Even back when crossing the U.S./Canada border was a lot easier, cross-border health care was impractical. Since the main goal of Texan independence would be strengthened border controls, it would be even more impractical for you.
Hope you are on the Texas side, because, looking at Google maps, that seems to be where the biggest general hospital is. The mental health hospital seems to be on the Arkansas side.
Then there are issues when friends and family are in the other country. After 9/11, there were cases where you literally could no longer visit your next door Canadian/American neighbor without going through border control. And COVID made it impossible to see nearby family for months.
People in border towns like yours would hate this, almost regardless of politics.
In all seriousness, the degree of shit-creekery depends on how well the split itself is handled and (ironically) how open the borders are.
When countries / territories split, it is not the case that all federal / national / multinational assets are handed over. Companies want to continue to make money, people want to continue doing their jobs and everyone wants to keep the lights on (ok, that’s another ironic one for Texas).
Texas could remain at pretty much the same wealth level as it has today, after 5-10 years of transition pain.
However, the conditions mentioned in my opening sentence are essentially impossible in the current context of MAGA and the reason for wanting to secede. I would expect a split to be at best a economically-crippling shitshow and at worst actual war.
And 38 of the 40 EV Texas currently has will be redistributed among the remaining 49 states (two of them going away entirely). When would the redistribution occur (current law has it happening three years following a census)? And who gets them?
Along with military installations, how big is the NASA footprint in Texas? I would assume that would be withdrawn. Also, (may have been mentioed already) money for federally-funded highways (Texas has by far the most).
Why would the US military leave those bases? There’s plenty of precedent for US bases in foreign countries, even in countries that are enemies of us, like Cuba.
With the exception of Fort Cavazos, the forts would have to be supplied by air. Not like the Confederate Air Force is going to be much of a problem, but the logistics are still a bitch.
What would happen regarding transportation across the state? There are probably hundreds of
millions of dollars of goods being transported to and from the southwest USA to the southeast
USA by truck and rail. Would a toll be charged for crossing Texas? For rail transportation
would the locomotives be removed from trains at the border and replaced by locomotives belonging
to the new State ot Texas Railroad?
What would happen if I take Amtrak’s Sunset Limited train from
L.A. to New Orleans? Would I need a passport to cross Texas?
I guess the above questions are a bit off topic. My guess is that secession would be major mess
and would not only be bad for Texas but a for great part of the USA as well.
If they can even manage it, how does that help anything?
The bases are funded by the US government. They employ thousands of civilian staff and the military personnel (and their families) eat, shop, and spend in those communities in vast quantities, much of it subsidized to a greater or lesser (often greater) extent by the US government
So, afterward, people are just going to take “TX dollars” or whatever and just be happy and go on the way their did before? Good luck with that. Didn’t exactly work for the Confederacy, either, which experienced runaway inflation
And that was my point - the transfer of federal dollars is not just revenue vs direct outlays. Once you count all those other little things like spending on federal employees (predominantly the military) and various subsidies to companies, Texas relies heavily on money from the rest of the states
Actually, it should be fairly easy to route rail traffic around Texas. It’s be done. Oklahoma City would see a boom in rail traffic and associated truck traffic. There would be a similar boom for Santa Fe, but they wouldn’t like it near as much.
Gitmo is a unique case. The lease that was signed at the end of the Spanish American War is unique. There is no end date and can only ended with consent of both sides. Cuba certainly isn’t consenting. Last time I checked the U.S. was still paying rent and Cuba was still not accepting.
My scenario: Texas secedes, rapidly becomes an impoverished kleptocracy dependent on foreign oil sales, emigrants flood out, a few of the most deluded trickle in. Mexico moves its military into position, Texas, its defenses gutted, pleads with the US to come to its aid. It doesn’t.