist regime. I think most Iraqis prefer a heated parliamentary scuffle over their village getting gassed for opposing Hussein and his cronies.

Pretty easy to understand why dumpydon is interfering.

“Paul Krugman explains the Hernandez pardon, and it is corrupt as hell, which you no doubt already guessed.

"Finally, why pardon Hernández? What’s the connection to the crypto/tech broligarchy? It’s called Próspera.

Próspera is a for-profit city being built off Honduras’s coast. Its charter largely exempts the island from Honduran law. Instead, the city is run by a governing structure that for the most part gives control to a corporation, Honduras Próspera Inc., which is in turn funded by a familiar list of Silicon Valley billionaires including Thiel, Sam Altman and Marc Andreesen.

So while the city is being marketed as a libertarian paradise, it’s best seen as an autonomous oligarchy, government of, by and for billionaires. And you won’t be surprised to learn that within Próspera, Bitcoin is legal tender.”

An only took (conservative estimate) a couple hundred thousand dead Iraquis…
For the record if my country ever slides into dictatorship, I for one don’t want the U.S. to come to the rescue, pretty please. With a cherry on top.

Unfortunately, the one thing that the candidate of the ruling party, and Donald Trump, agree on is that the election count is faulty.

Google translate:

Here is outside expert opinion on where we stand:

Americas Quarterly

Valeria Vásquez:

Lucas Perelló:

Wow. I worked with Hondurans for a while (including students, professors, government workers, and indigenous people), and spent some time down there. Nice folks. I’m saddened that Trump’s endorsement could help a candidate — it should hurt them.

That sounds like she’s saying that the ballots without biometric data (presumably fingerprints?) should be the relevant ones?

But I’m not sure why there even would be two categories. If the law requires biometric data on ballots, then they should all have it, and any without should be discarded. If the law doesn’t require it, then there’s no reason to expect that any ballots would have it, because collecting biometric data is enough of a hassle that nobody would do it unless required.

You’re being liberated! Do not resist.

Nasralla, who Trump calls a “borderline communist,” is now ahead in the count: