Shodan IME, you are still wrong about your assumption wrt “it must have happened while he was an adult” still. You know I work w/offenders. I’ve known when juvenile records were sealed. and when they’ve been expunged. you’re making an unwarrented assumption.
I listed several behaviors that result in sex offenses. the 16 y;o plus 15 y/o would ben included in your statute language, I believe; and teh party groping would as well.
And, you’re assuming that these cases are also true, therefore the prior one was an accurate predictor.
A. “an accurate predictor” would, in general, mean that the situation would be “in (pick some large percentage) of cases where A occurs, B then also occurs at a later date”. What I’m pointing out to you is that lots of these cases are not ‘accurate predictors’ of future sexual offenses.
It may happen in some small percentage of cases, but that doesn’t change that the original thing isn’t an ‘accurate predictor’. For example - there’s some reasearch that suggests that a great number/percentage of serial killers wet the bed (and several other factors). but that doesn’t mean that bed wetting in an of itself becomes an ‘accurate predictor’ of future serial killerness.
and you, indeed are doing the lumping. you’re assuming that the charges are correct in this case as well. I started this out w/two cases locally where criminal charges were filed and the man was actually innocent. Not necessarily simply 'found not guilty" (in the one case where it did go to trial, remember the juror foreman who heard all the evidence in court made a public statemetn that the charges should never have been filed. In that case, I happened to have known the teacher involved, but more importantly, my son also knew the accusor. She’d had a long history of absurd factually untrue sexually based claims. )
If it’s true, he should be held responsible. But, that doesn’t mean that any of your other assumptions are true. including the ‘never should have something expunged’ one. MHO, ME etc. YMOV. I hope you’re never in a situation where you regret this stance you’re taking.
The hysteria that follows these sorts of accusations and crimes is pretty fucking scarey to me. Rationality has gone out the window.
I’m bowing out of this. I wish you the best. I hope, for your sake, that you insist on having another adult present whenever you’re w/ your child and her friends.