Actually this is quite surprisingly, historical speaking. Didn’t most scientists from Malthus to the Roman club think it’d be the other way round?
I don’t really know what you mean by that sentence? What is pink goo? Do you think Europe is “overpopulated and largely poor”, or just overpopulated? I’m European I don’t find it particular overpopulated here, nor for that matter especially poor. Anyway your statement seems to indicate that you think there is a direct link between population size or density and wealth. I suggest reality is a bit more complex than that. Japan is not known for their low population density, nor their poverty. Europe is the densest (population wise!) continent on the planet. As well as the richest. Africa is a lot less densely populated as well as a lot poorer. Europe’s looming populating crunch, will not make Europeans any richer and the world poorer. It’s a lose-lose situation.
Ethnic Germans are all over the map. That’s one of the reasons they’ve been so much trouble over the centuries, as well as the reason there are so many names for Germans (Deutsche, Allemands (all men), Tyskere, Tedeschi, etc). Austrians are ethnic Germans. There are historic ethnic German populations in (what is now) France, Switzerland, Italy, Czech republic, Denmark and Russian since Peter the Great or Katarina and a good deal of other places I’d imagine (Minnesota perhaps). Turks immigrating to Germany will be German nationalities, but not necessary ethnic German in the traditional sense of that word.
A part of the very low birth rate of those catholic countries (Spain, Italy etc.) can likely be explained as postponed children, rather than wholly foregone children (in that the shift to later motherhood is one, these countries are undergoing now). So one should expect the birth rate to rise again some time – though not above replacement level.
Pensioner problems is certainly the worst short term problem. And only massive as well as continuous immigration will help that problem. A recent study in Denmark showed second generation immigrant women to have only 0.1 higher fertility than ethnic Danes (amazingly successful integration). But since what seems to be projected is not small scale gradual population decline but disastrous precipitous fall, I think there could be some more things worth discussing before declaring everything swell and well.
Btw. Your link showed my family home, Faeroe Islands, to be the only Western nation with substantial above replacement level fertility. Not much to do there, except fish and make babies (preferable at the same time) I guess.
Of course it’s impossible to predict the future. No reason not to try. Anyway the consequences will be felt a lot sooner that the 27th generation. The first will do for that. In Denmark we’re talking about 2015-2020 as the years when the baby crunch will start to hurt real bad. Planning for that is not only a theoretical exercise – it’s an absolute necessity.
I think your analogue is flawed. Austro-Hungarian Empire was an empire consisting of many different cultures and nationalities. Both Austria and Hungary, as well as all the others inside Austro-Hungarian Empire, exists today. A better analogue would be something like the American east cost Indians, or the Aztecs. Thriving cultures today extinct. We may not give much thought to them, but that’s hardly something to rejoice in. Living in a country that has repeatedly been ravished by German barbarian hordes, I still have no problem seeing the many things Germany history and culture has to enrich the world with. And the immensity of loss should this great culture vanish or severely weakened. (Even the German language, often ridiculed. I had a girlfriend from Berlin once, called Ute. A silly name for a beautiful girl, who could say things in German I didn’t think could be said in any language.)
Yeah, ok Zoe, sorry for bringing in the inquisition. It’s just that I’ve seen accusations of racism pop up so often when the question of Europe’s looming population implosion is brought up (is that you handsomeharold?). Hopefully it’s all hot air like the population bomb, but I think it’s possible to be worried without being a neo-Nazi. Also to me the OP sounded like straightforward mathematical curiosity, not stranger than much else in GQ.
Anyway, I think I have burdened you with my obnoxious views on this subject more than enough already.